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and Sy nt hesis ( Opladen: Barbara Budrich Publishers, 2006) .
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Press)
Rev iew ed by: Dinoj Kum ar Upadhyay
459
Thad Dunning, Cr ude Dem ocracy: Nat ural Resource Wealt h and
Polit ical Regim es ( Cam bridge, Cam bridge Universit y Press,
2008)
Rev iew ed by: Monika Dabrow ska
462
Goran Hyden, African Polit ics in Com parat ive
( Cam bridge: Cam bridge Universit y Press, 2006)
Rev iew ed by: Nat han Andrews
Perspect iv e
466
Rachel Riedner and Kev in Mahoney, Dem ocracies t o Com e,
Rhet orical Act ion, Neoliberalism , and Com m unit ies of Resist ance
( Lexingt on Book s, 2008)
Rev iew ed by: Paula Gânga
469
Darren Lilleker and Richard Scullion ( eds.) , Vot ers or
Consum ers. I m agining t he Cont em porary Elect orate (New cast le
upon Ty ne: Cam bridge Publishing Scholars, 2008)
Rev iew ed by : Sergiu Gherghina
473
Susanne Jungerst am - Mulders ( ed.) , Post - Com m unist EU Mem ber
Stat es: Part ies and Party Syst em s (Aldershot : Ashgat e, 2006) .
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
EFFICIENT AND INEFFICIENT SOCIAL CONTROL IN
COLLECTIVE ACTION1
Béla Janky
Budapest University of Technology and Economics
Károly Takács
Corvinus University of Budapest
Abst r act
This study investigates how and under what conditions networks
and dyadic social control rationalize participation in collective
action. Social control mechanisms, such as behavioral
confirmation and social selective incentives, do not necessarily
help mobilization in collective action, but they might also act
against it. In certain network configurations, not only an increase
in the strength of conformity, but also an increase in selective
incentives could turn out to be inefficient to establish mass
collective action. This contradiction is captured by an integrative
model that combines the n-person social dilemma model of
collective action with local interaction games. Predictions of the
integrated model reveal non-monotonic effects of the strength of
social control on full contribution. For structural effects, the model
predicts that cohesion is the most important catalyst of full
contribution; besides, modularity of the network facilitates partial
contribution equilibria.
Keywords: Collective action; Social dilemmas; Social networks;
Structural balance; Social control; Local interaction games
1
We would like to thank Andreas Flache, Russell Hardin, Zoltán Szántó, Benedek Kovács, and Attila
Gulyás for their comments on an earlier version of the paper. The authors acknowledge support of the
Hungarian Scientific Research Fund (OTKA, T 49432; T 76223; PD 76234).
316
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
1. Introduction
This paper analyzes the interdependence between social control
mechanisms, social networks and collective action. We study how
different forms of social control influence decisions of rational
individuals and we examine how and under what conditions
networks rationalize participation in collective action. Besides, we
focus on the interactions between network effects and social
control as we investigate which network properties form favorable
conditions for the emergence of collective action when a selective
incentive is the main driving force for cooperation, and which
properties favor mass mobilization when conformity is an
important form of social control. In order to capture the
interrelations between social control, network structure and
collective action, an integrative model is presented that is built on
the n-person social dilemma model of collective action on one
hand, and on local interaction games that capture social control
mechanisms in network relations on the other hand. The
integrated model provides a ground for a family of new models
that can handle and help to explain a wide variety of social
phenomena in which macro and micro interdependencies are
interrelated.
Similarly to the majority of existing models, this study models
collective action as an n-person social dilemma.2 As narrow selfinterest does not provide sufficient incentives for participation, a
baseline economic model predicts collective action failure.
Empirical studies, however, have found several examples of
successful mobilization driven by social control mechanisms.3
Theoretical developments, therefore, incorporated different forms
of social control in modeling collective action and set down
conditions for the possibility of mobilization. In its most widely
used meaning, social control is a constraint on individual decision
2
e.g., Mancur Olson Jr. The Logic of Collective Action. (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press,
1965.); Russel Hardin Collective Action. (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 1982.)
3
for an overview see Mario Diani, “Introduction: Social Movements, Contentious Actions, and Social
Networks: From Metaphor to Substance?” in Social Movements and Networks. Relational Approaches to
Collective Action ed. Mario Diani and Doug McAdam. (Oxford/New York: Oxford University Press, 2003.)
317
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
posed by the influence, as well as by the behavior, opinion, and
expectations of relevant other individuals.
Several studies pointed out that the set of relevant others in
practice is not the entire society, but only related others: family,
friends, acquaintances, colleagues and neighbors.4 Consequently,
characteristics of the social network influence the impact of social
control on collective action. Social network effects are important,
because individuals tailor their behavior conditional on the
behavior and expectation of relevant others.
For the integrated analysis of social control mechanisms and
collective action, social control has to be conceptualized. As in
previous studies, either in an internal or in an external form,
social control will be modeled as a system of mutual rewards and
punishments. Someone’s decision whether to join a public protest
or not is contingent on the decision of her friends. Besides, she
gains additional satisfaction if her action meets the expectations
or sympathy of friends. This holds also for their decisions and for
their calculations on her expectation. This kind of strategic
interdependence is modeled in local interaction games.5 The
existing literature on local interaction games, however, disregards
the possibility of community interdependence. Local coordination
games provide an illustrative basis for the influence of certain
social control mechanisms, but neglect the macro effects of
coordination. Successfully coordinated behavior often provides
positive externalities and additional value for the entire
community.
The modeling framework presented here incorporates dyadic
social control mechanisms as strategic interactions and
consequently social network effects in the single-shot n-person
social dilemma model of collective action. We provide a simple
4
e.g. Karl-Dieter Opp and Christiane Gern,
„Dissident Groups, Personal Networks, and
Spontaneous Cooperation - The East German Revolution of 1989” American Sociological Review, 58 (1993):
659-680.; Anthony Oberschall, “Rational Choice in Collective Protests” Rationality and Society, 6 (1994): 79100.
5
1047-1071.
318
e.g., Glenn Ellison “Learning, Local Interaction, and Coordination” Econometrica, 61 (1993):
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
game-theoretical analysis of the conditions under which
individuals are better off by participation and we also examine
equilibrium conditions for the emergence of collective action. The
model assumes that players are rational and perfectly informed
about the rules of the game. These restrictions do not mean that
we disregard the impacts of bounded rationality, imperfect
information or repeated interactions on mobilization in collective
action. On the contrary, our restrictive assumptions may help to
distinguish the different sources of success or failure of collective
action.
As a main substantive goal of model building, we aim to present a
theoretical rationale for some of the intriguing empirical results of
the collective action literature. First, similar to the findings of
Sandell and Stern we would like to demonstrate that collective
action may exist even if rational actors prefer to free ride on all
but few of their fellows in the group.6 Second, the study is to
present some new predictions about the possible effects of social
control and network structure in a situation where individuals are
rational, well informed and there is no iteration in collective
action. We aim to show that there are network structures at
which the effect of social control on cooperation is nonmonotonic. That is, at certain parameter values, stronger control
may decrease the chance of mass collective action. This objective
is in line with earlier findings that demonstrated reverse effects of
social control.7
In the next section, we provide arguments for the necessity of
including social control mechanisms in the explanation of
collective action. We summarize previous findings and our
research questions afterwards. We present our model and
subsequently, we derive under what conditions social control
would lead to an equilibrium in which collective action is
established. This is followed by a discussion of the impacts of
network properties on participation and by the analysis of
6
Rickard Sandell and Charlotta Stern “Group Size and the Logic of Collective Action: A Network
Analysis of a Swedish Temperance Movement 1896-1937” Rationality and Society, 10 (1998): 327-345.
7
e.g., Andreas Flache The Double Edge of Networks. An Analysis of the Effect of Informal Networks
on Cooperation in Social Dilemmas. (Amsterdam: Thela Thesis, 1996.)
319
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
interaction effects of social control and network characteristics.
Implications and prospective directions are discussed in the
concluding section.
2. Social control mechanisms and their operation in the
network
Individual decisions are constrained by social control mechanisms
and this is not otherwise also in collective action situations. The
decision to participate (contribute) or not is affected by various
forms of social control.
Social control in the form of selective incentives implicate that
defectors are punished or contributors are rewarded. The
incorporation of selective incentives into the models has been
prevalent since the beginning of collective action research. Some
studies also addressed the second order free rider problem that
stems from the costs of providing selective incentives.8
Other models have emphasized the positive impact of cooperation
of others on the individual’s own decision. Conditional cooperation
mechanisms work, for instance, in critical mass models.9 The
assumptions about fairness considerations in Sugden's and
Gould’s models also imply conditionally cooperative behavior.10
Besides, in Oberschall's block-recruitment model cooperation is
also conditional on cooperation of relevant others.11
8
Pamela E. Oliver “Rewards and Punishments as Social approval for Collective Action: Theoretical
Investigations” American Journal of Sociology, 85 (1980): 1356-1375.; Douglas D. Heckathorn, “Collective
Action and the Second-Order Free-Rider Problem” Rationality and Society, 1 (1989): 78-100.
9
e.g., Thomas C. Schelling Micromotives and Macrobehavior. (New York: W. W. Norton, 1978.);
Marwell, Gerald and Pamela E. Oliver Critical Mass in Collective Action. (Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press, 1993.)
10
Robert Sugden “Reciprocity: The Supply of Public Goods through Voluntary Contributions”
Economic Journal, 94 (1984): 772-787 Gould, Robert V. “Collective Action and Network Structure” American
Sociological Review, 58 (1993): 182-96.
11
100.
320
Anthony Oberschall “Rational Choice in Collective Protests” Rationality and Society, 6 (1994): 79-
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Laboratory experiments of public good games confirm the
importance of social control even among strangers.12 From our
point of view, the most important results of these experiments
can be summarized as follows. First, contributors feel
compensated for their effort and similarly, defectors seem to
experience a smaller subjective gain because of a sense of guilt,
embarrassment or punishment. Second, the perception of social
approval/disapproval may have an impact on cooperation even if
no monetary (or physical) incentives are available. It is sufficient
if the peers express their approval/disapproval by symbolic points
- the provision of which is costless. What is more, even the
observation of the decisions or merely the presence of other
players may be sufficient for higher level of contribution in a oneshot public good game. That is, the provision of effective social
control might be costless in some situations. Third, experiments
have provided evidence for the existence of altruistic punishment
of defectors. These experiments show that individuals have
intrinsic incentives to punish free riders, even at the cost of their
own welfare. That is, the internal costs of watching an
unpunished free riding friend may outweigh the cost of
punishment itself. Fourth, if social control mechanisms operate,
the level of contribution is positively correlated with the group
size. That is, more people can impose stronger control. Fifth, the
characteristics of social control also depend on the level of
(expected) contributions of those actors who reward/punish the
individual. A defector gets higher level of punishment from a
cooperator than from another defector - or a cooperator gets
higher reward from another cooperator than from a defector. That
is, as the number of defectors increases, the social incentive for
contribution decreases. Nonetheless, a contributor's positive
effect on the individual's cooperation tends to be stronger than a
defector's negative one.
These experimental results are mostly in line with the
assumptions about social control in the most cited models of
12
e.g., Ernst Fehr and Simon Gächter “Cooperation and Punishment in Public Good Experiments”
American Economic Review 90 (2000): 980-94; David Masclet, , Charles Noussair, Steven Tucker and MarieClaire Villeval “Monetary and Nonmonetary Punishment in the Voluntary Contributions Mechanism” American
Economic Review, 93 (2003): 366-380.,
321
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
collective action. Olson’s term of social selective incentives, for
instance, can be interpreted in a way to match most of these
observations. However, selective incentives and social control
that is conditional on others’ decisions are fundamentally different
and hence one should distinguish at least two types of social
control. The first simply rewards the cooperator or punishes the
defector irrespective of the action taken by others. The second
implicates that individuals compare their decisions with decisions
of relevant others, and gain rewards if the decisions are similar.
Following these arguments, we incorporate social control into our
model in the form of two separate incentives. We will refer to the
rewards for cooperators (punishments for the defectors) as
selective incentives. We will refer to social control that rewards
the similarity between decisions as behavioral confirmation or
conformity. We are well aware of further social control
mechanisms, for instance, people might participate in collective
action precisely because they expect that others don’t do
anything, but for the sake of simplicity, we restrict our interest
for the analysis of these two forms.
Similar to Holländer’s analysis, we incorporate social control in
the model as an automatic response to cooperation.13
Nonetheless, providing social control may be costly and a second
order free rider problem may emerge. Our model, however, is
restricted to those situations in which provision of social control is
costless, social control is internalized or the costs of not
rewarding/punishing
counterbalance the ones of giving
approval/disapproval. As laboratory experiments show, this
assumption fits the behavior of real-word individuals.
We will concentrate on selective incentives and conformity that
operate in dyadic connections between individuals (friends,
relatives, neighbors, etc). Those who contribute to the public
good, get some (non-pecuniary) reward from their friends in the
form of a positive social selective incentive. This form of social
control is independent of the action taken by those who provide
it. Behavioral confirmation or conformity, on the other hand,
13
Heinz Holländer “A Social Exchange Approach to Voluntary Cooperation” American Economic
Review, 80 (1990): 1157-67.
322
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
depends on the relations between the individual’s choice and the
decisions taken by her friends. The individual is rewarded if she
does the same as her peers act.
Anonymous relations do not transmit these forms of social control
as close contacts do; individual actions are relationally and
structurally embedded. Intensive interpersonal ties are therefore
the key routes of the spread of social control that facilitate
mobilization in collective action. As the system of actors and
interpersonal ties among them is referred to as the social
network, macro properties of the social network are correlated
with the success of mobilization in collective action.
The models of network effects in collective action, however,
should not disregard the interdependence in the collective action
situation that is inseparable from relational interdependencies.
For instance, joining friends at a demonstration is partly a
contribution to the success of collective action and partly a
provision of conformity to all friends who participate. This does
not require multiple decisions from the individual. For this reason
we integrate global and local interdependences in a unified model
that takes both into account simultaneously (Figure 1). On one
hand, we model collective action as an n-person public good
game that assumes global interdependence (left side of Figure 1).
As we emphasized, this standard model does not distinguish
between connected and unconnected pairs of actors, that is,
between friends (relatives, neighbors, etc.) and strangers. On the
other hand, our integrative model is based on a “network
approach” that concerns dyadic relations as local interaction
games (middle of Figure 1). Local interaction games deal with a
network of dyads involved in two-person games, but they are
unable to cope with a situation in which the entire set of players
is involved in a public good game. Unlike these network models,
we assume the presence of global interdependence between the
players. Global interdependence links even those who are
unconnected in the social network. We will refer to this as the
structurally embedded public goods game.
323
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Figure 1. An Illustration of Our Approach
Global
interdependence
n-person public
goods game
Local
interdependencies
local interaction
games
Global and local
interdependencies
structurally
embedded games
Note: Thin lines symbolize global interdependence in n-person relations
and thick lines mark interpersonal relations between actors.
3. The impact of network structure on collective action
In most of the models on collective action, social control is
considered as a possible facilitating factor of cooperation.
Nonetheless, conformity does not obviously help; it might also
undermine collective action in large groups. Gould, for instance,
showed that conformity may not foster but rather inhibit
cooperation in large, but dense networks.14 Conformity is
captured in game-theoretical terms by modeling dyadic
interdependencies as assurance games, in which mutual
cooperation is payoff dominant equilibrium, but not a unique
equilibrium. 15 Selective incentives, on the other hand, are defined
as rewards (punishments) for cooperation (free riding).
Some studies on collective action that encountered effects of
social control, also drew attention to the consequential effects of
network structure on mobilization.16 These studies emphasized
14
Gould, “Collective Action and Network Structure”
15
Oberschall, “Rational Choice in Collective Protests”
16
e.g., Gerald Marwell and Pamela E. Oliver and Ralph Prahl “Social Networks and Collective Action:
A Theory of the Critical Mass. III.” American Journal of Sociology, 94 (1988): 502-534.; Hyojoung Kim and
324
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
mainly the effect of two network properties: density and
centrality. Most analyses demonstrated that closed and dense
social networks could produce more social capital for maintaining
group norms, including norms of cooperation than atomized
networks. The positive impact of density on cooperation is also
supported by empirical evidence.17 On the other hand, when
large-scale cooperation is established, sparse networks might set
more stable barriers against the spread of occasional defections.18
Diani also concludes based on different empirical findings that
dense networks support mobilization in small networks with
strong identity, but the chances to find examples in large
populations are low, while it may be possible to find activity in
modular sections within them.19 Gould’s abovementioned analysis
also provides examples when a highly dense network is capable
to establish only a mediocre level of collective good production.
How density will affect the success of collective action; depends
on the rate at which normative pressure and enthusiasm about
the prospects of mobilization encourage individuals to emulate
the contribution of others and on the structural location of
zealous actors.
Marwell, Oliver and Prahl emphasized that network centralization
has a competing impact on collective action with density.20 The
key importance of central actors and the efficiency of centralized
structures in mobilization have also been demonstrated by
several other scholars. Gould emphasized that a volunteer can
trigger the most contributions in a star-shaped structure. Central
actors are less capable of spreading cooperation in highly dense
networks with low degree variance. Moreover, Cummings and
Peter S. Bearman “The Structure and Dynamics of Movement Participation” American Sociological Review, 62
(1997): 70-93.
17
e.g., Robert V. Gould Insurgent Identities: Class, Community, and Protest in Paris from 1848 to
the Commune (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995.)
18
Michael W. Macy “Chains of Cooperation: Threshold Effects in Collective Action” American
Sociological Review, 56 (1991): 730-747.
19
Mario Diani “Networks and Social Movements: A Research Programme” in Social Movements and
Networks. Relational Approaches to Collective Action ed. Diani and McAdam. (Oxford/New York: Oxford
University Press, 2003.), 308.
20
Marwell, Oliver and Prahl “Social Networks and Collective Action: A Theory of the Critical Mass.
III.”
325
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Cross have found in an empirical study of work groups that coreperiphery and hierarchical network structures were negatively
associated with performance.21 This completely contradicts to
empirical findings on the superiority of core-periphery structures
for cooperation,22 but also to theoretical predictions about the
viability of cooperation in different network topologies that find
that the evolution of cooperation is most prevalent in starshaped, highly centralized networks.23
The effect of degree is prevalent in the study of Ohtsuki et al.
that finds a general condition for the evolution of contribution
conditional on the average degree in large random, small-world
and scale-free networks.24 The general condition prescribes that
in an evolutionary perspective and fixed networks a sparse
structure and low average degree is favorable for the evolution of
cooperation. Another studies confirm that low density and
heterogeneity support the evolution of cooperation also when the
structure and behavior co-evolves.25 When individuals are able to
update their ties, the time scale parameter that determines how
frequently the network is updated compared to the update in the
cooperation strategy is among the most important determinants
of the extent to which cooperation spreads.26
The seminal work of Granovetter highlighted the importance of
bridging relations for getting important information and social
21
Jonathon N.Cummings and Rob Cross “Structural Properties of Work Groups and Their
Consequences for Performance” Social Networks, 25 (2003): 197-210.
22
Jeffrey C. Johnson, James S. Boster and Lawrence A. Palinkas “Social Roles and the Evolution of
Networks in Extreme and Isolated Environments” Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 27 (2003): 89-121.
23
e.g.,
Hauert,
Christoph
Virtuallabs
2004.
Database
on-line.
Available
at
http://www.univie.ac.at/virtuallabs/Moran/
24
Hisashi Ohtsuki, Christoph Hauert, Erez Lieberman and Martin A. Nowak „A simple rule for the
evolution of cooperation on graphs and social networks” Nature, 441(7092, 25 May 2006): 502-505.
25
e.g. Francisco Santos, Marta D. Santos and Jorge M. Pacheco “Social diversity promotes the
emergence of cooperation in public goods games” Nature 454 (2008): 213-216.
26
Toshio Yamagishi and Nahoko Hayashi “Selective Play: Social Embeddedness of Social Dilemmas”
in Frontiers in Social Dilemma Research ed. Wim B.G. Liebrand and David M. Messick. (Berlin: Springer,
1996).
326
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
capital.27 These bridging ties might also be important to
disseminate contribution norms between subgroups, as it is also
suggested by Csermely.28 Subgroups, however, are often
reported to be highly reluctant to change their local behavioral
code and to adopt established norms from outside. This also has
the consequence that structures in which many ties need to be
removed for collapsing into components; that are called cohesive
structures; provide the ideal environment for high levels of
cooperation.
As previous studies have demonstrated, structural effects are
prevalent in collective action and they are caused by underlying
social control mechanisms. In our analysis we will focus on the
dependence of network effects on the type of social control that
operates in dyadic relations. In particular, we examine whether
selective incentives, when they reward contributors, would always
foster collective action or under certain structural conditions they
could also hinder mass collective action. As we compare macro
effects of positive selective incentives and conformity, we
demonstrate what they imply for social network effects in
collective action. As far as network effects concerned, we
emphasize which mechanisms of social control are responsible for
the impact of network properties as density, minimum degree,
network clustering, and bridging ties.
4. The structurally embedded public goods game
In this section, we introduce the model that integrates social
control mechanisms and local interactions into the analysis of
collective action. The fundaments of this model have also been
introduced in the studies of Takács, Janky and Flache.29 We
assume that a final set of players (N={1, …, i, …, n}, where n>2)
play an n-person public goods game with a linear production
27
Mark Granovetter “The Strength of Weak Ties” American Journal of Sociology 78 (1973): 1360-
80.
28
Péter Csermely Weak Links. The Universal Key to the Stability of Networks and Complex Systems.
(Berlin: Springer, 2009.)
29
Károly Takács and Béla Janky “Smiling Contributions: Social Control in a Public Goods Game with
Network Decline” Physica A, 378 (2007): 76-82., Károly Takács, Béla Janky and Andreas Flache “Collective
Action and Network Change” Social Networks, 45 (2008): 177-189.
327
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
function. In this game, every individual has to decide whether to
take part in the collective action or not. That is, each player has
to choose between two alternatives: they can either participate in
collective action (contribute to the provision of the public good) or
not (defect). The action taken by the individual i∈N is denoted by
σi, where σi=1 is contribution and σi=0 is defection. Contribution
has a cost c, and this value is the same for everyone.
Contribution means a provision of a unit of a public good α for all
players and defection means no additional provision. Hence, the
amount of public good that is provided equals to α
∑σ
n
j =1
j
(there is
a linear production function). We assume that narrow monetary
interest does not provide sufficient incentives for cooperation, i.e.
c>α. Although the cost of contribution is higher than the gain of
the provision of one unit of the public good, we suppose that if
there are enough contributors, the value of the public good
provided to every individual is higher than the cost of
contribution. In other words, there is a threshold number of
contributors n* (1<n*≤n), for which αn*>c.
This is a standard starting setup used by models of collective
action. To incorporate structural effects in the model, we assume
that players might be connected to each other by symmetric
links. For the sake of generality, we do not specify what sort of
relationships (friendship, kinship, or simply acquaintance) these
links indicate. It is sufficient to claim that social control operates
in these relationships. Social control can only be experienced
between connected individuals, but it is also inevitable between
them.
Hence, we consider a network of dyadic relations among the
players involved in the standard n-person PG-game, in which
nodes are individuals and edges are relationships. An undirected
graph is considered, that is we assume that the transmission of
social control is independent of the direction and strength of
relationships or alternatively, every connection is mutual and
equally important. We will denote the existence of a direct
relationship between individuals i and j by rij (i,j∈N, and i ≠ j),
where rij = 1 if there is a direct relationship between them, and rij
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
= 0 if they are not directly related (they are not adjacent in the
network). As we discuss undirected graphs, rij = rji always holds.
For the sake of simplicity, we will denote the total number of i’s
∑r
n
ties by ri (
j =1
ij
= ri , where i ≠ j).
The existence of relational ties in combination with action profiles
has payoff consequences. First, we suppose that every player
receives rewards (punishments) for contribution (defection) from
each of her friends. The amount of this selective incentive from a
single tie is denoted by s, hence the total amount of selective
incentives that i receives is sri. We assume that actors always
reward/punish those cooperators/defectors who are connected to
them. One should note that, a selective incentive is an element of
the rational calculation of the receiver, but is not of the one of the
provider as it is free to produce and provided automatically.
In addition to this selective incentive, individuals might prefer to
follow the behavioral patterns of related actors. The individual’s
deviation from a related player's choice implies lower payoff than
the outcome where they behave in the same way. In the model,
both the absolute number and the proportion of the deviators
among the related actors matter. That is, we assume that
conformity consists of two elements. The first form of conformity
is received as a linear function of the number of friends with the
same choice and we call it mass conformity. Formally, all related
actors with the choice equivalent to i’s decision increases i's
payoff by b1. When mass conformity operates, an individual, who
intends to participate in a demonstration, would like to be sure
that there are enough friends in the crowd. On the other hand, in
case this individual prefers to stay at home, she would like to be
assured that many friends choose the same option. The second
form of conformity is received as a linear function of the
proportion of friends with the same choice, and we refer to it as
proportional conformity. Proportional conformity is independent of
the number of ties the given individual has. The coefficient for
proportional conformity is denoted by b2. When proportional
conformity operates, the individual prefers to follow the decision
of the majority of her friends.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
For the sake of simplicity, we assume that α,c>0; b1,b2,s≥0, as
we present all of them as rewards in (1). However, this
assumption could easily be relaxed in a subsequent analysis.
Assuming social control in terms of punishments instead of
rewards would lead to a slightly different model with similar
results. Denote C and D two disjoint sets of the group N, such
that C={N\D}. Moreover, let us denote ric and rid the numbers of
i's connections who are elements of sets C and D, respectively
(ric+rid=ri). If every member of C contributes and every member
of D defects, then the payoffs of defection and contribution for i
are the following:
n
rid
π i (σ i = 0) = rid b1 + b2 + α ∑σ j
ri
j =1
n
ric
π i (σ i = 1) = ri s + ric b1 + b 2 + α ( ∑ σ j + 1) − c
ri
j =1
(1)
where j ∈ N\{i}. One can see that in a given network, social
approval is the strongest if one cooperates in a cooperating social
environment. Cooperation or defection in a group of defectors
implicates weaker approval. Our model allows for the assumption
that a community of defectors fosters individual’s defection (this
is the case if b1 and b2 are large comparing to s). Nonetheless, it
is possible within this modeling framework that the defectors
provide more approval for cooperators than for other defectors
(in this case s is large relatively to b1 and b2). Social approval is
the weakest if one defects while her friends cooperate.
From (1) it follows that the contribution of the individual i is
rational if
b
α + ri s + ( ric − rid )(b1 + 2 ) ≥ c .
ri
(2)
It implies that selective incentives foster contribution relative to
the number of connections of the given individual. Conformity
promotes contribution only when there are more contributing
friends than defectors. In case the number of defecting friends
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
exceeds the number of contributing friends, conformity drives
towards defection. Mass conformity supports contribution to the
extent of the difference between the numbers of contributing and
defecting friends; while proportional conformity promotes
contribution to the extent of the proportion of contributors among
the related individuals.
In case the cost of contribution is too high we cannot expect any
provision of the public good. If there are strong incentives for
contribution, however, then collective action can be established.
Defection is not a strictly dominant strategy of i anymore, if the
individual’s benefits from social control and provision of a unit of
the public good exceed the cost of contribution at least in the
case when all of those players contribute who are connected to
the individual (ri=ric). That is, if
α + ri (s + b1) + b2 ≥ c.
(3)
Moving a step further, contribution can be a dominant strategy of
i, if the individual’s benefits from social control and provision of a
unit of the public good exceed the cost of contribution even in the
case when all of those players defect who are connected to the
individual (ri=rid). That is, if
α + ri (s - b1) - b2 > c
(4)
holds. Hence, under certain conditions, social control rationalizes
unconditional cooperation in collective action. Due to the
simplifications of the model, it is relatively easy to calculate an
arbitrary actor's payoffs for a certain decision. One should note,
however, that the costs and benefits of contribution and defection
differ for players in different structural positions. Thus, it is
misleading to conduct an equilibrium analysis similar to that is
adopted in n-person games with a homogeneous set of players.
In our model, the conditions for contribution at the individual
level do not fully specify the macro level determinants for the
emergence of collective action.
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5. Possibility of collective action
After a brief analysis of individual decisions, let us now consider
under which conditions collective action may emerge assuming an
exogenously given network. Primarily, we search for situations in
which collective action is equilibrium over the set of pure
strategies. Foremost, we focus on the conditions for the
emergence of full contribution in which each actor contributes to
the provision of the public good. We also analyze the conditions
for the existence of partial contribution equilibria, primarily
because of their relevance for the predictions about the
emergence of full contribution. In this way, we spare some
additional assumptions and carry out a less extensive analysis.
For the sake of simplicity, we assume that ri>0 holds for all i. One
can see from (2) and (4) that a situation in which all actors defect
(overall defection) is a Nash equilibrium if there is no i for whom
contribution would be a dominant strategy. This means that c ≥ α
+ ri (s - b1) - b2 should hold for all i.
On the other hand, full contribution is Nash equilibrium if there is
nobody for whom defection is a dominant strategy. In other
words, in case (c - α - b2) / (s+b1) ≤ ri holds for all i (ri>0, that is
the graph is connected), then full contribution is a Nash
equilibrium. That is, for full contribution being Nash equilibrium
the network should have the property
()
c −α − b
2,
min r ≥
i
s+b
1
(5)
where min(ri) is the minimum number of ties individuals have in
the group (minimum degree). A network parameter (here the
minimum degree) on one side of the equation and social control
parameters and other incentives on the other side simplifies the
analysis of structural effects on collective action. In this case, we
could make it transparent that as a necessary structural condition
for overall mobilization in collective action; everyone has to be
connected to the network to a certain extent. Individuals with few
connections make overall participation impossible. As far as social
control concerned, a stronger selective incentive and stronger
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
conformity increase the chance of overall contribution. Moreover,
in spite of the significant difference between their micro effects,
selective incentives and mass conformity influence for the
emergence of full contribution equilibrium exactly the same way.
In case the threshold number n* is not very high, partial
contribution can also produce beneficial collective action. A partial
contribution outcome, where all i∈ C contributes and all j∈ D
defects, is a Nash equilibrium, if such C and D (C={N\D}) nonempty sets exist for which
α + ri s + ( ric − rid )(b1 +
b2
) ≥ c for all i∈ C
ri
b
α + r j s + (r jc − r jd )(b1 + 2 ) ≤ c for all j∈ D
rj
and
(6)
(7)
hold. In this case, there is no clear relation between a certain
network property and partial contribution equilibrium that would
be independent from the structural distribution of contribution
choices.
The existence of partial contribution equilibrium is most likely in a
segmented network. For instance, if there is a dyadic component
that is isolated from the rest of the network, then partial
contribution in which they defect is an equilibrium, given that full
contribution is an equilibrium, if c ≥ α + s - b1 - b2. On the other
hand, partial contribution equilibria do not exist in a network in
which everyone is tied to everyone else.
No further formal analysis is necessary to see that a coreperiphery structure is favorable for partial contribution. In this
case, members of the core may cooperate, while individuals with
few connections and in small components will be free riders.
Thus, according to the model, when, for example, workers of a
factory launch a wild cat strike and members of the major
workshops participate, some new or part-time employees,
members of small, peripheral units, and those who work
individually outside the workshops may stay out of the strike
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
without a negative impact on the contribution of the rest of
workers. In the next section, we will show further structural
determinants of the conditions of partial contribution equilibria.
If there is one Nash equilibrium over pure strategies of the game,
we consider it as the expected outcome. In several cases,
however, there are multiple equilibria. For equilibrium selection
there are different approaches we could follow. Without choosing
sides in the ongoing debate, the only assumption we make is that
if there is a payoff dominant equilibrium, we consider it as the
expected outcome of the game.30 An equilibrium is payoffdominant if it provides more (or equal) payoff for every player
than any other equilibrium. In this study, we do not go into
further analysis of what happens when none of the existing
equilibria is payoff dominant.
If full contribution and overall defection are two Nash equilibria of
the game and the number of players exceeds the threshold
number n*,31 then full contribution always dominates overall
defection. In this case, it is likely that collective action emerges.
Partial contribution equilibria, however, are not always dominated
by full contribution. If there is a subset of players for whom
collective defection provides higher rewards than collective
contribution, then full contribution is not payoff dominant over
the partial contribution equilibrium, in which this subset of
players defects. In other words, full contribution is payoff
dominant equilibrium in case it is a Nash equilibrium, and there
are no partial contribution equilibria, or if they exist, in any set of
possible defectors, contribution of the whole set provides higher
payoffs for its members, than the equilibrium where they defect.
30
One should note that from a purely theoretical and general viewpoint, payoff dominance cannot
serve as a solution for the problem of equilibrium selection in games. If one approaches the problem of
uniqueness from the perspective of our study, however, the concept of payoff dominance provides the most
fruitful selection mechanism. Experimental findings are also ambivalent about whether subjects play the
payoff dominant equilibrium or another outcome. In coordination games with multiple equilibria, for example,
in case of few players and a salient payoff dominant equilibrium this outcome is played often, but more
players and a higher resistance makes the rival risk-dominant equilibrium a more likely outcome. Ses e.g.
Dean Corbae and John Duffy Experiments with Network Economies. (Mimeo, University of Pittsburgh, 2002.).
31
As we defined above: αn* > c. For the production of public bads, for which this assumption does
not hold, the overall defection equilibrium is likely to be payoff dominant.
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That is, the existence of partial contribution equilibrium may
undermine full contribution as a likely outcome.
The conditions for full contribution being Nash equilibrium are
given in (5). Partial contribution equilibrium exists in which all i∈
C cooperates and all j∈ D defects (C={N\D}; C and D are nonempty sets), if equations (6) and (7) hold. In case both equilibria
exist, full contribution is payoff dominant over partial contribution
if rewards for all j∈ D are higher in the former case. That is,
nd α + r j s + r j b1 + b2 > c + r jd (b1 +
b2
) for all j∈ D,
rj
which is simplified to
nd α + r j s + r jc (b1 +
b2
) > c for all j∈ D,
rj
(8)
where nd is the number of members of D. The smaller the
number of defectors in the partial contribution equilibrium, the
smaller the likelihood that full contribution dominates this partial
contribution equilibrium. That is, full contribution is more likely to
be undermined by some defectors if there are small and
segregated subgroups in the community. These subgroups should
be small enough not to have, even collectively, a significant effect
on the public good. Moreover, they should be segregated not to
be influenced too strongly by outside pressure. Note that if the
entire community can be split into such small segregated
subgroups (for instance, into components or bi-components, or it
is a highly modular structure), then any level of contribution
might be undermined by strategic considerations, even in case of
strong social control and relatively high density of the network.
Granovetter’s seminal study provides a classical example of this
kind. He points to the failure of collective action in an ethnic
Italian community in Boston that could be characterized by dense
network and strong social ties. The source of cohesion in this
community was the close-knit family network, in which every
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
member knew and influenced one another. The emphasis on
intra-family relations, however, resulted in the ignorance of other
types of relations. Thus, one could observe high level of cohesion
in any part of the community, although the lack of ties between
families inhibited the provision of community-level public goods.
6. Social control, network properties, and collective action
Density and full contribution equilibrium
In this section we turn to a closer analysis of the effect of certain
network properties and of their interactions with social control on
collective action. First, consider the preconditions of full
contribution equilibrium. Equation (5) reveals that the key
structural property that is associated with the emergence of full
contribution is the minimum degree of the network. Among other
network characteristics, density positively correlates with the
likelihood of full contribution equilibrium. The relation between
density and full contribution being an equilibrium can be derived
from the statistical relation between density (the number of
edges in the graph) and the minimal number of individual
relations (the minimum degree). The higher the density of a
network, the smaller the likelihood is that there will be individuals
with zero or few connections. It is easy to see that the general
likelihood of min(ri)≤t (t<n-1) decreases, if density or the number
of relations (r) increases (if n is given), which means that the
likelihood of full contribution equilibrium increases by network
density on average. The general likelihood min(ri)≤t (t<n-1) is
equal to one, if r<(t+1)n/2 and it is zero, if r>(n-1)(n-2)/2+t. For
the range in between, extensive calculations are necessary. In
Figure 2 we only provide an illustration of the general likelihood
that the minimum degree of a random graph with n nodes and r
relations reaches a certain level (min(ri)=t). This likelihood is
associated with some known properties of degree variance.
Higher degree variance is associated with a smaller likelihood of
full contribution equilibrium. The relationship between degree
variance and full contribution equilibrium is weaker when density
is very low or very high. As Figure 2 shows, density positively
correlates with minimum degree, which supports the densitycooperation hypothesis.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Figure 2. The general likelihood of the minimum degree
being t in a network n= 8 with r connections
The relation betw een density (r ) and minimum degree
90
80
% of cases
70
r=6
60
r=10
50
r=14
40
r=18
30
r=22
20
r=26
10
0
0
2
4
6
8
minimum degre e = t
The distributions are overlapping, which means that higher
density does not necessarily mean a higher minimum degree and
consequently a higher likelihood of full contribution equilibrium.
In highly centralized networks, in which most relations lead to
relatively few individuals, the minimum degree and the likelihood
of full contribution equilibrium is low. This result is in
contradiction with findings that emphasize the efficiency of
centralized structures in mobilization for collective action.32
The model shows that high group centralization in itself does not
strengthen the effect of social control in collective action. For
example, in the factory, where workers are thinking of organizing
a wild cat strike, a central actor will not be able to initiate
collective action, if other workers have only connections to her
and not to each other, since one tie is not likely to provide
sufficient social benefits for them to participate. The central actor
32
Opp and Gern „Dissident Groups, Personal Networks, and Spontaneous Cooperation - The East
German Revolution of 1989”; and Gould “Collective Action and Network Structure”.
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will be left alone with her enthusiasm. When the network of
informal connections in the workshop resembles a star-shaped
structure, workers in peripheral positions will not participate,
because they would not be confirmed for their behavior by their
peers. In a dense network, workers in relatively central structural
positions will more likely have a key role in mobilization than in a
sparse network as the colleagues in peripheral positions reassure
each other that they have been convinced to participate. This also
leads to a prediction that is competing with the theoretical results
of Gould about the impact of density on the influence of central
actors in collective action and with theoretical predictions of
Hauert’s study about the superiority of star-shaped structures in
the evolution of cooperation.33
Payoff dominance: non-monotonic effects of social control
Similar incentives and structural characteristics foster the
existence of a partial contribution equilibrium as of the
emergence of full contribution (see equations 6, 7, and 8). The
existence of partial contribution, however, might inhibit full
contribution becoming payoff dominant. As a consequence, social
control may have adverse effects, and the influence of network
structure is strongly shaped by the relative importance of
different types of social control. The emerging complexity cannot
be interpreted as a purely technical problem and it has a clear
substantial relevance. Contribution may be more stable, if
everybody knows that any provision of the public good is possible
only if everyone contributes to it. The possibility of partial
contribution equilibrium means that some people reckon that
others might contribute anyway, and therefore their incentives for
contribution weaken. That is, if the conditions for contribution
become more favorable for a subgroup of players, the rest of the
group is tempted to become a free rider. Thus, strategic
considerations may lead to the disappearance of large-scale
collective action.
The model mostly predicts positive correlation between the
strength of social control and collective action. Weak control is
33
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Hauert Virtuallabs.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
never favorable for collective action and extremely strong
incentives always facilitate full contribution. In a certain range of
parameters and in certain structural conditions, however,
stronger social control might result in a lower likelihood of
collective action. The double edge character of conformity is
apparent at the micro level and therefore it is not surprising if it
also appears in macro predictions. More surprising is that a
stronger selective incentive may also undermine the emergence
of collective action.
Let us illustrate the paradox effect of a positive selective incentive
with a simple example. Figure 3 shows a network structure in a
5-person structurally embedded public goods game. For the sake
of simplicity we focus on the change in the strength of selective
incentive (s) and consider other parameters as given. Let the
other parameters be c=3, α=1, b1=1, and b2=1. From equation
(5) it follows that full contribution is an equilibrium outcome at
any non-negative value of s. As we emphasized earlier, the full
contribution equilibrium is always payoff dominant compared to
the overall defection equilibrium, but not always when compared
to partial contribution equilibria.
At the given parameter values, in a possible partial contribution
equilibrium players A, B and C participate in collective action,
while D and E defect. This equilibrium exists if C receives
sufficient incentives for contribution, in spite of her connection to
D and if D does not have sufficient incentives to turn to
contribution. After substituting the parameter values into
equation (6), it follows that C may cooperate in case of D's
defection if s≥2/9. Moreover, one can see from equation (7) that
D might defect in this case if s≤1. There is also a third condition,
the one that tells us whether the partial contribution equilibrium
in which D and E defect is dominated by full contribution.
Equation (8) shows that full contribution is not payoff dominant if
s≤1. Considering this network and these parameter values, there
is another partial contribution equilibrium in which A, B, and C
defect while D and E participate in collective action. This
equilibrium exists if 1≤s≤10/9. However, full contribution
equilibrium is always payoff dominant in comparison to this
equilibrium. Since there are no other partial contribution
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
equilibria in this game, the full contribution outcome is a payoff
dominant equilibrium except the cases at which 2/9≤s≤1. That is,
a small value of s (0<s<2/9) is more favorable for mass collective
action than a value almost equal to one.
Figure 3. Illustration of a 5-person structurally embedded
public goods game
This example demonstrates that in spite of the significant
difference between the micro effects of a selective incentive and
conformity on individuals’ contribution, both types of social
control may inhibit collective action under specific circumstances.
The non-monotonic effect of a selective incentive shows that
stronger social control is not always beneficial for mass collective
action. As far as the network structure is concerned,
counterproductive effects of control parameters show up when it
is possible to divide the group into fairly segregated subsets.
Adverse effects of social control are stronger if certain subsets
have dense connections within while other subsets are not as
cohesive. The phenomenon is even more likely if the latter
subsets are relatively small.
Let us take our example about a wild cat strike in a factory. When
normative pressure is low but significant (small selective
incentives), workers of the major and most cohesive workshop
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participate in the strike only if their friends at peripheral units
also join their demonstration. In this case, these friends do not
risk the failure of the strike. However, when normative pressure
becomes stronger, members of the major workshop sufficiently
enforce each other to strike without the participation of peripheral
units. In this case, workers at the periphery with connections to
the central workshop do not have the same responsibility and
they might stay out of the conflict and collectively free ride on the
effort of the major workshop.
Interactions of network structure and social control
In the next step we consider the relationship between different
forms of social control and the effect of network structure on
collective action. In order to make the analysis as simple as
possible, we inquire the marginal effects of s, b1 and b2,
respectively, by assuming that the two other parameters are
equal to zero.
If social control only means the operation of a positive selective
incentive, then from (5) it follows that full contribution is a Nash
equilibrium if
ri ≥
c −α
s
(9)
holds for all i. On the other hand, from (7) it follows that partial
contribution equilibrium exists if there is a D subset of actors, in
which
rj ≤
c −α
s
(10)
holds for all j∈ D. Equations (9) and (10) show that full
contribution and partial contribution can only exist at the same
time in case there is a subgroup D of individuals for whom the
number of relations rj equals to (c-α)/s. From equations (8) and
(9) it follows that full contribution is always a payoff dominant
equilibrium. Consequently, the structural determinants of full
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
contribution being a payoff dominant equilibrium are equivalent
to the conditions of Nash equilibrium. As we demonstrated
before, the existence of full contribution equilibrium depends on
the minimum degree of the network and therefore positively
correlated with density and negatively correlated with degree
variance and centrality measures.
Let us now consider the structural effects in case where only
mass conformity (b1) operates and s and b2 are equal to zero. In
this case full contribution is Nash equilibrium if ri≥(c-α)/b1 for all i.
The existence of partial contribution equilibrium is much more
likely than in the previous case as the conditions for this are
given as:
c −α
for all i∈ C and
b
1
c −α
for all j∈ D.
r jc − r jd ≤
b
1
ric − rid ≥
(11)
(12)
Equations (11) and (12) show that for the existence of partial
contribution equilibrium the difference between contributing and
defecting friends for some individuals have to exceed a certain
threshold, while for others it has to remain below this threshold.
This happens most likely, if contributors and defectors are
segregated in the network. Local confirmation pressure drives
certain parts of the network towards contribution and other parts
towards defection.
Consider any partial contribution equilibria where all i∈C
cooperates and all j∈D defects. From equation (8) it follows that
full contribution equilibrium is payoff dominant over partial
contribution, if
min⎛⎜ r ⎞⎟ >
⎝ jc ⎠
342
c−n α
d , where j∈ D,
b
1
(13)
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
and nd is the number of individuals (defectors) in D. It means
that the necessary structural condition for full contribution
equilibrium being payoff dominant over a given partial
contribution equilibrium is the existence of contacts between each
defector and a certain number of contributors in the latter
equilibrium. In case there are defectors that are only connected
to defectors in partial contribution, full contribution will not be
payoff dominant compared to this equilibrium. Here again we
have to emphasize the importance of universality; all defectors
should be integrated to the required extent in order to achieve
the benefits of full contribution. Density within the subset of
defectors in this respect is irrelevant. What matters is the
minimum degree of connectedness to the subset of contributors.
Strong segregation of defectors inhibits full contribution in the
community.
In case when only proportional conformity (b2) operates and s
and b1 are equal to zero, the conditions for full contribution being
Nash equilibrium are completely independent of network
characteristics. Nonetheless, the minimum degree should also be
greater than zero in this case. If this presumption holds, then the
existence of full contribution Nash equilibrium depends only on
payoff parameters. That is, b2≥c-α should hold.
In this case, segregation plays an even more important role for
the emergence of partial contribution equilibria. The conditions for
the existence of partial contribution equilibrium are:
r −r
ic id ≥ c − α for all i∈ C and
r
b
i
2
r jc − r jd c − α
≤
for all j∈ D.
rj
b
2
(14)
(15)
Given that full contribution equilibrium exists, the necessary
condition for partial contribution equilibrium is that for some
individuals the proportion of contributors among their friends has
to exceed a certain threshold and for other individuals it has to
remain below this threshold. This is more likely to happen in
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
clustered network structures. Dense subgroup structures
increase, but overlapping dense structures decrease the chance
of partial contribution equilibria. In a highly dense network it is
less likely that a subgroup exists that is sufficiently isolated from
others.
Full contribution is payoff dominant over partial contribution, if
⎛r
⎜ jc
min⎜
⎜ rj
⎝
⎞ c−n α
⎟
d
⎟> b
⎟
2
⎠
(16)
where j∈D, and nd is the number of individuals (defectors) in D in
the partial contribution equilibrium. It means that the necessary
structural condition for full contribution being payoff dominant
over a given partial contribution equilibrium is that the proportion
of contributors among the connections of each defector should
exceed a certain threshold in case of partial contribution. This is a
requirement of minimum relative connectedness, unlike in the
case of mass conformity, when it was a requirement of minimum
absolute connectedness to contributors. Here the number of
defecting friends also matters. Full contribution can be payoff
dominant also when in the partial contribution equilibrium some
defectors have only few contributing friends. On the other hand,
they should also have only few defecting friends. This also means
that if proportional conformity is highly relevant, then full
contribution can be payoff dominant equilibrium also in highly
centralized structures. For this, central actors have to be
connected to diverse subgroups.
This short analysis of marginal effects showed that the minimum
degree is a strong determinant of overall collective action in case
selective incentives operate. Network clustering and segregation
of defectors has a strong influence when conformity mechanisms
are strong. The payoff dominance of full contribution equilibrium
is not likely in centralized structures when mass conformity is
strong, but it is possible in case proportional conformity is
prevalent. Another often-cited network hypothesis, according to
which bridging ties support the transmission of contribution
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
incentives between subgroups, is not relevant if only selective
incentives are at work. In case the segregated subgroups have
dense networks the hypothesis may fail even if conformity plays a
significant role. In this case, single bridging connections do not
change defectors' incentives.
7. Discussion
This study investigated the effects of social control and network
structure on the emergence of collective action in n-person
communities. We analyzed network effects in single encounters,
and highlighted interactions between social control and structural
characteristics. To reach these objectives, an integrated
framework of analysis has been used that combined the analysis
of n-person games with local interaction games.
We discussed different social control mechanisms that are
transmitted by interpersonal relationships. These mechanisms
were incorporated in the standard n-person public goods game.
Relationships and individuals were considered anonymous; there
were no leaders, privileged actors, or binding coalitions. Social
control mechanisms, namely selective incentives and forms of
conformity were modeled as rewards that influence individual
decisions through actors’ relationships to relevant others. We
demonstrated that as a consequence of social control, network
topologies matter for the emergence of collective action.
Some results support widely accepted hypotheses about the
facilitating factors of collective action. Besides, the analysis also
shed some new light on the underlying mechanisms of social
network effects in collective action. Results support the
hypothesis that strong social control, on average, facilitates
collective action. We also emphasized that it is not always
necessary to provide a selective incentive for cooperation. Public
good provision might be possible even in a large group where
members match their behavior with a little subgroup of their
friends. On the other hand, as a main achievement of this study,
we demonstrated that under certain circumstances, stronger
social control may inhibit overall contribution. Not only
conformity, but also selective incentives might have adverse
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
effects. This result provides indirect support to the “double edge
of networks” hypothesis of Flache and it fits in the theoretical
research line that demonstrates reverse effects of social control
mechanisms.34
Among social network effects, we found that cohesion is a crucial
determinant of mass collective action. As cohesion is associated
with density, this is also in favor of the density-cooperation
hypothesis. Density, however, is not the most useful indicator of
cohesion. Our results showed that the minimum degree of the
network and fragmentation are directly related to full
contribution, which is in line with the concept of cohesion but has
no close association with density itself. Density increases the
chance of full contribution mainly because it is correlated with
these measures. The model also showed that the impact of
minimum degree on full contribution is correlated with the
strength of selective incentives, while the lack of clear network
clusters foster collective action if conformity plays a significant
role in players’ decisions. We also showed that clustering in a
community might inhibit full contribution even when social control
is relatively strong.
Nonetheless, we did not relax many of the model restrictions in
this analysis. The floor is open, however, for generalizations as
we tried to develop a flexible framework of analysis. That is,
several restrictive assumptions of the model can be relaxed in
subsequent research without shifting the basic building blocks of
the model.
For instance, the analysis can be extended to cases in which a
different production function is assumed for the public good
provision. Basically, it is not even necessary to assume an
increasing production function. Similar results can be produced
for cases in which α<0, where we have the problem of sustaining
a public bad. Similarly, instead of rewards of social control,
punishments could be considered, for instance in the form of
negative selective incentives for defectors. This modification,
however, would not reshape model predictions radically. Another
34
346
Flache Double Edge of Networks.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
example is to relax the assumption of binary social relations (two
individuals are either friends or not). We could assume that there
are good friends and also mere acquaintances in the network by
ordering weights to each tie. The strength of social control would
then depend on the strength of the given tie.
As we investigated one-shot interactions with perfect and
complete information and forward-looking, strategically rational
individuals, a natural development is the consideration of
repeated structurally embedded games. Furthermore, the
rationality assumptions of the game theoretical approach could be
regarded as serious shortcomings, although we are convinced
that there are well-founded theoretical reasons for taking this
type of actor-model as given. The presented equilibrium analysis
also presumes perfect information of actors that is very likely an
implausible assumption in large communities. One possible way
to tackle this problem is to consider limited information and
structurally constrained information flows. A game theoretical
analysis in this direction is presented by Chwe.35 Another possible
way of relaxing the strict assumptions of the model is to consider
boundedly rational actors. Backward-looking learning models
fitted to collective action problems go in this direction.36
A critical assumption that can be relaxed in a subsequent analysis
is the stability of the network, as it is done by Takács, Janky, and
Flache.37 Individuals develop new relationships and sometimes
abandon old ties, and this might have some consequences also
for their decisions in collective action, especially if the structural
change is a cause or a consequence of their behavior in the public
context. This could be followed by a dynamic interrelated analysis
of repeated collective action problems and structural dynamics.
Most important, however, is that any model extension and
theoretical development should also be fruitful for empirical
35
Michael Suk-Young Chwe, “Structure and Strategy in Collective Action” American Journal of
Sociology, 105 (1999): 128-156.
36
Michael W. Macy "Backward Looking Social Control" American Sociological Review, 58 (1993):
819-836.; Michael W. Macy and Andreas Flache "Learning Dynamics in Social Dilemmas" Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A, 99 (2002): 7229-7236.
37
Takács, Janky, and Flache „Collective Action and Network Change”
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research. Model predictions should also be tested in laboratory
experiments as we already proposed in our earlier paper.38
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POLITICAL BLOG INFLUENCE RECONSIDERED:
A NETWORK ANALYSIS OF MAINSTREAM AND
ALTERNATIVE
ETHNIC-RACIAL
AMERICAN
POLITICAL BLOGS
Jaira J. Harrington
University of Chicago
Abst r act
According to a 2008 Pew Poll, nearly 1 in 4 Americans visited
blogs for information about the 2008 U.S. Presidential campaign.
Researchers Drezner and Farrell argue that politically influential
blogs direct, shape and limit discourse by “socially constructing
interpretive frames for current events”.1 However, this particular
study reflects a larger trend in political blog research that limits
research to the mainstream, or top 100 blogs. Previous studies
neglected publics outside of the mainstream and, by extension,
suggested that alternative discourse lacks influence. Open
communication networks are vital for issue representation,
ideology and opinion formation especially among minority groups.
The sample for this study focuses on ethnic-racial political blogs
as one example of blogs outside of the mainstream blogosphere
to explore the following questions: Can political blogs that exist
outside of the mainstream, or alternative blogs, influence the
mainstream network? If so, how can political blog influence be
reconsidered to include these blogs? I use both network analysis
and logit regression to explore these questions. My findings
conclude that mainstream political blogs will be more likely to
establish a direct link to an ethnic-racial political blog with higher
influence within the alternative blog network.
Keywords: blog influence, social network analysis, political blogs,
political communication, race
1
Daniel Drezner and Henry Farrell, “The Power and Politics of Blogs” (paper presented at the
annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America,
September 2-5, 2004): 4.
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2
1. Introduction
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong gives it a superficial
appearance of being right.
--Thomas Paine (1737-1809)
In the heat of the Revolution, Thomas Paine publicly expressed
his political doubts, fears, and desires for young America by
widely
distributing
his
pamphlet
Common
Sense.
By
pamphleteering, Paine was empowered to inform the public of his
views and, as a result, influence the policy discussions
surrounding America‘s transition from detached British colony to
independent nation. In the 21st century, a technologically driven
society, the explosion of the World Wide Web has taken a similar
and increasingly important role in shaping public political
discourse. According to a 2008 Pew Poll, nearly 1 in 4 Americans
visited blogs for information about the 2008 U.S. Presidential
campaign. The billowing size and range of influence of the
Internet in American new media has transformed the way in
which public opinion can be influenced by creating a space for
political information to be distributed, analyzed and debated.
Most important to Internet public commentary and debate is the
weblog, or blog. Blogs are relatively simple networks of individual
authors or small groups of authors, called bloggers, who share
periodic commentary through posts on various topics of personal
interest. Some authors suggest that political blogs epitomize the
idea of a “representative democracy” by aggregating political
ideas and discourse from diverse perspectives.3
2
Acknowledgments: To my primary advisors on this project—Michael C. Dawson and Betsy
Sinclair—thank you for your support, guidance and encouragement. Thank you to Ramaesh Bhagirat for your
copy-editing assistance. I would like to especially thank Christopher Berk and Amir Shawn Fairdosi for their
attentive and helpful comments. I would also like to thank the seminar participants at the 2009 Ford
Foundation Fellows Conference, Irvine, CA; the 2009 Princeton University Graduate Women of Color Caucus
Symposium, Princeton, NJ; the 2009 University of Chicago Minority Graduate Student Association Research
Conference, Chicago, IL; and the 2009 Northwestern University Black Graduate Student Association
Conference, Evanston, IL.
3
Stephen Coleman and Scott Wright, “Political Blogs and Representative Democracy,” Information
Polity 13 (Jan. 2008): 1-8. ; Richard Davis, Politics Online: Blogs, Chatrooms and Discussion Groups in
American Democracy (New York: Routledge, 2005).; Hugh Hewitt, Blog: Understanding the information
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Many authors have suggested that political blogs and bloggers
are the pamphlets and pamphleteers of the technological age.4
Unlike the pamphlets of the past, blogs facilitate instant
communication with opportunities for the reading audience to
post user-generated content directly on the website through
comment boxes. Frequently, these comment boxes become a
forum within the blog where readers and bloggers alike debate
and discuss issues.
In addition to internal communication between blog visitors and
bloggers, there is substantial diffusion of information external to
blogs as well. Bloggers frequently look at other blogs for news
tips and provide information and publicity to one another through
links. The increasing influence of political blogs on public
discourse has caught the attention of some political scientists who
have tried to create a method of measuring political blog
influence.5
reformation that’s changing your world (Nashville, TN: Nelson Books, 2005).; Micah L. Sifry, “A See Through
Society,” Columbia Journalism Review 47 (January/February 2009): 43-47.
4
Daniel K. Glover and Mike Essl, “New on the Web: Politics as Usual,” New York Times, 3 December
2006, Opinion Section, Electronic edition. ;Charles P. Pierce, “Mud in the Digital Age,” The Boston Globe
Magazine, June 17 2007, 24. ; Alan Wolfe, “The New Pamphleteers,” The New York Times, 11 July 2004,
Books Section, Electronic Edition.
5
Robert Ackland, Mapping the U.S. Political Blogosphere: Are Conservative Bloggers More
Prominent?
(BlogTalk
2005)
[Accessed
http://incsub.org/blogtalk/images/robertackland.pdf;
Lada
Adamic
online];available
and
Natalie
Glance,
“The
at
Political
Blogosphere and the 2004 US Election: Divided They Blog” (Presented at the Conference on Knowledge
Discovery and Data Mining Chicago, Illinois, USA August 21-25, 2005) [Accessed online]; available
at http://portal.acm.org/citation.cfm?doid-1134271.1134277. ; Joel Bloom and Matthew Kerbel, “Campaign
blogs in 2004 and Beyond: The Care, Feeding and Harvesting of Online Communities of Supporters”
(Presented at the 2006 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania, United States of America, August 31- Sept 3, 2006).; Drezner and Farrell, “The Power and
Politics
of
Blogs”,
10.;
Kathy
Gill,
“How
Can
We
Measure the
Influence
of
the Blogosphere?”
http://faculty.washington.edu/kegill/pub/www2004_blogosphere_gill.pdf. (2004): 1-10.
Matthew Hindman, Kostas Tsioutsiouliklis, and Judy A. Johnson, “Googlearchy: How a Few Heavily-Linked
Sites Dominate Politics on the Web” (Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science
Association, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America, March 31, 2003).; Laura McKenna and Antoinette
Pole, “Do Weblogs Matter? Weblogs in American Politics,” (Paper presented at the annual meeting of the
American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America, September 2-5, 2004).
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Yet, the typical methods of measuring blog influence have
inadvertently marginalized smaller communities of weblogs,
particularly those that cater to feminist, LGBTQ and ethnic/racial
minority audiences. Rochet calls the imbalanced number of
minority weblogs a “data slant”, in that these sites are few in
number. In addition, these weblogs do not receive the massive
number of daily site visitors required to have high authority blog
status and rarely, if ever, break the top 100 list of any blog
authority-granting site6. Yet, open communication networks are
vital for issue representation, ideology and opinion formation,
especially among minority groups.
On the one hand, the relative isolation of minority, or alternative
blogs, will help to consolidate a “subaltern counterpublic” as
shown in Dawsons’s work on the American black opinion in the
black public sphere7. These alternative blogs will be able to define
a unique voice and have an opportunity for ideology formation
and public debate. However, the effects are not always positive.
Through Cohen’s previous scholarship on marginal public spheres
regarding the HIV/AIDS crisis in the African-American community
in the 1990s, it has been shown that issues within these publics
can be exacerbated from minority public sphere isolation8. From
these offline examples of marginal public spheres that are both
independent of and yet not completely detached from the
mainstream, it is clear that an examination of alternative weblog
communities will assist in an understanding how the openness of
political communication networks in the blogosphere may help
facilitate ingroup communication and/or foreclose debate on
minority issues in the mainstream. This matter is significant to
the concept of blog influence, but has not yet been examined.
Kevin J. Wallsten, Public Opinion and the New, “New Media”: How Political Blogs Influence Journalists,
Politicians and the Mass Public (PhD diss, University of California, Berkeley, 2007).
6
Laura Rochet, “The “Data Slant”: Why Lack of Media Generated by Minority Users Online is an
Offline Problem,” Harvard Journal of Hispanic Policy 19 (2006): 39-51.
See listings for “Top Blogs” at blog authority sites including: www.blogpulse.com, www.blogrunner.com,
www.technorati.com and www.truthlaidbear.com.
7
Michael Dawson, Black Visions: The Roots of Contemporary African-American Political Ideologies
(Chicago, IL: University of Chicago, 2003).
8
Cathy Cohen, The Boundaries of Blackness: AIDS and the Breakdown of Black Politics (Chicago,
IL: University of Chicago Press, 1999).
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Although these alternative sites do not have the high traffic of
their larger, more mainstream peers, this ought not indicate that
their presence in the smaller blog communities they target and
inhabit is any less influential. A 2006 Pew report on ethnic media
reveals that nearly 24 million Americans are either primary or
secondary consumers of ethnic media of all forms9. Within
communities, political discourse on these blogs is of significant
consequence. My study seeks to demonstrate the influence that
racial-ethnic alternative weblogs' communications have on
mainstream communities.
The invisibility of alternative weblogs and the overrepresentation
of mainstream blogs in past studies of blogosphere influence
points to a need for research that accounts for both groups.
Authors Drezner and Ferrell argue that because of the skewed
distribution of a few “elite” blogs, the median blogger has almost
no political influence as measured by traffic or hyperlinks.10
However, this understanding of political influential power is
incomplete. Although alternative blogs have substantially lower
traffic and less hyperlinks than elite blogs, they have a significant
impact on the communities they primarily serve and broadly
inform the mainstream. This study will directly question this
current notion of blog influence by examining mainstream blog
decisions relative to alternative blog in-group behavior.
The peripheral status of these blogs is rooted in the
methodological leanings of past studies, which do not allow for a
holistic examination of these minority blog communities within
the larger Progressive-Conservative spectrum. Studies centered
on partisanship have been the general orientation for prior
research.11 Combined with exclusive examinations of the top 100
9
A 2006 Pew report on ethnic media reveals that nearly 24 million Americans are either primary or
secondary consumers of ethnic media of all forms. Pew Research Center, “Ethnic Media Audience Trends,”
Pew
Research
Center’s
Project
for
Excellence
in
Journalism,
accessed
online
at
http://www.journalism.org/node/465.
10
Daniel Drezner and Henry Farrell, “The Power and Politics of Blogs”, 4.
11
Robert Ackland, Mapping the U.S. Political Blogosphere: Are Conservative Bloggers More
Prominent?, 2.; Lada Adamic and Natalie Glance, “The Political Blogosphere and the 2004 US Election:
Divided They Blog”, 2.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
blogs, such research has had the iterative effect of studying
relationships among the same blogs in every study. Until now,
this method of analysis has continued uncontested. Political
influence of blogs cannot be truly measured when significant
sectors of public opinion and alternative spheres of political
conversation are not included. My model is a step toward fully
including these spheres. My application of a network analysis
frame will help clarify, describe and examine the interactions
within these small alternative blog communities. Quantitatively, I
expect that my statistical model will help to explain the
mainstream blogging community’s relationship with alternative
networks. The findings will only gesture toward the quality of
relationships within the blogging community. This study will also
help political science researchers at the crossroads of network
analysis, statistical inference, political blogs and public political
discourse more critically interrogate the methods by which we
determine blog influence.
My central research question is: What is the probability that a
mainstream blog will establish a blogroll link with an alternative
blog that has a high Freeman centrality score? I hypothesize that
a blog with greater Freeman Centrality within the alternative blog
sector will be more likely to have a direct link from a mainstream
blog.
H0: Freeman Centrality has no effect on a direct link from a
mainstream blog to an alternative
blog.
Ha: Freeman Centrality has a positive effect on a direct link from
a mainstream blog to an alternative blog.
To date, current blog network analysis, which privileges blogs
with high hits and many hyperlinks, cannot fully capture the
influential power of the political blog. This paper presents a twotiered network analysis and logit regression study of the top 19
Daniel Drezner and Henry Farrell, “The Power and Politics of Blogs”, 21.; Matthew A. Baum and Tim Groeling,
“New Media and the Polarization of American Political Discourse,” Political Communication 25 (2008): 345365.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
mainstream and 37 alternative (African American and Latino)
political blogs conducted in 2009, so that the academic
understanding of political blog influence can be more inclusive
and precise.
This paper’s first section offers an overview of the current
literature on mass media, new media and politics. In this section I
clarify the relationship between individual blogs and the
blogosphere and address the issue of diversity and
inclusion/exclusion within the blogosphere. The second section
presents the data and methods for my research. The next section
offers an analysis of my data and presents the findings. This
information is followed by a discussion of those findings. The
concluding section offers future directions for research. These
suggestions are situated in the implications of my research
findings in a broader discussion of political blog influence.
2. Literature Review
2.1 Traditional Mass Media, New Media and Politics
Mass media has been a mainstay in the distribution of political
analysis, commentary and opinion. Traditional media has evolved
from print media to broadcast radio to television. In the 21st
century, Internet new media, most notably blogs, are now rising
in importance as a source for political news. A survey conducted
by the Pew Research Center reveals the increasing importance of
the Internet for obtaining political information: 33 percent of
Americans used the Internet to monitor the 2008 presidential
campaign compared with only 10 percent in 2004.12 During the
2008 primary and presidential election campaign seasons, many
blogs provided by-the-minute insight to the political speeches,
statements and events. According to a 2009 Pew Internet and
American Life Project, this heavy Internet campaign activity was
matched by Internet use of potential voters—74% of Internet
users, about 55% of the entire adult population, used the
12
Pew Research Center. “Internet Now Major Source of Campaign News.” Pew Research Center for the
People and the Press (October, 31 2008) accessed online at http://people-press.org/report/467/internetcampaign-news.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Internet for news and information about the election.13 The study
also revealed that nearly 1 of every 5 Internet users posted their
thoughts, comments or questions about the campaign on a blog
or social networking site.14 Undoubtedly, blogs are of increasing
importance to the public understanding of politics.
2.2 Clarification of Terms
2.2.1 What is a Blog?
A weblog, or blog, is an online journal whose content is posted by
either a single moderator, a blogger, or a group of bloggers. The
posted content of the blog, which could cover virtually any topic,
is generally guided by the interest of the blogger or bloggers that
support the site. These postings typically offer a comment section
where site viewers have an opportunity to broadly contribute
moderated and unmoderated commentary and ideas to the
sphere of fellow blog visitors. In the political blogosphere,
discourse about current events from the populace allows for the
free trade of ideas between dilettantes and experts alike,
broadening civic space for discussion.15
2.2.2 What is a political blog?
For the purposes of this study, a political blog is a weblog whose
main objective, but not necessarily sole interest, is to examine
and discuss American politics. Active political bloggers run an
expansive gamut of political exposure and experience, from newly
interested amateur citizen journalists to veteran journalists and
political insiders.16 Each author, by virtue of attained experience,
contributes an additional perspective to the blogosphere and,
additionally, the larger ongoing political debates. However, the
13
Aaron Smith, “The Internet’s Role in Campaign 2008,” Pew Internet & American Life Project (April
2009): 3.
14
Aaron Smith, Pew Internet & American Life Project, 12-13.
15
Stephen Coleman, “Blogs and the New Politics of Listening,” Political Quarterly 76 (April/June
2005): 272-280.
16 Eugenia Siapera, “The Political Subject of Blogs,” Information Polity 13 (January 2008): 97109.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
utility of Internet-based new media extends well beyond the
citizenry.
Politicians are now extending their influence through involvement
in the blogosphere as well.17 For the first time, in the 2004
elections, both presidential candidates, incumbent George W.
Bush and Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, maintained blogs
that provided detailed biographical information, explicated their
policy positions and offered opportunities for donations. The
strength of these blogs was that the content enabled the
candidates the power to frame their campaigns.18 The
technologically integrated campaign of United States President
Barack Obama included a user-friendly website that submitted
text, email and blog updates. These technological advancements
have been attributed, in part, to his electoral success.19
President Obama also uses the Internet for policy updates and
speeches to communicate with the public.20
International politicians have also embraced blogs as a medium of
communication. Ministers of Parliament in the United Kingdom
have campaign professional weblogs to create another pathway of
communication with their constituency.21 With the ease of
creating a personal blog, politicians are empowered by being able
to speak directly to the through the web to their constituents
without the filter of political commentary blogs or traditional news
media. While politicians themselves have begun to increase their
activity on the web to interface with the people, the interactions
17
Stephen
Coleman
and
Giles
Moss,
“Governing
at
a
Distance—Politicians
in
the
Blogosphere,” Information Polity 13 (January 2008): 7-20.
18
Shannon L. Bichard, “Building Blogs: A Multi-Dimensional Analysis of the Distribution of Frames
on the 2004 Presidential Candidate Web Sites,” Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly, 83 (Summer
2006): 329-345.
19
Mark Hennessy, “Obama to continue exploiting the potential of web as president,” The Irish
Times, November 11, 2008, World section, Online Edition.
20
See
Office
of
the
President
of
the
United
States,
Barack
Obama
website
http://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/technology/
21
Mary Francoli and Stephen Ward, “21st Century Soapboxes? MPs and Their Blogs,” Information
Polity 13 (January 2008): 21-39.; Nigel Jackson, “‘Scattergun’ or ‘Rifle’ Approach to Communication: MPs in
the
Blogosphere,” Information
Polity 13
(January
2008):
97-109.;
Scott
Wright,
“Read
My
Day?
Communication, Campaigning and Councillors’ Blogs,” Information Polity 13 (January 2008): 81-95.
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between blogs
connected.
and
sources
of
news
have
become
more
2.3 Competition between Political Blogs and Traditional Mass
Media
The growing interrelation between political blogs and the news
media bears additional consequences for public political
discourse. On the one hand, some research points to a
convergence of news media agenda setting and information on
political blogs.22 Whether watching television or reading a
newspaper, the Internet likely has a significant impact on its
content. Bloggers have become skillful at gathering information
and breaking news stories before traditional sources that many
mainstream newspapers and sources have attached blogs to
their websites in order to keep up with the pace of independent
bloggers.23 Yet, this flow of information occurs in both directions.
Much to the chagrin of traditional news outlets, blogs still rely
heavily upon their articles for news information.
On the other hand, tension exists between political blogs and
traditional media. Much of the debate arises from questions of
ethics and professional standards of journalism. Where traditional
journalistic modes of conduct including identifying reliable
sources, rigorous editing and aggressive fact checking for
accuracy are requisite in traditional media, the same codes are
optional in the blogosphere.24 Some research suggests that
culture clashes between blogs and traditional media have
hindered a more integrated relationship between the two
22
Donald Matheson, “Weblogs and the Epistemology of the News: Some Trends in Online
Journalism,” New Media & Society 6 (August 2004): 443-468.
Marilyn
Roberts,
Wayne
Wanta
and
Tzong-Horng
Dzwo,
“Agenda
setting
and
issue
salience
online,” Communication Research 29 (August 2002): 452–465.
Kevin Wallsten, “Agenda Setting and the Blogosphere: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Mainstream
Media and Political Blogs,” Review of Policy Research 24 (November 2007): 567-587.
23
Benjamin Burroughs, “Kissing Macaca: Blogs, Narrative and Political Discourse,” Journal for
Cultural Research 11 (October 2007): 319-335.
24 Jose Antonio Vargas, “Storming the News Gatekeepers; On the Internet, Citizen Journalists Raise Their
Voice,” Washington Post, November 17, 2007. Style Section, Online Edition.
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coteries25. This divide further demonstrates the importance of
examining the blogosphere separately from other forms of mass
media.
2.4 Political Blogs, Activism and Diverse Voices
As an independent form of mass media, the influential range of
the political blogosphere is enormous.26 The content of the
hundreds of active political blogs reflects the political diversity of
the electorate, including the entire spectrum of ideological
leanings to include conservative, liberal, independent and
others.27 Beyond ideological classifications, there are still smaller
subsets of political blogs that appeal to feminist, queer and racial
diversity interests. These blogs frequently communicate within
and outside of their smaller online communities. Researchers
have gained interest in the ideological diversity of voices in the
blogosphere, but the research has yet to engage blogs that cater
to feminist, LGBTQ and racial/ethnic minority audiences28. This
paper will focus on the interactions between mainstream blogs
and the alternative subset African American and Latino political
blogs.
My central research question is: What is the probability that a
mainstream blog will establish a blogroll link with an alternative
blog that has a high Freeman centrality score? I hypothesize that
a blog with greater Freeman Centrality within the alternative blog
sector will be more likely to have a direct link from a mainstream
blog.
H0: Freeman Centrality has no effect on a direct link from a
mainstream blog to an alternative
blog.
25
John McQuaid, “New Media Battles Old to Define Internet-Era Politics,” Nieman Reports (Summer
2008): 42-44.
26
Smolkin, Rachel, “The expanding blogosphere,” American Journalism Review 26 (June/July
2004): 38–43.
27
Jose Antonio Vargas, “A Diversity of Opinion, if Not Opinionators,” Washington Post, August 6,
2007. Style Section, Print Edition.
28
Laura McKenna and Antoinette Pole, “Do Weblogs Matter? Weblogs in American Politics,”, 25.
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Ha: Freeman Centrality has a positive effect on a direct link from
a mainstream blog to an alternative blog.
This study will regress both the Freeman Centrality and
Mainstream Blog Link variables to see if the null hypothesis can
be rejected.
3. Data and Methods
The blogosphere is a complex community of individual actors, or
bloggers, tied to one another to form communities of varying size
and influence. Social network analysis rests on these basic
concepts of nodes and ties. Network analysis serves as an ideal
tool to examine the interactions within, between and among
blogging communities. The application of network analysis to the
burgeoning complex of American Political blogs would help to
explain the ways in which information, readers and other
resources are exchanged between blog authors and blog
websites. Network analysis also offers a clearer picture of which
alternative blogs in the sample have the most influence within
alternative racial-ethnic political blogosphere.
The use of American Political blogs in this sample brings forth a
set of limitations in issue discussion, as some Latino-American
political blogs have bloggers who are American citizens that are
stationed elsewhere in the world. The physical boundaries of the
blogosphere are often unknown, as national boundaries are often
neglected or unimportant. Additional American political blogs are
also highly divided along ideological and party lines, in that blogs
of like political persuasions tend to cluster. Such a clustering may
have an impact on my claims to blog centrality.
Despite these challenges to my research, the American case
offers promise in that the blogosphere itself is becoming
increasingly diverse and representative, with bloggers and
blogging communities from various walks of life being
represented. As discussed earlier, the role of blogs in political
campaigns and political information has surged between the
penultimate and ultimate presidential elections. The American
case of the political blogosphere is ripe for analysis.
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Using network analysis, I used the Freeman Centrality score29 to
determine a scale for the centrality of alternative blogs relative to
mainstream blogs. To assess the impact of the Freeman
Centrality score, I use a logistic regression.
3.1 Identifying Actors in the Network30
The primary source of data for gathering blog websites was
Technorati.com. This search engine monitors 112.8 million blogs,
updates live content, and has the overall mission of “collecting,
organizing and distributing the global online conversation”31.
Technorati grants authority to blogs that have the highest
number of external hits, or visitors to the web site.
3.2 Determining Blog Influence
Past studies have measured blog authority by using the top
listings on Blogstreet, Truth Laid Bear Ecosystem, Truth Laid Bear
EcoTraffic, Blogpulse and the Adamic and Glance ranking
system.32 Despite the wide diversity of methods past scholarship
has employed to identify the leading blogs in the blogosphere,
alternative blogs are not included in the analysis because such
blogs do not receive enough hits to be included in the overall top
100.
Most blogs have a blogroll, or a list directly on the site that would
direct readers other blogs of interest. In this study I analyze
blogroll links among the top mainstream and alternative racial29
For an extended discussion of Freeman Centrality see L. C. Freeman, “Centrality in social
networks: Conceptual clarification”. Social Networks, 1(3), (1979). 215-239. Without regard to the direction
of ties, the Freeman Centrality score measures the centrality based on number of ties they have in the
network and the centralization of the network.
30
For a list of the political blogs used in the study, please see Appendix Figure I: Blog Sample.
31
See Technorati website description at www.technorati.com/about
32
Laura McKenna and Antoinette Pole, “Do Weblogs Matter? Weblogs in American Politics,”, 15-16.
Kathy Gill, “How Can We Measure the Influence of the Blogosphere?”, 6-8.
Matthew Hindman, Kostas Tsioutsiouliklis, and Judy A. Johnson, “Googlearchy: How a Few Heavily-Linked
Sites Dominate Politics on the Web”, 5.; Lada Adamic and Natalie Glance, “The Political Blogosphere and the
2004 US Election: Divided They Blog”, 8.; Robert Ackland, Mapping the U.S. Political Blogosphere: Are
Conservative Bloggers More Prominent? 2-3.; Kevin Wallsten, Review of Policy Research, 567-587.
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ethnic (African American and Latino) political blogs. The present
(or absent) ties between the blogs will be identified by blogroll
links between blogs, which can infer other aspects of influence
through shared critical resources including political updates,
readership and commentary. Drezner and Farrell state that,
“permanent links in the blogroll are more valuable to third partyblogs than links from posts that are likely to disappear over time.
Links in the blogrolls of prominent blogs with many readers are
especially valuable, as they may lead to quite significant
increases in readership”.33 I identified an absent or present tie by
reading the blogroll of each blog in the sample and indicating an
absent link with “0” and a link with “1”. Using this method, I can
also make inferences about the structural opportunity (the ease
or difficulty of resource diffusion due to network structure) of the
entire network.
3.3 Defining a Mainstream Political Blogosphere
The top 19 blogs in the mainstream political blogosphere were
extracted from the Technorati top 100 overall blog sites and the
top political blogs. First, I used the top 100 overall blog list to
gather the most visited political blog websites. I did not include
blogs that are owned or monitored by large, corporate websites
like ABCNews. I excluded these blogs on the grounds that their
number of hits may be influenced by the name recognition of
their corporate sponsor. Instead, I exclusively included
independent political blog sites. I sought to collect a larger
sample, so I extended my search to the politics blog list, which is
rank-ordered by the Technorati authority score. For continuity, I
read each site to ensure that the content addresses political
issues. On blogs there is typically an “about” section, which will
describe the main goals of the blog. Any words in the description
section that were derived from “politics” and “political” signaled a
political blog.
33
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Daniel Drezner and Henry Farrell, “The Power and Politics of Blogs”, 8.
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3.4 Defining an Alternative Political Blogosphere
I used two separate methods to define and identify the top 37
members of alternative blog community. Members of the African
American blogosphere at large may enroll on the ethnic search
engine Electronic Village. Not only do bloggers self-identify as
African American on this site, 1,600 blogs are arranged according
to website rankings.34 I identified the top political blogs using
nominal criteria. In the title or description section of each blog, if
a word stated “politics” or “political” present on the site, the blog
was considered to be an African American political blog. I read
the top 150 blogs to ensure that each member of the sample
community meets the criteria for my definition “political blog”.
Electronic Village utilizes the virtual blog library, Technorati, to
establish rankings. Using the Electronic Village website, I have
constructed a list of the top 19 African American political blog
sites.
For Latino Political blogs, I conducted a Google search of first
“Latino Political Blog” and then “Hispanic Political Blog”. Unlike
African American political blogs, at the time of my study, there
was no central virtual blog library for Latino Political Blogs. I
identified the top political blogs using nominal criteria. I scanned
the first 10 pages of each Google search. In the title or
description section of each blog, if any word derived from
“politics” or “political” was present, the blog was considered to be
a Latino American political blog.
3.5 Freeman Centrality Variable (X)
For my independent variable, I will use a common measure of
influence in network analysis, centrality. Freeman centrality is an
effective measure for the most significant actors within a network
in that it is a count of the connections between actors and
accounts for all network interactions. A higher Freeman Centrality
score indicates higher authority and influence within the
34
See black blog rankings at www.electronicvillage.blogspot.com/2009/02/top-ten-black-blogs-feb-
2009.html
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alternative network. The Freeman Centrality score of each
alternative blog will serve as the independent variable.
Table 1. Descriptive Statistics: The Freeman Centrality (X):
Mean:
Minimum:
Maximum:
Interquartile range:
Standard Deviation:
Variance
7.514
0
17
7
4.75
22.56
The Freeman Centrality scores for the sample have a mean of
7.514, a minimum value of 0 and a maximum value of 17. This
means that the average number of connections per blog is 7.514,
while the lowest number of connections is zero and the maximum
number of links in the sample is 17. The distance between the
first and third quartiles in the distribution for the variable is 7.
The mean and interquartile ranges are proximate, so the spread
in the sample does not have a problem with extreme values. The
standard deviation and variance are 4.75 and 22.56, respectively.
3.6 Mainstream Blog Link Variable (Y)
Table 2. Descriptive Statistics: The Mainstream Blog Link
Variable (Y):
Mean:
Minimum:
Maximum:
Interquartile range:
Standard Deviation:
Variance
.2162
0
1
0 (No Link) or 1 (Link)
0.417
0.174
The Mainstream Blog Link variable has a mean of 0.2162, a
minimum of 0 and a maximum of 1. This mean demonstrates that
the absolute number of links from the Mainstream to the
Alternative blogosphere is minimal. The range of scores is either
0 (No Link) or 1 (Link). The standard deviation of the variable is
0.417. The variance is 0.174.
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The dependent variable will measure the probability that a
mainstream blog establishes a direct link with an alternative blog.
This value is nominal and binomial. I use the binary link (link=1,
no link=0) score to determine whether a mainstream blog
connects to an alternative blog. Of the 3080 total observations
from a sample size of 56, I focused my analysis on the direct
links from mainstream blogs to alternative blogs. I isolated 37
cases of possible mainstream-alternative blog links.
When attempting to test causality, the most appropriate method
of analysis for a binomial dependent variable is logit regression
analysis. I attempted OLS regression analysis for my research
question and I was unable to reasonably interpret the data, as
my dependent variable violates the key assumption of linearity.
Logit regression is a more appropriate model in that there is no
strict assumption of linearity. This condition is necessary because
I use a binary variable (No Link or Link). The correlation
coefficient for the two variables is .30. This is a moderately weak,
but positive trend.
3.7 The Model
p (Freeman Centrality Score) = 1/ 1+ e
– (ˆß * X (Mainstream Blog Link
Variable))
This logistic model regresses both the Freeman Centrality and
Mainstream Blog Link variables to see if the null hypothesis can
be rejected. I will focus my attention on the first mean
differences in expected values coefficient. The findings below are
my estimates for ˆß.
4. Findings and Discussion
The data support the alternative hypothesis: Freeman Centrality
has a positive effect on a direct link from a mainstream blog to an
alternative blog. The expected value of mainstream blog links to
alternative blogs with a high Freeman Centrality score is 0.07762.
This value is located below in the Predicted Values of (Y|X) in the
table and on the graph. This score means that mainstream blogs
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link to alternative blogs only 7 percent of the time. This score
further indicates the relative isolation of the alternative political
blogosphere from the mainstream.
Of the .07 percent cases where mainstream blogs establish such
a link, the first mean difference of the expected value is .6486. In
other words, 64 percent of the time mainstream blogs link to
blogs with a high Freeman Centrality score alternative blogs
within this sample. Mainstream blogs are more likely to link to an
alternative blog as the value of its Freeman Centrality score
increases.
Tabel 3. The Logit Model
Mean
0.07762
Standard
Deviation
0.1158
2.5%
97.5%
0.002289
0.4525
Predicted Values: Y|X
0
0.93
1
0.07
First Differences in Expected Values: E(Y|X1)-E(Y|X)
Mean
0.6486
Standard
Deviation
0.3024
2.5%
97.5%
-0.1207
0.9756
Risk Ratios: P(Y=1|X1)/P(Y=1|X)
Mean
67.6
Standard
Deviation
188.6
2.5%
97.5%
0.6289
410.8
Notes: Number of Simulations: 1000
Y: Mainstream Blog Link to Alternative Blog
X: Freeman Centrality Score
Expected Values: E(Y|X)
Although the data show support for my hypothesis, the use of
network analysis in a statistical model may be contested. Network
interactions, unlike observations in a linear or logit regression,
are seen as interdependent. However, my empirical analysis of
mainstream link probability and Freeman Centrality scores, do not
violate the contestation between both methods of analysis. Each
Freeman Centrality Score is independent in that this particular
score only accounts for baseline links within the network. A direct
link with one blog does not detract from another blog‘s ability to
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create another link with that same blog. This argument for a
statistical and network analysis divide does not apply for this
particular study.
Figure 1. Graphical Representations of the Logit Model
7. Conclusion
The central concern of this paper was to determine if mainstream
blogs are more likely to connect with alternative blogs that have a
higher level of influence within their sphere. The inadvertent
marginalization of alternative political blogs from discussions of
the American political blogosphere has offered an incomplete
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
understanding of political blog influence to date. My research uses
a logistic regression model to regress both the Freeman Centrality
and Mainstream Blog Link variables from the blog sample. From
my findings, I can infer that the Freeman Centrality score of an
alternative blog does indeed have a positive effect on a
mainstream blogs decision to establish a direct link. The data
support the alternative hypothesis: Freeman Centrality has a
positive effect on a direct link from a mainstream blog to an
alternative blog.
These results are significant to the concept of political influence in
terms of interactions both internal and external to the alternative
blog network. This means that a mainstream political blog would
be more likely to link to alternative political blogs that are more
centralized within their alternative blog network. Implicitly,
alternative blogs that are empowered by their status within the
blogs network become more powerful by being linked to larger
mainstream political blogs. Alternative blogs that are connected
by association with alternative blogs connected to mainstream
actors may also be strategically aligned for resource benefits from
that mainstream site. The very links themselves among these
political blogs could be used as politically beneficial leverage in
communication as well.
Mainstream political blogs are not connecting to the alternative
blogs as shown in the model. Of the possible connections that
exist, mainstream blogs make only 7 percent of those possible
ties. Alternative blogs, or racial-ethnic blogs in this sample, are
largely isolated from the mainstream. But of those that are
connected to the mainstream, this model shows that alternative
blogs are not only connected to the mainstream blogosphere, but
their internal interactions can have an impact on mainstream
blogroll linking patterns. The impact that alternative blogs may
have on mainstream blogs has broad implications for the future of
studying political blog influence. My research suggests that
publics with fewer hyperlinks and smaller audiences may have an
impact on mainstream blogs. The primary aim of this study is to
highlight the need to look beyond mainstream blogs when
researching political blog influence. Continued research on
alternative blogs that move political blog influence research from
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the mainstream to the margins of the blogosphere, can further
the academic goal of understanding influence in political blog
networks.
For a future study, I plan increase the number blogs within each
group35. I also plan to examine how the conservative-liberal
argument that was made in prior research could affect affiliations
within alternative blog connections to the mainstream. The map
of the blog network,36 seems to suggest that political orientation
of the alternative blogs may also come into play for mainstream
blog links.
More extensive research on the issue of alternative blogs is of
significant consequence to our understanding of political influence
in the blogosphere. I plan to extend future research to LGBTQ,
Feminist and other racial-ethnic minority blogs. Yet, it must be
noted that many of the blogs in the sample alternative
community are also concerned with LGBTQ and women’s issues,
despite being identified as solely ethnic-minority blogs in this
study. Multiple identity attributes are relatively common in the
alternative blogosphere.
In addition, it is entirely plausible that blogs that do not espouse
a discrete commitment to political discourse (such as
entertainment or popular culture blogs) can have political
conversations. A similar study of blogs that do not explicitly
discuss politics could reveal new implications for online political
discourse.
Over 200 years ago, Paine‘s eloquent Common Sense pamphlet
offered “simple facts, plain arguments and common sense” that
helped to sustain a Revolution. His voice alone helped to shape
modern American views of liberty. Similarly, the activist,
pamphleteering spirit of yesteryear, embodied by the entire
blogosphere, has helped to form a place for public political
discourse, mainstream and alternative blog alike.
35
See appendix, Figure 2
36
See appendix, Figure 3
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Appendix
Figure 2. Blog Sample
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Figure 3. Blog Network
Legend for blogs included in the sample network
(an arrow pointing toward a node indicates an external tie from
another blog, a line with no arrow indicates and outward tie to
an external blog):
Mainstream American Political Blogosphere
African American Political Blogosphere
Latino American Political Blogosphere
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SOCIAL NETWORKS OF THE ITALIAN MAFIA
THE STRONG AND WEAK PARTS
Baris Cayli
University of Camerino
Abst r act
In this paper, it is argued that a well-built, social network system
has enabled the Mafia to reach a certain level of success through
three main networks: members, local people, and politicians. I
assert that the role of the executive power of the state has been
partially supportive in this success. Moreover, this paper also
concludes that to combat different Mafia groups, it is essential to
know their strong and weak parts. Consequently, it is found that
their well-built network system does not solely comprise of
strong parts but that the weak parts also exist, albeit, that they
have not yet played a defective role in the resolution of the
Mafia. Therefore, this paper suggests that the illustration of both
the strong and weak parts of these networks can have prominent
and assisting role in the combat against the Mafia phenomenon
in the future, either by strengthening the weak parts or by
weakening the strong parts of its networks.
Keywords: Mafia, social network analysis
1. Introduction
The mafia phenomenon in Italy has been discussed widely from
sociological, economical, psychological, etymological and political
points of view whereas the social network system of the mafia
from the approach of closed networks has not taken its place in
the literature. Therefore, this paper aims to focus on the social
network system of the different Mafia associations so as to fill
the gap in the mafia studies. I need to mention the name of the
prosecutor, Giovanni Falcone, who was murdered in 1992 by
Sicilian Mafia (Cosa Nostra) as the source of inspiration of this
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
paper through his words about the Mafia:1 "We have to learn to
think about the methods of Cosa Nostra calmly and with an open
mind."2 Hopefully, this paper shows a distinctive analysis on how
different Mafia groups have built their methods through up-todate networks, reaching a certain level of success. The main aim
of this paper is not to show how to combat the Mafia by using its
networks but to examine how they built their networks and
illustrating the strong and weak parts of these networks in order
to assist the fight against the Mafia.
In the first section, the paper emphasizes the theoretical and
methodological reasoning of the paper. The paper highlights the
social networks application to organized crimes, and finally, it
explains the differential organizations theory of Matsueda3, before
taking a further step and commencing the network analysis of
organized crime in Italy.
In the second part, the notion is regarded firstly with the
members of the Italian Mafia associations. This is necessary to
comprehend what kind of formation they have, how they gain
new members and build a system of recruitment, the importance
of leadership, and their communicative and descriptive type of
relationship. Moreover, pentito (Mafioso who collaborates with the
judicial authorities) is explained as a concept of the weak part of
these networks. The open and closed network system of
Matsueda4 is used to define their network system after gaining a
new member and in altering the type of relationship among the
members.
In the third section, the main topic will be Italian Mafia groups’
infiltration into the local people, how they have dominated the
people in the local regions, and subordinated them on behalf of
their own targets. To make the argument clear, the historical link
1
Mafia is used as a term to refer to Italian organized crime. Different mafia groups Cosa Nostra
(Sicily), the Camorra (Campania), the ‘Ndrangheta (Calabria), and the Sacra Corona Unita (Apuglia).
2
Diego Gambetta, "The Sicilian Mafia," Five Books, 6 October 2009, 6.
3
Ross L. Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime," Crime, Law, and
Social Change 46 (2006): 3-33.
4
Matsueda, "Differential social organization," 3-33.
383
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
of the Mafia groups in rural and urban regions based on the
economic, sociological, and cultural facts of these regions are
presented.
In the fourth section, Mafia groups’ network with the politicians is
the main concern of this part. In this section, the corrupted
politicians and different Mafia groups’ relationships are broadly
described. In the next step, my argument suggests that there has
never been consistent and cooperative commitment among
politicians from the ruling and opposition parties in the fight
against the Mafia. Furthermore, I assert that it is easy to break
the relationship between politicians and Mafia groups. By using
Matsueda’s two strong closed networks and a weak tie figure5, I
define this relationship as weak tie of the two closed strong
bonds: the Mafia groups and the politicians.
In the fifth and the last part, the executive power of the state is
analyzed in the consideration of its (dys)functionality and
(in)effectiveness in the judicial and administrative divisions of the
state. This is the last section as it signals that the Mafia's success
does not simply belong to the efforts of its members building
their networks but to the promotional and supportive influence of
the half-functional administrative and justice system of the Italian
state.
.
2. Matsueda’a Theory of Social Networks in the Evaluation
of Mafia Groups in Italy
Social networking theory has been prominent in many fields:
social psychology, communications, political science, and so on.
Apart from these fields, it has gained essential importance for the
study of organized crime. Moreover, a network perspective can be
appraised as a social, political, and economic structure as lasting
prototypes of the relational bonds between the actors.6 Thus, the
denouncing of these bonds has critical importance for better
comprehension of the workings of organized crimes like the Mafia
5
Matsueda, "Differential social organization," 15.
6
Jeffrey Scott McIlwain, "Organized Crime: A Social Network Approach," Crime, Law & Social
Change: An International Journal 32 (Dec. 1999): 301-323.
384
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groups in Italy, which have taken their power from social,
political, and economic discourses.
It is argued that social networking is also observable in the
underworld, in the system of organized crimes.7 In this social
network of the Mafia, the communication networks have an
essential place because social interactions are the main
instruments of a social organization.8 In accordance with these
communication networks, the argument has gained popularity
which states that the Mafia’s main network systems are
subordinated by three facts: kinship, patronage, and friendship.9
Additionally, these relationships, which are huge in number and
variety, should be latent; each situation ought to be considered
under their particular needs. Therefore, they have been master in
binding those individuals in a traditional society. Similar to this,
"a social network was viewed as a field of interaction that had
neither units nor boundaries. It was formed by ties of friendship,
kinship, and acquaintance partly inherited and partly constructed
by the person himself or herself."10 These kinships, friendships,
and networking structures of the Mafia phenomenon in Italy will
be examined in the next sections within its members, local
people, and politicians.
The role of Matsueda’s noteworthy study11 on social organization
and crime in this paper cannot be denied. His work on differential
social organizations, collective action and crime is significantly
important because it illustrates the conceptualization of an
organization in favor of, and against crime as collective behavior.
His figures, which are related with open and closed social
networks, and local bridges linking two distinct closed networks,
have been influential on my interpretation of the Mafia’s social
networks within its members and politicians, respectively. Two
main reasons explain the use of Matseueda’s approach to
7
McIllwain, "Organized Crime: A Social Network Approach," 310.
8
Charles W. Morris, ed., Mind, Self, and Society, George Herbert Mead 1934, (Chicago: University
of Chicago Press, 1968), 253.
9
Raimondo Catanzaro, Men of Respect: A Social History of the Sicilian Mafia, trans. R. Rosenthal,
(New York: Free Press, 1992), 43.
10
Fortunata Piselli, "Communities, Places, and Social Networks," American Behavioral Scientist 50
(2007): 867-878.
11
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime"
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scrutinize my arguments; first, this is the most appropriate
orientation for understanding the Mafia’s complex relationship
background in Italy because it prioritizes goal-focused
organizations like the Mafia. Secondly, Matseueda prioritizes
collective behavior, which is pivotal for the analysis of secretly
bonded informal structures like the Mafia. Therefore, his
theoretical framework sets the tone for this paper. Replication of
Matsueda’s figures while analyzing the social networks is the main
methodological reasoning in the paper. Nonetheless, this paper
will hopefully bridge the gap in the academic field of Mafia
research, where no evaluations exists of the Mafia phenomenon
in Italy that takes into account its social networks and relations
with members, local people, and politicians all together.
3. Italian Mafia and Its Members
In this part, the regulation of the affairs of the Mafiosi in
different Mafia groups and the network systems among their
members are explored. Firstly, the importance of the concepts,
which make these bonds stronger, is examined, and the meaning
of these rules and conducts are evaluated from the point of view
of different Mafia associations like the Sicilian Cosa Nostra (Our
Affair), the Napolitan Camorra, and the Calabrian ‘Ndrangheta
(Society of Men of Honor). Secondly, there is a need to clarify
the organizational structure of the members of the Mafia family
so as to comprehend and examine all components of the network
system among the Mafia members such as the leadership, and
the talent of adjustability. Thirdly, the vital importance of
instrumental friendship, secrecy, and trust are the main notions
of this section while establishing these networks. Finally, how
they increase their members and include them in their closed
network system and further recruitment process are explained
by using the open and closed network system of Matsueda12 in
Figure 1. Even though the Mafia associations have been
successful in building these networks for its members, the
existing weak parts among members have been emerging as the
pentiti, Mafiosi, who after being captured, collaborate with the
justice system and violate the code of silence. They are defined
12
386
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime," 15.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
as collaboratori di giustizia (collaborators with justice). This weak
part in their network system is examined in the second
subsection, where the importance of their organizational
structure, trust, and loyalty are explained.
Firstly, the bond among mafia members is defined in three basic
concepts: conduct, rules, and trust. These concepts have a
leading role in making close interpersonal relationships and have
crucial importance for unification in attaining the goals of the
Mafia. These relationships were labeled as a process for
"idealization of Mafia phenomenon."13 This is because such an
idealization would be indispensible for transferring feelings to the
members of the Mafia associations in that they belong to an
organization with certain types of ceremonies and norms.
Thereby, these features are established in order to let the
members feel themselves as ‘man of honor’. Additionally, these
structural rituals create very close formations based on strong
trust among the members, which are prominent for the existence
of their future. Furthermore, trust and close personal
relationships are fundamental for the strength of their networks.
The struggle to be a family has significant importance for the
different Mafia associations. From here, the concept of ‘family’ is
the symbol of close relationships, secrecy, and trustworthiness
as is expected of an ordinary family. Moreover, although blood
kinship is a natural circumstance of an ordinary family, this is not
always the case for different Mafia groups. For instance,
formation of Mafia organizations, especially La Cosa Nostra,
resembles a very large family, whose thousands of members are
strongly bonded and secretly oriented. This is not preferable but
demonstrates that having blood kinship is not indispensible. On
the contrary, the Calabrian ‘Ndrangheta does not illustrate any
hierarchical structure like the La Cosa Nostra but embraces a
cell-based approach and the importance of blood kinships are
more observable.14 Despite the existence of the differential
13
Letizia Paoli, Mafia Brotherhoods, Organized Crime, Italian Style (New York: Oxford University
Press, 2003), 89.
14
Christine Spolar, "New Mafia gains power in Italy, baffling law enforcement," Chicago,13 July
2008, in http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080713/NEWS07/807130540
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
structural formations among different Mafia groups, they have
corresponding points, such as the importance of secrecy, the
perception of being a family (with or without blood kinship), and
demonstrating loyalty.
Secondly, I argue that the organizational structure of the Mafia
indicates differences among Mafia groups, but the same factor
influencing contributions of the new members has not changed;
this is the protection of the secrecy and building trust in order to
reduce risks in the closed network system. The formation of the
numbers of members, their kinship and territorial basement may
vary from one type of Mafia group to another. For instance, the
traditional Cosa Nostra is a male-dominated family structure
ruled by a code of conduct for members forbidding them from
sharing the secrets of their organization.15 Moreover, any
disobedience may result with violence against the violator of the
‘code of conduct.’ Similarly, Sicily’s Cosa Nostra and the
Calabrian ’Ndrangheta are observed as typical representations of
the Mafia, and each is composed of more than 90 clans or
‘families.’ Certainly the most powerful are the Cosa Nostra clans,
which have some 3,200 members concentrated in western
Sicily.16 The mainland counterpart to the Cosa Nostra is the
’Ndrangheta, whose homeland is in the southern Calabrian
province of Reggio Calabria. Around 4,500 members are grouped
into some 90 clans or cosche, "a Sicilian term for ‘artichoke,’
which is intended to symbolize their intense cohesion."17
Finally, while establishing the new closed network system, Mafia
members use special phrases and choose new members to
include in their organizational chart by considering the strategic
professions of those people from whose expertise they will
benefit. In its special secrecy, instrumental friendship becomes
crucially important while knitting the Mafia’s network system to
establish its basis as it is vital in order to make their informal
15
Donald Ray Cressey, Theft of the Nation: The Structure and Operation of Organized. Crime in
America (New York: Harper and Row, 1969), 114-119, 242.
16
Letizia Paoli, "Family Crises among the ‘Man of Honor," Research et Society. Max Planck Research,
2 (2004) 58-59.
17
388
Paoli, "Family Crises among the ‘Man of Honor," 59.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
organization more powerful through enlarging their members
with strong bonds and specific communication systems. Thus,
the expressions ‘Tell him that I sent you’ or ‘Go in my name’ are
used in the Mafia network as a way of communication.18 These
phrases create special bonds, which lead to the production of the
social networks described in a popular way as ‘the friends of the
friends.’ (Figure-1)
Furthermore, when the notion is Mafia phenomenon, a distinction
should be made between different Mafia groups because the Cosa
Nostra and ‘Ndrangheta mainly prefer new members for
recruitment from their neighborhood or towns in southern Italy.19
Conversely, the Camorra illustrates different characteristics and
can establish its networks outside of their family or town if the
candidate has the potential to increase the effectiveness of the
organization.20 Finally the biggest fourth Mafia group from Puglia,
Sacra Corona Unita (United Sacred Crown), consists of three main
layers hierarchically, but it is important to note that a member
can graduate its stature in the organization through
demonstrating violence. The formations for closed networks and
connection among the members have crucial importance for the
Sacra Corona Unita because the networking should be like a ring
of a chain.21 Even though there are differences in the formation of
different mafia groups, one common point is both crucial and
indispensible. This is the creation of trust as a value and its
importance for the targets of the Mafia. The utmost importance of
trust comes from "an emergent property of the social system, as
much as a personal attribute. Individuals are able to be trusting
(and not merely gullible) because of the social norms and
networks within which their actions are embedded."22 Trust has
been established by the symbols and signs in the alteration of the
Mafia’s network system from an open to closed network in order
to add new members to their organization. (Figure-1)
18
Catanzaro, Men of Respect: A Social History of the Sicilian Mafia, 54.
19
Paoli, Mafia Brotherhoods: Organized Crimes, Italian Style, 18-47.
20
Tom Behan, The Camorra (London: Routledge, 1996), 191
21
Antonio Nicaso and Lee Lamothe, Global Mafia; The New World Order of Organized Crime,
(Toronto: McMillan, 1995), 69.
22
Robert D. Putnam., Making Democracy Work (Princeton: Princeton Universitiy Pres, 1993), 177.
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After the descriptive and normative formation of the Mafia
members’ network system, it is time to illustrate it through the
open and closed network system of Matsueda.23 I argue that the
well-organized communication system of different Mafia groups
has a leading role in the construction of well-working social
networking. Clarity for this argument may be enhanced by
focusing on the study of Matsueda. He states that "given common
everyday knowledge of the way in which these structures
operate, individuals can use the structures strategically, seeking
out closed structures to increase control over members."24 He
also added that in Figure 1a, both A and B can have influence C,
but that they can only do it independently and with the help of
individual sanctions, developing trust, establishing norms, and
the like. However, they cannot influence each other because of
the lack of social ties. As in Figure 1b, after this network is
established, a close network system is built so that A’, B’, and C’
can influence each other by developing coordinated strategies,
simultaneous sanctions, and similar rhetorical arguments.25
For the case of the Mafia system, while they are building their
social networks for increasing their members and/or to solve the
problems of their customers or to make cooperation with them,
they effectively create a closed social network system through
‘trust’ and the famous phrase, ‘tell him that you are friend of
mine.’ Thus, after establishing a network followed with
requirements about efficiency, reliability, and trustworthiness, a
new member in the Mafia structure can take his place in this
closed social network. He is not in the open structure anymore,
but in the closed structure, where he should now obey the Mafia
‘rules’. Additionally, the other significant feature is the importance
of stability in the closed groups, which is gained through strong
ties among members with similar ideas and homogeneity.26 Thus,
the creation of this strong closed network among its members
23
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime," 15.
24
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime," 14.
25
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime," 13-14.
26
1380.
390
M. Granovetter, "The Strength of Weak Ties," American Journal of Sociology 78 (May 1973):1360-
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
has crucial magnitude in the targets of the Mafia thanks to the
principles of solidarity and commitment. Despite differences in
the structuring of Mafia associations, they all have the same
common thread of trust and secrecy.
Figure 1. Replication of open and closed social networks
a.
Open structure
b. Closed structure
Source: Ross L. Matsueda, "Differential Social Organization, Collective
Action and Crime," Crime, Law, and Social Change, 46 (2006), 14.
At this point, after examining the strengths of the Mafia while
recruiting new membership, it remains important to stress the
weaknesses of this network. Traditionally, secrecy is perceived
as the most important criteria for membership. Contrary to this
strict rule, Mafiosi have collaborated with police after capture on
many occasions. Therefore, they violated these rules by
becoming pentiti and sharing their secrets with the criminal
justice system. Even Mafia leaders, through being pentiti, have
violated these rules. Accordingly, such violations are a natural
outcome of being arrested. This is because many Mafiosi prefer
the favorable sentencing and privileges resulting from
cooperating with the justice system. Thereby, the pentiti emerge
as a significant weakness of different Mafia groups in Italy; the
closed network system sustains its strength until the arrest of
Mafiosi.
The first pentito in 1973, Leonardo Vitale, confessed significant
secrets; albeit he did not receive sufficient attention for his
confessions because of his mental problems. Apart from him, the
most significant Mafioso turned pentito was Tommasso Buscetta
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in the 1980s. He helped prosecutor Giovanni Falcone in the
identification of the main channels that the Mafia operated.
Especially after the Maxi Trial process during the mid 1980s,
important Mafioso figures decided to be pentiti, such as Salvatore
Contorno, Antinino Calderone, Giovanni Brusca, and so on.27 In
addition to this, it has rarely been observed that such
collaboration has been done with willingness when there is no
possibility for arrest. Therefore, the consistency, solidarity, and
loyalty to the Mafia are widely followed until arrest. In sum, the
success of Mafia groups has been limited by pentiti. Confessions
of Mafiosi have played as an essential role many times to resolve
the networks of different Mafia groups.
4. Italian Mafia and Local People
This section aims to show the well-established communication
networks of different Mafia groups, who take their territorial
power from the relationships between Mafiosi and the locals.
Throughout the section, territorial power of different Mafia
groups is examined, which is a significant instrument to improve
their influence over the local people. Firstly, Kohlberg’s stages of
moral reasoning will be applied to examine the bond between
Mafia groups and local people. Secondly, I will argue that the
weaknesses of these networks is again the local people, who
have tried to show resistance against the Mafia by protesting the
Mafia individually or establishing civil associations against its
culture.
In this section, the main concern is adaptation of Kohlberg’s28
and Piaget’s stages of moral reasoning,29 which Matsueda
references as well.30 This adaptation is focused on the
relationships between the Mafia and local people on the one
hand, and local people’s reactions to these relationship bonds on
the other. Firstly, it is necessary to elaborate Kohlberg’s three
27
Martin Bull and James Newell, Italian Politics: Adjustment under Duress (Cambridge: Polity Pres,
2005), 111.
28
Lawrance Kohlberg, The Philosophy of Moral Development (San Francisco: Harper & Row, 1981)
29
Jean Piaget, The Child’s Conception of the World (London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1928)
30
Matsueda, "Differential social organization, collective action and crime"
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levels and six stages of moral reasoning31 before making such a
deep assessment. These six stages are based on the
relationships between parents and children. I replicated the
relationship between the child and parents to the relationship
between Mafia and local people can be explained because of the
similarity of those actors. The emergence of the Mafia from the
late 19th century, its changing situation over time and its
authoritative and repressive role in the contemporary era may
share the attitudes of the parents who demonstrate violence to
their children along with an irresponsible attitude.
In the application of these principles, I examine the relationship
between the locals and the historical Mafia, which exists in the
towns of southern Italy and also in urban life in recent decades. I
argue that since the middle of the 19th century, stage 1, stage 2,
and stage 3 occurred and that stage 4 occurred partially because
the representative of the ‘law and order’ was not extensively
identical with the Mafia but did come under state control,
particularly after the Maxi-trial in 1986. Additionally, this stage
has not been completed because of the existence of
untrustworthiness in the region, and
Table 1. Kohlberg’s stages of moral reasoning
Levels
Level 1 Pre-Conventional Morality
Stages
Stage 1. Obedience and
punishment orientation
Stage 2. Individualism,
exchange, and instrumentalism
Level 2 Conventional Morality
Stage 3. Good relationships and
mutual expectations
Stage 4. Law and order
Level 3 Post-Conventional Morality
Stage 5. Social contract and
individual rights
Stage 6. Universal ethical
principles
Source: Ross L. Matsueda, "Differential Social Organization, Collective
Action, and Crime," Crime, Law, and Social Change, 46 (2006), 11.
31
Lawrance Kohlberg, The Philosophy of Moral Development
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less likely, because of locals' willingness to cooperate with the
justice system, although this number has increased in recent
decades. I assert that the Mafia phenomenon in Italy can widely
be eradicated from the country after the end of stage 4, where all
residents of the southern region and the entire country admit the
supreme power of the culture of lawfulness and legality and have
sufficient encouragement to stand against the Mafia. Postconventional morality is the last level in Italian society that ought
to be reached, as it is a level of morality to rid the severe grip of
the Mafia. Stages 5 and 6 in this last level may provide an ideal
country, where the Mafia cannot invade the social, political, and
economic arenas anymore by subordination of the local people
physically, psychologically, and sociologically.
To fully comprehend such a relationship between local people and
Mafia groups, I explain step-by-step how I raise these arguments
through following three levels and six stages of Kohlberg’s moral
reasoning. The first stage – obedience and punishment – occurred
with the emergence of the Mafia phenomenon in the middle of the
18th century and was observed extensively until the period of the
contemporary Mafia. Obeying the rules and not to be punished by
the Mafiosi have been violated frequently in the last decade, but
the fear of punishment by the Mafiosi is still effective in both rural
areas and cities of Mezzogiorno – southern Italy. The local people
witnessed brutality and violence publicly and observed clearly
what happened to those who did not take Mafia threats seriously.
These people paid for this opposition with their lives. Undoubtedly,
an unequal relationship clearly exists between locals and the
Mafiosi like the one that exists between a child and its
authoritative parents. The Mafioso was the supreme authority over
the local people.
The second stage – individualism and exchange – was accordingly
the outcome of such oppression. Security has been one of the
crucial elements in taking care of the community and society. With
violence that puts your life in danger, consideration of long term
societal benefits is not expected, so from an egocentric
perspective, the security of your life becomes more significant.
This is also the reason why the Mafia has become more powerful
through the features of this network structure and that people
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valued it to ask for ‘private protection.’32 For these reasons, people
preferred to obey ‘omertà’ –code of silence- with any issue relating
to the Mafia. These first two stages would be labeled as preconventional morality reasoning, which emerged in the
atmosphere of violence, embezzlement, and oppression, so
egocentrism and personal benefits became the priority for the
local people to survive under such a brutality.
The second level – conventional morality – has not been
terminated completely yet. Although the third stage – good
relationships and mutual expectation – has come to an end, the
fourth stage – law and order – is still in the process of
completion. If I start from the third stage, this process has
almost been completed in the demonstration of people’s attempts
to consider the benefits of society as a whole through organizing
civil societies and non-governmental initiatives against the Mafia.
Aside from the anti-Mafia movement, local people have showed
their cooperation by being pentiti and breaking the order of
silence. In this regard, people who cooperated with authorities
labeled their act as ‘good’ and the Mafia as ‘bad’. Thus, they
started improving ‘good relationships’ with the justice, police, and
administrative organizations of the state. On the other hand, this
optimistic panorama can be deceptive because local people
should take the most crucial step, the fourth step, in the fight
against the Mafia. The supreme power of rule of law and the
benefits of society, which are based on legality, should be the
main cornerstone in the fight against the Mafia. Unfortunately,
such a decisive struggle has not been observed in the region. For
instance, in Sicily, the majority of the people and local shops still
pay pizzo, a protection racket.33 In sum, the completion of the
fourth stage and establishing the pure mechanism of law and
order in the region is significantly prominent to terminate the
second level – conventional morality. The devastating history of
the local people and the relationships with the Mafia should not
32
Diego Gambetta, The Sicilian Mafia The Business of Private Protection (Cambridge, MA: Harvard
University Press, 1996), 3, 26-29.
33
Francesca Forno and Carina Gunnarson, "Everyday shopping to fight the Italian Mafia," in Michele
Micheletti and Andrew S. McFarland eds., Creative Participation: Responsibility-Taking in the Political World,
(Paradigm Publishers, Bolder, 2009), 101-110.
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be underestimated for the completion of the third step on a
permanent basis. After the victory of the fourth stage, the last
level is likely to be less challenging.
The last level – post-conventional morality – can only occur in the
last steps of the fight if it becomes possible to eradicate the Mafia
from the country completely. The fifth step – social contract and
individual rights – may increase its importance on Italian citizens
in an environment where they can enforce the political spectrum
with mass social movements to ask for decisive and ad hoc
policies, only associated with the social contract, whose particular
characteristic recognizes the benefits of both individuals and
society through anti-corruption, transparency, accountability, and
matured democracy. Therefore, in the last step, it can be possible
to talk about the universal values and ethics after taking account
of the full consensus of the citizens’ participation in this process.
In the last place, after a significant victory has been gained
against the Mafia, the remaining Mafiosi breaking away from their
illegal and violent business so they may potentially turn towards
these universal values and ethics. This argument has already
found its echoes in the definition of social equilibrium of Putnam.
The high levels of cooperation, trust, reciprocity, civic
engagement and collective well-being are noted as the traits to
define civic community.34 In this regard, attaining the last level
depends on the establishment of these traits so as to be a
recognized civic community who demonstrates consistent
resistance against the Mafia.
Finally, a weakness also exists in the networks of the Mafiosi with
the local people. Although this weak part has not been directly
related to the success or failure of the Mafiosi, it has an indirect
effect, which causes direct resistance from the local people to
increase their voice against the subordination of the Mafia. It still
remains difficult to declare that this weak part is strong enough
to break all these networks of the different Mafia groups among
the local people in today’s Italy. But it contains in itself an
opportunity for the future to demolish its networks when the
resistance of the local people is extended and becomes powerful
34
396
Putnam., Making Democracy Work, 177.
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enough to replace the culture of illegality with the culture of
lawfulness.
The first strikes of this resistance appeared generally as
individual reactions. For instance, Italian journalist Mauro de
Mauro was kidnapped by the Mafia in 1970 when he tried to
investigate a murder.35 Secondly, in 1978 the Cosa Nosta
murdered Giuseppe Impastato, a significant anti-Mafia figure and
political activist. He was born in a Mafia family but decided to
fight against the Cosa Nostra and paid for it with his life. This was
the striking proof that the Mafia brutally reacts when their
networks and ‘respectability’ are targeted. Mauro de Mauro and
Giuseppe Impastato were not the only victims of this resistance.
Libero Grassi was a businessman who refused to pay pizzo,
extortion money, and he advertised in the newspaper by calling
on other businessmen not to pay racket to the Mafia. He was
murdered in 1991.36 Furthermore, the tragic assassinations of the
prosecutors Giovanne Falcone and Paolo Borsellino in 1992 had
been the limit for the civil society to illustrate their reaction in a
well planned and intensive way. All these individual attempts to
seek the Mafia’s dirty works and to fight against it lead to
attaining societal reactions against the Mafia. Thereby, Libera was
established in 1995 as a non-profit civil society aimed at fighting
against the Mafia and giving self-esteem and support to the local
people who show their resistance to it. This resistance has been
institutionalized with over 1000 associations in the country, but it
is still far from declaring that victory in this fight. Apart from
Libera, many other civil society organizations were established to
align themselves in the fight against the Mafia. What is more, this
struggle should not be underestimated because of its potential to
devastate local networks of the Mafiosi. For instance, in 2009,
over 100,000 people gathered in Naples and marched against the
Mafia.37 Even though dominance of the different Mafia groups is
35
Peter Popham, "Revealed: How Story of Mafia Plot to Launch Coup Cost Reporter His Life," The
Independent, (June 19, 2005) [database on-line]; Available at:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/revealed-how-story-of-mafia-plot-to-launchcoup-cost-reporter-his-life-494619.html
36
Dino Paternostro, "Libero grassi, martire civile," La Sicilia, August 30, 2009. 34.
37
Cristiano Corvino, "Tens of Thousand March in Naples against the Mafia," Reuters (21 March,
2009), [database on-line]; Available at: http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE52K0Z220090321
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
still clearly observable in southern Italy, these popular protests
are the weak part of the networks of the Mafiosi on local people
who demonstrated clear reluctance to react against the Mafia for
dozens of years.
Therefore, the success of the Mafia's influence on local people
depends on many factors, such as the socio-historical situation of
the region, cultural patriarchy, economic factors, the lack of the
existence of a responsible state mind in the region, and a
combination of all these paradigms. All these reasons need to be
counted in this complex sociological concentration of the Mafia.
Further, if we do not consider their well-calculated social network
system and influence on the local people through these networks,
any explanation is far from complete. Indeed, I assert that the
power of this network comes from the strong bond between local
people and authoritative manner of the Mafiosi. This also makes
it challenging to prevent the Mafia's extended power , but the
recent civil society efforts to eradicate the Mafia provide hope for
the future and become the weak link of the Mafia’s networks
within the local people.
5. Italian Mafia and Politicians
In this section, I argue that the relationship between Mafiosi and
politicians is one based on mutual benefits. The polls are given
as an example to indicate intersected points where the Mafiosi
and politicians correspond. Secondly, I conclude that the
contextual events are influential in the evaluation of the collusion
between the politicians and the Mafia from the perspective of
decaying corrupted institutions. Finally, I assert that the
sensitive bond between politicians and the Mafia is the main
concern. The argument concentrates on the sensitivity of this
bond as the outcome of the existing weak link between
politicians and Mafiosi, which is expecially vulnerable due to the
lack of emotional attachment. I will illustrate my argument with
Figure 2 through Matseuda’s weak tie of two strong closed
networks. This deficiency of the emotional bond has also been
the weak part of their successfully renowned history and mutual
benefits, which is hard to discover but easy to break after its
emergence.
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I argue that the symbiotic relationship between Mafiosi and
politicians dominates their networks, taking into account the
benefits of both parts. In this context, the commencement of this
strong relationship should be perceived as a historical
phenomenon whose roots were established on the symbiotic
bond of each party in the criminal world because of its appetite
for profits.38 This bond managed to extend to the entire political
system, especially after the emergence of the Mafia in the 19th
century. In the meantime, this poison seems to have had an
aphrodisiac-like effect in the spectrum of the cooperative Mafiapolitical nexus. Moreover, the pure dependency of politicians on
the territorial power of the Mafia was more apparent during
elections because winning a local or parliamentary election is
almost unachievable without accepting Mafia protection.39 The
Mafia had another arm in the Senate and Chamber of the Duties
to use for their ends, which were mostly related with the political
and administrative handicaps they faced.40 Thus, this system,
which consists of real power groups, may have the potential to
deeply affect political life by using its influence on people’s
decisions during the elections.41 In sum, the baseline of these
mutual relationships was determined by the obsessive power
holders between the Mafiosi and politicians. The polls also can
give clues about the rising power of the Mafia and it becomes
clear after the emergence of Silvia Berlusconi in the political
arena in the first half of the 1990s. That was interpreted as a
‘vicious circle’: "More than a few corrupt Christian Democrats
and Socialists who were voted out in the anti-Mafia climate of
the 1990s are now finding their way back into office – most of
them as candidates for the right-wing conservative camp of
Silvio Berlusconi’s governing coalition."42 In the last elections, by
presenting the unified list under the slogan of Casa della Libertà
38
Pierre Tramblay and Carlo Morselli, "Patterns in Criminal Achievement; Wilson and Abrahamse
Revisitied" Criminology 68 (May 2000): 659-663.
39
Gaetona Mosca, "Che Cosa è la Mafia," in G. Mosca, Partiti a sindacati nelle crisi del regime
parlamentare (Bari: Laterza, [1900] 1949), 243.
40
Catanzaro, Men of Respect, 54,142, 201.
41
Salvatore F. Romano, Storia Della Mafia (Salerno: Arnoldo Mondadori, 1966), 172.
42
Paoli, "Family Crises among the ‘Man of Honor," 62.
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(‘House of Liberty’) more essentially, they gained extensive
success by winning 60 direct seats.43
Political institutions, contextual events and even international
settings may help to shed light on the relationship between
politicians and Mafiosi. For instance, Propaganda Due (P2) was a
secret Masonic lodge whose members are comprised not only of
journalists and people from business and industry but also of
members of parliament like Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.44 P2
influenced taking over Corriere della Sera, a prominent Italian
newspaper,45 misleading police in the investigation of the 1980
Bologna Massacre which resulted with death of 85 people.46
Secondly, Gladio, the secret organization, was influential in Italy
in creating resistance against communism with the collaboration
of the CIA and other Mafia associations in Italy. The collusion of
the Gladio with the politicians and the underworld have
structured the political spectrum after post-war Italy and was
used as yet another justification for mafia-politicians collusion.47
Thirdly, Prime Minister Aldo Moro was killed in 1978 by a
communist organization, Red Brigades, and it is argued that he
was not saved by the Italian government because of fear that
Moro could confess about Gladio.48 Moreover, one of the most
significant examples was the operation of ‘Clean Hands’. During
this operation, 3,200 suspected bureaucrats and politicians were
convicted between 1992 and 2002.49 Unfortunately, even before
these corruptions, Mafia dominance in politics was expressed and
approved by state funded organizations like the Ant-Mafia
Commission which was established in 1962.50 Thus, it is clear
43
Paoli, "Family Crises among the ‘Man of Honor," 63.
44
Jones Tobias, The Dark Heart of Italy (London: Faber & Faber, 2003), 186-187.
45
Paul Gingsborg, Italy and Its Discontents; Family, Civil Society, State: 1980 – 2001, (New York:
Palgrave McMillan, 2003), 144-148.
46
47
Bull and Newell, Italian Politics: Adjustment under Duress (Cambridge: Polity Pres, 2005), 100.
48
Par Hubert Artus, "Pourquoi le pouvoir italien a lâché Aldo Moro, exécuté en 1978," Rue8, 6
February 2008, available at: http://www.rue89.com/cabinet-de-lecture/pourquoi-le-pouvoir-italien-a-lachealdo-moro-execute-en-1978
49
Maffei and Betsos, "Crime and Criminal Policy in Italy," 474.
50
René Seindal, Mafia Money and Politics in Sicily 1950-1997 (Denmark: Museum Tusculanum
Press, 1998), 50.
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that other secret organizations accompanied the Mafia in the
second half of the 20th century after the manipulation of Italian
social and political life by the Mafia during the first half of the
20th century. It is remarkable to stress that the state
demonstrated the capacity to counter attack on the Mafia and
secret organizations. In this respect, Maxiprocesso, Maxi Trial,
was held between 1984 and 1986. As a result, hundreds of
Mafiosi were put behind bars. The destruction of the secret
organization like P2 and Gladio and the operations of Clean
Hands occurred during the 1990s. In recent years, famous Mafia
Godfathers like Bernardo Provenzano and Salvotore Russo were
captured. These developments have created the perception that
the fight against the Mafia has gradually been more successful.
But, the confession of the son of the former mayor of Palermo,
Massimo Ciancimino, caused the public to doubt the anti-Mafia
struggle of Berlusconi government. He declared that Forza Italia,
led by Berlusconi, was the result of negotiations between the
state and Cosa Nostra, Sicilian Mafia.51
Therefore, in order to make these complex networks more
observable systematically, there is a need to elaborate and
illustrate the network relations between politicians and the Mafia
on a figure. According to Matsueda, as shown in Figure 2, closed
network groups can establish weak ties with other closed groups
to have benefits from information flows, novel ideas, more so,
since all these exchanges are coming from a set of comparatively
dissimilar groups.52 In addition to this, the weak ties between
different closed networks provide group members chances to
increase the likelihood of group members who organize into
social movements.53 For the case of the Mafia, the weak tie
between C and E in Figure 2 represents the mutual outcomes of
this network between the Mafia and politicians and bureaucracy
in the state. Furthermore, it is argued that resource mobilization
theory through the utilization of the maximum benefits of the
51
"Forza
Italia
Born
from
Mafia
Talks,"
Ansa,
8
February
2010,
available
at
http://www.ansa.it/web/notizie/rubriche/english/2010/02/08/visualizza_new.html_1701529485.html
52
Matsueda, "Differential Social Organization, " 15.
53
Mark Granovetter, "The Strength of Weak Ties," American Journal of Sociology 78(May 1973):
1360-1380
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rational actors by using their social networks and political
opportunities is significant with collective action.54 It remains
important to stress that in order to design such collective action,
civic engagement is less likely to be observed with the lack of
trust in politicians.55 With hindsight it is clear that this is the road
taken by the political institutions and regional governments in
order to make cooperation with the Mafia.
Besides, the significance of the accordance for the objectives and
the struggle to employ them to make their targets attainable has
become the remarkable argument for the criminal world.56 This
argument is also operative for the case of the Mafia. On the one
hand, the Mafia worked for politicians to help them win elections,
or to make their positions stronger and support bureaucrats
through bribes. On the other hand, its position and businesses
became more and more secure under the protective umbrella of
the state bureaucrats and politicians. This mutual network
structure between the Mafia and the dark side of the state is one
of the essential proofs as to why the vicious cycle of the Mafia
has not been terminated to date. Their meeting point to serve
their mutual benefits makes this bond stronger but not
unbreakable. Furthermore, this bond is weak when we compare
two groups’ network structures, which are based on rules, laws,
and regulations for both the informal organization of the Mafia
and the formal organization of the state. Therefore, since this
bond between C and E (see Figure 2) is based on mutual
material benefits but not strong emotional bonds, this tie can be
defined as paradoxically weak but strong in terms of resisting
showing
their
relationships
explicitly.
Moreover,
the
indispensable relationship between the Mafia and politicians is
vulnerable when their benefits are at risk. Therefore, in this
regard, this tie is also weak but breaking it is difficult since this
54
Robert D. Benford and David A. Snow, "Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview
and Assessment," Annual Review of Sociology 26 (2000), 611-639.
55
Putnam, Making Democracy Work, 172.
56
Edwin H. Sutherland, "Development of the Theory," in E. H. Sutherland, On. Analyzing Crime
(Chicago: University of Chicago Press, [1942] (1973), 13-29.
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symbiotic relationship of the two closed group networks has a
very little strategic gap that can harm their bonds.
Figure 2. Replication of the Local Bridge (weak tie) linking
two distinct closed networks
Source: Ross L. Matsueda “Differential Social Organization, Collective
Action, and Crime.” Crime, Law, and Social Change 46:3-33, p. 15,
2006.)
6. Italian Mafia and Executive Power of the State
In this section, the role of the executive power of the state in its
relationships with different Mafia groups is examined. I argue
that the two most critical elements, dysfunctionality and
ineffectiveness of the judiciary and administration systems of the
state, fostered the power of the different Mafia groups. Even in
the last decade, the performance of these institutions has
gradually increased, but is far from filling the gap that has
existed since Italian unification in 1861. First I elaborate on the
role of the executive power of the state from the concepts of
violence and power. I then examine the reliability of state
institutions in the country. Finally, I scrutinize today’s political
arena in the country and the latest developments in this field.
Firstly, it is necessary to make the connection between how the
Mafia became successful in the absence of state power and their
background knowledge of society. Further,
the state’s
ineffectiveness in promoting territorial order made the Mafia's
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infrastructure more profitable and serviceable. In the meantime,
the origins of the Mafia’s emergence provided them with good
knowledge of the society’s reaction, formation, and attitudes.
Thus, the strength of the Mafia’s enduring position is related with
their strong social networks, which were established in the
consideration of the historical process and in mastering
adaptability and power orientation. Using these features, the
Mafia gained benefits for their ends through cooperating with
politicians and legal authorities in the lines of the mutual
outcomes.
Today’s Italian administrative and justice system are in serious
decline in terms of efficiency and reliability, which makes the
Mafia’s position more durable. The decrease in public confidence
in the justice system creates a dangerous atmosphere in the
country.57 In support of this argument, "Italian criminal courts
seem unable to deal with the backlog of cases. Further, a 2006
pardon law intended to put an end to the endemic overcrowding
of state prisons, has further undermined public confidence in the
state’s ability to bring justice to criminal matters."58 In fact,
urgent reform in the Italian justice and administrative system is
not an issue of recent years but one that stems from the
historical ineffectiveness of the justice system, which has lead to
the empowering of the Mafia through the socio-cultural and
historical structure of the Mezzogiorno (southern Italy) since the
mid-19th century. This appropriate atmosphere for the Mafia
provides them the best conditions to make their bonds stronger
and to increase their power and ‘order’ over the society.
Thus, although all these statements draw a pessimistic portrait
of the fight against Mafia, its elimination from society and state
units is not unattainable. The severe hit to destroy the Mafia’s
power and capacity should be breaking up its networks,
especially the ones established with politicians. In recent years,
it has been found that "organized crime is negatively related to
police performance and the rule of law and positively related to
57
Sergio Fabbrini , "The Transformation of Italian Democracy," Bulletin of Italian Politics 1 (2009),
42.
58
404
Maffei and Betsos, "Crime and Criminal Policy in Italy," 465.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
grand corruption."59 In this context, if organized crime is more
powerful, legislation, policy-making, and legal rulings may not be
in the general interest of the public but to benefit the few.60
Moreover, the importance of the value network cannot be denied
by the essential struggle of the police through following goods,
knowledge, and the connections between actors.61 According to
this approach, the cooperation of legislative officers, analysts,
and investigating officers may provide crucial support to resolve
the organized crime networks. Above all, in order to break up the
strong networks of the Mafia, what we need is a functional and
effective justice system, police power, and more operative ways
to increase local people’s cooperation with the state. The final
essential requirements are to remove grand corruption and
increase transparency in public administration and reinforcing
the executive power of the state with the aim of constituting
consolidated anti-mafia policies.
7. Conclusion
The examination of the Italian Mafia groups from the perspective
of social networks tries to fill a significant void in academia by
being the first study of the strong and weak parts of these
networks within three main actors: members, local people, and
politicians. There is certainly much to be said about the
importance of Matsueda’s work because his differential social
organization sheds light on the strong and weak parts of the
Mafia. Although the main aim of this paper is not to show how to
resolve these networks, illustrating these strategic strengths and
weaknesses of their networks may play an important role in
simplifying the methodology of future research regarding the
fight against the Mafia phenomenon in Italy.
59
Van J. Dijk, "Mafia Markers: Assessing Organized Crime and its Impacts upon Societies," Trends in
Organized Crime 10 (2007), 51.
60
61
Dijk, "Mafia Markers," 478.
Peter Gottschalk, "Value Configurations in Organized Crime," Journal of Policing and Society 19
(Jan. 2009), 47-57.
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The findings of this paper hopefully fill the gap in the
interdisciplinary field of social networks and organized crime
structuring in Italy. These findings declare that the complex
structure of the Mafia organization among its members, local
people, and politicians has a strong historical background that
affects the contemporary situation. Making the strong parts
weaker and using the weaker parts to demolish the strong ones
of its networks appear as a crucial strategy to be focused on it.
Thus, this study’s findings announce firstly the strong parts of its
networks among the members of the Mafia which are leadership
factors; their solidarity and commitment until being arrested; the
rules, codes, and norms in the organizations; adjusting capacity
to the new situations by making their organizational structure
tighter or looser according to this change in closed network
structural formation. Secondly, the strong part of its networks
established with the local people can be summed up as the
domination of the people through violence; acting as the
informal state in their territories; severe punishment of people
who violate their rules; creating an untrustworthy atmosphere to
settle private protection; and reference to the ‘man of honor’ or
‘respectable person’ phrases to legitimize their brutal authority.
Finally, the politicians who collaborate with Mafia groups in
exchange for electoral support and bribery in order to get legal
and political protection summarize the strong parts of its
networks. Therefore, another outcome of the relationship has
been the enrichment of the each actor’s benefit in the system of
corruption.
Apart from the strenghts of these networks, the weaknesses
provide an opening change for eradicating these networks. The
first weakness in the network is the violation of their closed
network system even by the leaders of organizations as being
pentiti and collaborators with the justice system. Cooperation
with justice and state organs and violating the basic rules after
arrest emerge as significant outcomes. When there is no other
alternative to save themselves, Mafiosi prioritize their personal
benefits rather than the benefits of their Mafia family and friends
while cooperating with the state. Secondly, the weakness of the
networks of local people is the increasing willingness to resist the
dominance of Mafia groups in the region, albeit this resistance is
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still in the minority. Civil society groups, non-governmental
institutions and personal endeavors may potentially lead to a
decrease in Mafiosi extortion in the long-term. Even though this
struggle is not directly related with the networks system of the
Mafiosi, it is the outcome of past acts of violence of the Mafiosi
against locals who demonstrated resistance against the Mafiosi.
Finally, the weak part in the network with politicians is their bond,
which is solely based on material benefit and the lack of any
emotional link. This weak tie between two strong closed network
systems is a breaking point when a threat appears and puts the
benefits of each part in danger.
The second part of the paper focuses on the role of the state and
it bears emphasis that the state constituted the catalyst in
fostering both the emergence and empowering of the Mafia
because of its malfunction in the administrative and justice
system. The decaying trust in the politicians has made the fight
to eradicate the Mafia from political and social speres of the
country quite difficult. At this point, it is worth noting that the
lack of such a counter position from the state power for
demolishing the Italian Mafia has made the humus of the Mafia’s
culture of illegality more resilient over time. If different Mafia
associations still exist and are invincible in Italy today, albeit in
the late efforts of the state, their well-built and designed social
network system has an essential place in this success story of the
Mafia, but their achievement cannot solely be explained by the
power of their networks. Ineffective and corrupt state institutions
along with the cooperation of some politicians with the Mafia and
the half functional criminal justice system have made the Mafia
stronger and more overwhelming. Even though there have been
combative periods to demolish the Mafia, with some fruitful
results, these periods could never be followed up with
corresponding and durable cooperation, including all state
institutions and politicians to destroy the Mafia permanently. In
contrast, the Mafia has always found another solution to cope
with any threat or danger by adjusting themselves to the new
situations through their disciplined and synchronized structure.
Putting it differently, because of such a boomerang effect in the
fight against the Mafia, the silence of the different Mafia groups in
the last decade can create a butterfly effect for the Mafia groups
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to increase their power and seek new, illegal, and profitable
markets with a less risky atmosphere by strengthening its weak
parts.
All of this amounts to saying that both strong and weak parts of
the social networks of the Mafia should be followed by a welldesigned systematic plan in the contribution of all stakeholders in
society against the Mafia. At this point, it would be reductive not
to mention the limitations of this study in order to construct the
combat plan with the aim of getting rid of the Mafia's grip. Even
though the Mafia phenomenon has been studied for more than a
century, the subject contains obstacles because of the criminal
secrecy of the underworld. In this study, as it commonly occurs in
other mafia studies, the limitations are firstly based on the
confessions of the captured Mafiosi. It is doubtful how much
those confessions can be trusted. Secondly, there may be other
strong and weak parts of the social networks of the Mafia groups
which are not mentioned in this study. Thirdly, this study aims to
focus on the Mafia networks’ from the point view of actor-based
approach rather than target-based approach so it classified
networks of the Mafia within local people, politicians and its
members who are significant national actors in terms of
emergence of the Mafia and gaining power over those networks.
Despite these concerns, the limitations of this study provide
opportunities for future studies of the Mafia as well. Firstly, the
opportunity arises from taking a social networks approach as the
point of origin and seeking the targets of the Mafiosi throughout
those networks. Secondly, this paper is limited to one country
and it does not examine the international dimension of the
subject. Further research endeavors can take into account
international social networks of the Mafia and their influence past,
present and future.
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SOCIAL NETWORKS
ADDRESSING GROUP MEMBERSHIP AND IDENTITY
FROM THE CONCEPT/ CREATIVE FUNCTION OF
SOCI AL I M AGI N ATI ON
Elayne F. Fracaro
Graduate School of Social Research, Institute of Philosophy
and Sociology of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw
Abst r act
Exploring group membership and identity reveals how people use
and rely on the collectiveness of social knowledge. Social
imagination can be understood as collective mentality1-individuals
who imagine themselves and others through social interaction in
a place over time. This imagining of ourselves and others
connects us in a social reality. Out of this forms the structure of
social identity kept together through active social imagination
that builds social networks.
The idea for this paper came from qualitative comparative
research. In that research, group identity was addressed and it
was learned that respondents revealed strong preferences for
their original socialization framework.
The respondents
emphasized original established webs of social networks,
connecting and identify themselves in their acquired social
imagination.
Key words: group membership, identity, concept/ creative
function as a state of social imagination, the collective mentality
1. Introduction
We often view societies, a particular group of people in a place,
as being adept at creating a reality where every individual has a
1
In this paper, imagining and thinking are viewed as different activities, imagining is a social
collective phenomenon and thinking is an individual physical activity. Thinking can be viewed as the wiring of
a hard drive, imagining as the program which is run on those wires. Imagining gives meaning, not thinking
and in this sense, imagining includes collective views, perceptions and all means of seeing, visualizing and
understanding social reality.
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place and the group establishes and reinforces imaginations in
order to keep the society functioning. However, societies today
are seen as being in a state of flux as their imagination is seen as
less than collective. The social networks of the individual and
therefore all individuals appear to consist of mediocre and or
comfortable social networks without real solidarity or cohesion.
Eventually these break into small collectives, ‘social networks’
that come and go with no aim or hopes of restoring or creating a
reality where every individual in society has a place and purpose
in maintaining social order.
This paper seeks to explore social networks as a social
phenomenon generated by the concept/creative state of social
imagination in the hopes of gaining insight toward the creation
and value of social networks in today’s wider social reality; this
paper will use a clearly structured argument and theoretical
framing. By doing so, there is an attempt to learn about the
development and organization of social networks.
To define the concept of creative function of social imagination,
let us begin with the French school, which has been investigating
the “imaginaire” as something with particular roots and or
orientation, taking a historical approach. As H. Védrine put it,
“L’imaginaire” is the whole world of beliefs, ideas, myths,
ideologies that pervade each individual and each civilization2.
Emile Durkheim initiated this sociological approach to the
imaginaire through his idea of the history of mentalities.
Durkheim took this history of mentalities and saw in it a collective
consciousness or conscience depending on the translation. This
idea of Durkheim’s grew into the idea of- a sui generis3, a
collective mentality which was for him the key to understanding
society.
2
Vedrine H. 1990 Las grandes conceptions de l´imaginaire de Platon a Sartre et Lacan. París:
Livre de Poche.
3
Emile Durkheim viewed society as a collective conscience that became an omnipotent entity
which he referred to as the sui generis (Durkheim: 1995, 15) acting above and beyond the individual; yet,
non existent without such a component as the individual.
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The field of the imaginary was explored in the thesis of another
French school academic, P. Le Queau, who saw that there are two
workings of the imaginary: the imaginative activity as therapeutic
practice and integration in the group; and second, the religious
symbols which intervene in the imaginative practices as
narrations for group identity. In a sense, this idea of imaginative
activity has been expanded on by Michel Foucault’s view of
discourse, which suggests there is a necessary reference made to
imaginative activity in discourse. Review of and repeating of
imaginative activity is found in the work of Pierre Bourdieu’s
habitus as habitus relates a daily imaginative activity that acts as
a base with the purpose of sustaining the imagined identity and
social reality of a group.
The French School and its historical approach are helpful and
interesting in view of social imagination. However, when reading
the works of Charles H. Cooley, especially in his book, Human
Nature and Social Order, you are sure that imagination is clearly
a collective mentality as a network of imaginations existing only
in the imagination and investigated there. Cooley described the
collective mentality as the relation among personal ideas. In his
symbolic interactionist perspective, he was able to show the
imaginary as part of social reality unlike the French school of
thought. For Cooley, the imaginary was not captured in history or
a series of histories, but in the individual imagination in the
present as he or she was a society unto him/herself, a relation
among personal ideas and thus a member of a group unlike any
other group, a unique social world connected to other groups
through social interaction. Any cohesiveness that arises is
dependent upon the stream of connectedness in the imagination.
In a Cooliean sense, all experience is collective imagining; hence
imagination is the locus of society.
2. Social Networks are created in the Social Imagination
Social networks, applying Charles H. Cooley, are the relations
among personal ideas. In this, there is the realization that in the
imagination of the self there is the imagination of others, a
network of selves is imagined. How? For the social scientist, there
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is but one way to explore such a social psychological
phenomenon. Not by diving into the abyss of individual analysis
but into the wider aspect of social bein, in saying that it would be
enough to say human being.
To view one person’s relation among personal ideas is to view
many. One is identified because of the group and the group
because of all those ‘ones’. Thus, groups reinforce identity, belief
and by nature of the one and how he or she sees him or hersel in
that social reality - Social imagination is collective mentality
which has three aspects and two functions. The first aspect is the
source of social imagination a fundamental sub-structure, for
instance, religion. Max Weber described the occident personality
as that which is oriented in Judeo-Christian traditions. The second
aspect are the components of social imagination; namely
individuals who in their imagining, social interaction, create a
symbolic universe which gives meaning to their social imagination
and concretes their group membership and identity which acts as
a security and motivation toward further social encounters,
developing social networks. This concreting activity relies on the
source and components4 which have arisen from congregating
individuals in a place imagining themselves and other persons
who thus by interacting together construct a social system as
such mental representations of each other and each other's
actions, become habituated into reciprocal roles played by the
actors in relation to each other. The components, created by and
creating a source, also establish another aspect of social
imagination- boundaries or limits of social imagination are
controlled by the source and components.
When considering group membership and identity in the context
of social networks, social imagination is the point of departure.
The social imagination firstly is seen to have three fundamental
aspects, and that it has two functions: one function, an everyday
function and a concept/creative function that is accessed to go
beyond everyday imagining. This notion was essentially put
4
In a sense, components are not only individuals but also the residues and products they create
through social interaction. Therefore, components include symbols, values, ideas set forth or produced by
individuals in a place.
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forward in the work of P. Le Queau who gave us the two workings
of the imaginary. The concept/creative and the everyday are thus
functions of social imagination guided by the three main aspects.
It was the function of the concept/creative that fascinated me in
particular as it appeared to be functioning in the mode of
reaching beyond the three main aspects utilized by a group for its
survival and encounters with others.
Going back to Emile Durkheim‘s work relates both functions,
stressing that the everyday and concept creative are controlled
by the multitude of social imagination, society.
However,
Durkheim is nearly religious in his view of what society is as a
collective mentality which he named conscience whereas Charles.
H. Cooley was pragmatic. For Cooley, society existed in the
imagination available to us as the relation among personal ideas.
For Cooley, the imaginings people have of one another are the
solid facts of society and can only be studied in the imagination5;
and moreover without imagination, we would be prisoners of our
immediate environment and no more than simple organisms.
Cooley can be said to have addressed the concept/creative
function in his idea of imagination especially when he wrote about
the activity of imagination as the relation among personal ideas.
This approach is different from Durkheim in that Cooley stressed
individuals, each and everyone is a unique ‘individual’ society
connected to other societies through imagination. According to
Cooley, in such a society, even imaginary people were not to be
ruled out as part of the social reality, the ‘society’ of an
individual.
Cooley argued that the human mind is the place of human social
reality and social identity. In many respects, Cooley followed in
the footsteps of George H. Mead whose self and society concept
saw the mind arising in the social process. Mead demanded that
the individual self be understood fundamentally as a social reality,
constituted through communication and thus becoming a web of
social relationships.
5
Cooley C.H. Human Nature and the Social Order (NJ: Transaction Publishers, 1992).
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The functions of social imagination can only be understood in
context of social imagination’s three aspects. The source of social
imagination happens as individuals congregate in a place over
time, they in part establish the source inasmuch as they never
can fully understand the source of their social imagination. The
source can thus only be known by its components who share in
imaginative activity, what Cooley called the relation of personal
ideas. As they grow up in a place they become habit and allow for
creativity once habit is secured. In that realization, Pierre
Bourdieu’s habitus of repeating everyday action, creating habit,
provide a framework for seeing this activity of the everyday
function develop so that it can be followed by the concept/
creative, which also gives shape and continuity to a group.
Stabilization sets boundaries and at the same time those
boundaries aid and hinder the possibility of going beyond the
everyday. At least, this is what I considered when I designed the
research. When describing such a social phenomenon, the
repetition of action in a place is made possible through the
everyday function and or habit of imagining, which includes reimagining. The topic of ideal society was thought to be able to
trigger the mode of the concept/creative.
Peter Berger, Thomas Luckmann and Alfred Schutz contribute to
the idea of the everyday and including the concept/creative
function in social imagination as they addressed in their work the
stability of structure and agency. They treated life structures in a
way to show the necessity of continuity in everyday social reality.
Yet, they also saw a symbolic universe as it puts everything
quotidien in its right place which provides meaning that everyone
in the group participating in the everyday construction of social
reality, can understand and develop from both as individuals and
as a group.
When we imagine behavior, we recognize agency action as by an
individual in a social structure. Sociologists advocating action
theory do not advocate behavior as being divorced from social
structure which shares in meaning. Berger and Luckman were
indebted to Mead as was Alfred Schutz to Max Weber’s view on
action. Schutz saw action in a hermeneutic form wherein
meaningfulness is absolute. Schutz held that the key to the
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interpretation of action lies in the notion of a stream of
experiences in time; our experiences form a continuous flow6.
In attempting to better understand group membership and
identity, it can be argued that there are many levels of thinking
that cannot be ignored. Thinking is a brain process, imagining is a
social process. In an imagining process, there are many levels to
social imagination which fall under the everyday and the
concept/creative. Allowing for argument is one way of viewing the
active imagination, the concept/creative function of social
imagination. The questioning of limits belonging to a group’s
collective mentality, social imagination, while at the same time
seeking continuity and new means or other approaches to group
membership and identity in the social imagination is another way.
3. Other approaches for understanding states of the social
imagination
Gaston Bachelard’s7 Poetic Imagination is an approach to
understanding social imagination. In this work, we rediscover the
imagination as we understand that imagination has a social
function of the utmost value for any society, in that there is a
creative mode of imagination and a conceptual mode wherein
there exist images socially acquired which inspire and draw
society into the liberation from what is. Regarding sociology,
Bachelard is akin to Emile Durkheim and Charles H. Cooley in
many respects as the imagination, according to Bachelared, is
human existence itself. For him, the imagination is not only the
source of pleasure and satisfaction, but also more importantly it
is the primary source that stirs and vitalizes our actions8.
6
Abercrombie N., Hill S., and Turner B.S The Dictionary of Sociology (NY: Penguin Books, . 2000)
7
Gaston Bachelard was a French philosopher. His most important work is on poetics and on the
philosophy of science. To the latter he introduced
the concepts of epistemological obstacle and
epistemological break (obstacle épistémologique et rupture épistémologique). He rose to some of the most
prestigious positions in the French academy and influenced many subsequent French philosophers, among
them Michel Foucault, Louis Althusser and Jacques Derrida [The Columbia Encyclopedia, Sixth Edition. 200107. http://www.bartleby.com/65/ba/Bachelar.html].
8
Bachelard G. Poetic Imagination (New York: Spring Publications, 1988)
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In the realm of history, the most recent work pointing a traceable
social imagination in the sense of having a source that can be
followed back to a religion as a source is related in the 2006 book
of Gerturde Himmelfarb, The Moral Imagination. In this book,
Himmelfarb, a historian, points to the source of American social
imagination as that which has arisen out of England, its culture
with its Christian tradition as well as British political philosophy.
What the English provided America was their take on a period in
western philosophy, the Enlightenment. Can it be said that the
Enlightenment stirred the social imagination there and in the New
World? It can only be said, as many writers believe, to have
stirred the imagination, whether it put the imagination on a good
social course is still argued.
The contemporary philosopher Charles Taylor wrote Modern
Social Imaginaries in 2004 on the differences in modernities.
Taylor's approach stands on the failure of ethical and moral
thought in the post-Enlightenment world. The focus in his 2004
work was to understand the differences among modernities. It
often appears that Taylor is an enthusiast of the idea of
communitarisim in that he puts forward the idea of the social
imaginary as the way people imagine their collective social life in
a more intimate way9. As a philosopher he takes a similar position
as the historian G. Himmelfarb in the sense that a moral aspect of
social imagination is crucial for social order and hence his
criticisms of Enlightenment stimulus and applications10.
In many respects, Taylor’s work goes in a similar direction to
Benedict Anderson whose imagined community arises out of the
collective mentality of social order in a place that grows into the
widest possible form of that, the nation. However, Anderson does
not go deeply into the moral aspect but both clearly share the
idea that civil society emerges in a kind of performative
articulation which constitutes the public as nothing other than the
common action of discussing itself.
9
10
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Taylor C. Modern Social Imaginaries (Duke University Press, 2004)
Himmelfarb G. The Moral Imagination (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee., 2006)
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Going back to a historical perspective on shared group thought,
we find American historian James Gilbert and other colleagues
from history and various social sciences, who in a collaborative
effort in 1993, wrote about the social imagination in the United
States. The result of their insights was the book, The Mythmaking
Frame of Mind, Social Imagination and American Culture. The
focus of their book was also to point to moral conduct oriented in
religious and cultural values and passed on into the new world
through the influx of immigrants by the upper-middle class who
already had a stake in the new world. This required the ‘myth’
making that is the subject of Gilbert’s book. In a sense, it
required a new imagination.
In 2008, a study on geographical personality was conducted
through Cambridge University by lead researcher Peter Jason
Rentfrow, who investigated geographical personality in the United
States. The Cambridge research, headed by Rentfrow11, was a
large quantitative application based on more than 600,000
questionnaires and published in the journal Perspectives on
Psychological Science. The study mapped regional clusters of
personality traits, and then overlaid state-by-state data on crime,
health and economic development in search of correlations.
Rentfrow was keen to learn if states tend to nurture specific
personalities because of their histories, cultures, or even
climates. In such a statement, one can acknowledge that a larger
group does have its access point to a historical social situation.
What is particularly impressive about Rentfrow’s results is that
the results show the effects of personality on people's social
habits, values and lifestyles.
The Rentfrow study, though more social psychological, suggests
that personality and habits shape group mentality. Such results
show that social imagination is that which is bounded by the
group. Whether bounded by personality or shared group
mentality, it says only that there is such a phenomenon as social
11
The Cambridge study, produced the report, "The Geography Of Personality; A Theory of the
Emergence, Persistence and Expression of Geographic Variation in Basic Traits", which was published in the
November 2008 issue of Perspectives On Psychological Science.
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
imagination as it is the draw of people to the group inasmuch as
it is drawn by the group. From a social theory perspective,
Rentfrow’s study shows the collective mentality as that which
nurtures itself by attracting and connecting its direction and thus
providing continuity. In Rentfrow’s research, there becomes
visible a kind of map of social imagination showing preferences
and or attractions based on the three aspects in their utilization of
the two modes of function in the social imagination. With that in
mind, the mapping of a group of people or category of people has
been given consideration and the name cartographer metaphor.
In Borders and Fields, Joanna Kurczewska in her paper, ‘Spaces
and Borders and Social Values’ uses this metaphor as she
recognizes this kind of mapping as one way to examine the
mental access to geographical space and its boundaries as a
component of the identity structures of late modern social
mentality12. Kurczewska goes on to recognize that such a
metaphor highlights ones contact with a locality, region and
nation; thus, she emphasizes if attachment to those spaces is
inherited, learned, or imagined13. In that same book in another
paper, the social imagination was used as a way to approach
issues of borders. The paper concerning issues of borders relied
upon research initiated and sponsored by The Polish Ministry of
Science and Higher Education on the topic of ourness and
otherness14. The conclusion as shown in that paper on issues of
borders in the social imagination found that those respondents
living outside of their place of origin tended to seek out others of
like imagining, like social imagination15.
In yet a another social study, Denis Waskul and Matt Lust used
computer games, especially fantasy role-playing games, to view
12
Kurczewska J. Spaces and Borders as Social Values in: Borders and Fields, Cultures and Places:
Cases from Poland ( Krakow: NOMOS, 2008)
13
ibid
14
The Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education research project No. 1 H02E 0 12 30 entitled
Swojskosc i obcosc jak kategorie konstruowania rzeczywistosci kulturowej we wspolczesnej Polsce (Ourness
and Otherness as categories in constructing cultural Reality in Contemporary Poland) implemented in 200607. This research resulted in the book Borders and Fields, Cultures and Places: Cases from Poland. Borders
NOMOS 2008.
15
Fracaro-Bieniecka E. The Issue of Borders in the Social Imagination in: Borders and Fields,
Cultures and Places: Cases from Poland ( Krakow: NOMOS, 2008)
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
participants' creative collectivity with fantasy personas in an
imaginary universe by using a vast system of rules that function
as guidelines for make-believe action and interaction.
Consequently, role-playing games obligate participants to occupy
a liminal role located in the boundaries of persona, player, and
person.16 Their study, based on approximately ninety hours of
participant observation and forty interviews with thirty roleplayers, explored how role-players actively negotiate these
boundaries: how role-players carve out distinct spheres of
meaning between them, their fantasy personas, and status as
players of these games 17.
Waskul and Lust concluded that through the lens of these games,
we can examine simplified and exaggerated dynamics and
entertain the possibility that we are all players located at the
liminal margins between the people we believe or imagine
ourselves to be and the personas we perform in situated social
encounters18. What is relevant for this paper and the Waskul/Lust
study is that even in ‘fantasy’ rules and boundaries are obtained
and applied from what is already known by a group and the
familiar becomes a requirement in the game.
4. Social Networks seen as a state of constant and stable
flux of social imagination
Basing on the theoretical arguments referenced in this paper and
the indicated researches, one can see that the concept/creative
state of social imagination creates social networks. Social
networks are necessarily then created and sustained only as long
as the social imagination requires it. The identity of the group
and their imagination that created the social network is not seen
as dramatically being changed. The same was concluded in the
mentioned 2005 study whereby respondents were asked to
describe their ideal society. The value of that study was found in
the attention given to the organization of respondents’ ideal
16
Waskul, D. and Lust M. “Role-Playing and Playing Roles: The Person, Player, and Persona in
Fantasy Role-Playing” Symbolic Interaction, (Vol. 27, No. 3. 2004).
17
ibid
18
ibid
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
society. Though it was noted that respondents remained in their
primary social imagination original socialization framework, they
also were contemplative and stated that stability was necessary
yet at the same time there had to be struggle and determination
to sustain the ideal society. In that struggle they communicated
states of organization creating social networks that moved
accordingly with the social imagination, collective mentality.
Waves of networking that stirred the relation among personal
ideas enough to reconstruct and or reestablish its continuity.
The collective mentality, social imagination, has a source which in
fact has no escape. The initial program cannot be rewritten. For a
retro view on that scientific opinion Polish/American sociologist
Florian Znaniecki addressed the problem of social organization
and disorganization in this work on cultural development; he in
fact wrote about it using the terminology imaginative
reconstructiveness. He declared that cultural data is inescapable,
but yet it can be reconstructed to a certain degree through the
initiative of cultural data components when ‘individuals’ are found
in a new situation or faced with having to describe one, they
retreat to what they know, an original or primary program that
contained original networks. Znaniecki concluded that cultural
data does not change but rearranges itself to be comfortable in a
give place or situation. Social networks behave in the same way.
5. Conclusion
In sum, investigating social networks from the concept/creative
function as a state of social imagination puts us in touch with a
realm of social knowledge that is creative and conceptual
assertions of collective mentality in action as embodied in the
collective of people gathered in social imagination, whereby social
networks are created and accessed as needed. The creative
aspect is recognized as a flux of the state of this function of social
imagination. The value of this lies in our appreciation not only for
individual input. Group membership as an identity is also more
deeply appreciated and seen more clearly as that which is the
forefront of building social networks, those that come and go as
well as those proposed for tomorrow. As the world grows smaller,
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
the need becomes more acute for dynamic social networks that
create inasmuch as they are created by social imaginations.
In saying that, is there mediocrity in today’s social networks (i.e.,
facebook) with their perceived comfort zones regulated by users?
In some instance, yes and in a more in-depth view, we can see a
move toward social networks that create a means to integrate
differing social imaginations from around the globe into a
dynamic social reality retaining sensitivity to a sense of belonging
in the collective. However, there is a risk that such a network is
exactly the mediocrity we question. Around the world, in many
societies, social networks depend on the wave of needs by a
group and with so many upcoming and weaker groups having
differing network needs, compounded by domination by others,
the needed dynamism can be suppressed. If it does surface,
there is the risk that it will be suppressed and or reined in to
shape political correctness of the wider social imagination,
ironically leading us back to mediocrity. One thing remains,
creativity surfaces through dialogue possible only in the
concept/creative function of social imagination; all knowledge is
socially created and mediated and access to such knowledge is in
connecting with the people who create it,19 and in that there is
gained a deeper content of our social knowledge.
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Durkheim E. The Elementary Forms of Religious Life. NY: The Free
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Business, Economies, Societies and Nations. NY: Little
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Védrine, H. Las grandes conceptions de l´imaginaire de Platon a
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Weber M. The Sociology of Religion. London: Methuen, 1966.
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Relevant Researches
Cambrigde University 1999-2005. Geography of Personality:
researcher- Rentfrow P.J.
Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education in cooperation
with Rzeszow University Poland 2006-2007. Research
project No. 1 H02E 0 12 30. “Ourness” and “Otherness” as
Categories
in
Constructing
Cultural
Reality
in
Contemporary Poland
Polish Academy of Sciences 2005-2008. PhD research and
dissertation-Exploring Social Imagination. Elayne F.
Fracaro
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HISTORICISM AND ITS CRITICS: THE CASE OF KARL
MARX
Valentin Stoian
Central European University, Budapest
Abst r act
The article investigates Karl Marx’s theory of history in the light of
arguments made by Karl Popper, Isaiah Berlin and Friedrich
Hayek. It investigates the concepts of historicism and
determinism. Firstly, historicism is defined as a thinking which
maintains that human history progresses according to certain
laws, which can be discerned. Secondly, determinism is viewed as
the belief that history has a predetermined ending, derivable from
these laws. The article then applies the two concepts to Marx’s
writings. The article argues that Marx’s theory of history can be
understood in two ways: one centered on the struggle of classes,
the other on development of productive forces. However both can
be subsumed under a similar model. Finally, Marx’s theory of
history is both historicist and deterministic.
Keywords: historicism, theory, classes, society.
1. Introduction
Within the history of political thought, authors have sought for
the origins of the philosophical doctrines which lay at the basis of
the two totalitarian political regimes of the XXth century: Nazi
Germany and Stalinist USSR. Looking to condemn totalitarianism,
scholars have first tried to understand it. While historians have
sought for social and political causes, political scientists have
explained mechanisms of terror and mobilization, intellectual
historians have looked for the origins of the ideas.
After the end of the Second World War, Karl Popper published two
books: The Open Society and Its Enemies and Poverty of
Historicism. Popper argued that the origins of totalitarian political
philosophy lay in a type of thinking branded historicism.
According to him, a philosophy which seeks to find the inexorable
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C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
laws of history and to predict its end necessarily leads to a
totalitarian political action. This excludes the interests of the wide
mass of individuals and justifies the use of unlimited power in
order to attain the philosophically determined historical goal.
Popper’s thoughts were later echoed by Isaiah Berlin and
Friedrich von Hayek. Moreover, Popper focused his attention on
three philosophers: Plato, G.W. F. Hegel and Karl Marx. He
claimed that these three writers are those crucially responsible
for the development of historicist, totalitarian ideas.
However, Popper, Berlin and Hayek were severely criticized by
other authors. Firstly, the critical connection between historicism
and totalitarianism has been challenged. Secondly, Popper, Berlin
and Hayek have been attacked as offering a very strong and
mistaken reading of the philosophers under investigation. They
have been accused of twisting the evidence in the heat of the
moment, in order to suit their goal of defending liberal
democracy. As the works of the anti-historicists were written
during or shortly after the Second World War, this charge carries
certain plausibility. Therefore, a deeper investigation of Popper’s,
Berlin’s and Hayek’s argument seems necessary. This article will
not look into the first charge: the connection between historicism
and a totalitarian political philosophy. However, it will pursue the
second argument against Popper, Berlin and Hayek: that they
misread one of the key political thinkers of the XIXth century.
In the light of the arguments formulated by Popper, Berlin and
Hayek, the article will investigate Karl Marx’s philosophy of
history. The main questions which the article will answer are: Is
Marx’s conception of history a form of historicism? What are the
mechanisms by which history proceeds, in his view? Does Marx’s
conception lead to an unavoidable end? In order to respond to
these questions, the article will make reference to such crucial
Marxist texts as The Manifesto of the Communist Party and the
Capital. However, the analysis of the primary evidence will not
suffice when interpreting the texts. Marx has left an immense
legacy and his often ambiguous texts are open to different
interpretations. Two main understandings of the Marxist theory
of history will be discussed in the article: one having class
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struggle and the other relying on the development of productive
forces as the main engine of history.
The article will argue that the two types of theory of history
offered by Marx are essentially similar and that they both can be
subsumed under a single model: the “birth-pang” model. Both
rely on an argument that each stage of history carries in itself the
seeds of its own destruction. These seeds develop at once with
the “host” and then complete the cycle by eliminating the
previous historical period in a violent overthrow. Moreover, the
final revolution is unavoidable. Therefore, Marx’s conception of
history, in both its forms is both historicist (relies on the
existence of historical laws) and determinist (leads to an
unavoidable end).
Karl Marx’s works have been selected for analysis because of both
their importance and their ambiguity. Firstly, Marx has founded a
tradition of thinking. His works have been interpreted and reinterpreted by both philosophers and politicians. Authors such as
Antonio Gramsci, Gyorgy Lukacs, Ralph Dahrendorf, G.A. Cohen
and John Elster have offered philosophical renditions of Marx’s
ideas. Finally, Popper himself dedicates half of the second volume
of The Open Society and Its Enemies to Marx. However, all these
interpretations differ to the greatest possible extent. Some read
Marx as a prophet of destruction, others as one who simply
analyzed the situation of industrial workers. Because of these
ambiguities, Marx’s writings have special place in the discussion
on historicism.
The article will proceed by first defining historicism and
determinism, as they have been explained by Karl Popper, Isaiah
Berlin and Friedrich Hayek. Moreover, the main arguments
against such a thinking that the three philosophers have proffered
will be reviewed. Then, the article will move to discussing Marx’s
philosophy and analyzing it in the framework of historicism and
determinism. Finally, the article will conclude that Marx’s
philosophy of history is both historicist and deterministic.
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2. Historicism and Determinism
Karl Popper introduced the concept of historicism when trying to
give a name to the doctrine he intended to attack. His definition
still remains the most comprehensive one, which other authors
follow in their work. According to Popper, historicism is an
approach to the social sciences which assumes that “historical
prediction is their primary aim, and which assumes that this aim
is attainable by discovering the 'rhythms' or the 'patterns', the
'laws' or the 'trends' that underlie the evolution of history”1.
Popper also defines historicism in The Open society and Its
Enemies, claiming that there exist certain philosophical doctrines
which aim at large-scale historical prediction.2
Determinism can be defined as the belief that history has a
predetermined ending which will occur due to the operation of
these above-mentioned laws. Moreover, in the rendition of
Popper, Hayek and Berlin, determinism is not understood in a
weak sense. In other words, history does not only have a predetermined ending which people cannot escape, but this ending
also represents the goal of history. This “end of history” is not
merely accidental: it is the supreme state of humanity. All the
previous stages are not simply inadvertent; they are stepping
stones towards reaching that goal. Moreover, this ending is
universal: it is supposed to occur for the whole of humanity and
to last forever. In other words, it is similar to a Christian
“Kingdom of God”.
In The Open society and Its Enemies, when analyzing the theory
of Heraclitus, Popper establishes the connection between
historicism and determinism: historicism implies determinism.
Popper shows how Heraclitus believed not only that there are
certain laws of change in history, but also that they are
immutable. In Popper’s rendering of Heraclitus, everything is
change and all change is inexorable decay.3 Moving to Plato’s
writings, Popper further makes the claim that historicism implies
1
Karl Popper, The poverty of historicism, (London and New York: Ark Paperbacks, 1986), 3.
2
Karl Popper, The Open society and Its Enemies, (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1950),
3
3
Karl Popper, The Open society and Its Enemies, 16.
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determinism. Popper describes Plato as having been aware of the
fact that his belief in inexorable laws of change would lead him to
supporting the idea that history has a predetermined ending.
Plato, however, advocates that by arresting change there is a way
to block decay. 4 Finally, in probably one of the most clear
chapters of The Open society and Its Enemies, Popper argues
that historicists are interested in finding out the “true purpose” of
an institution, a purpose revealed by its history and to force that
institution along what is its unalterable path.5
Moreover, Popper does not mince his words when stating his
belief in the connection between totalitarianism and historicism.
When referring to Hegel’s philosophy and its historicism, Popper
directly claims that there is a strong connection between Hegelian
philosophy and left-wing and right wing extremism. Popper
argues that Hegel invented a “historicist scheme” in which nations
were the main actors on the stage of history. From this, there is
just one step towards totalitarianism and it is taken by both the
left and the right. The left wing replaces the nation with class
while the right wing replaces it with race, as the main actor in
history. Further on, Popper affirms that modern totalitarianism is
deeply indebted to Hegel and that Hegel represents the “missing
link” between totalitarianism and Plato.6
Similarly, Isaiah Berlin maintains that certain philosophical
conceptions claim to find the sources of historical events in
causes largely outside the actions of individuals. He avers that, by
supporting an outlook that there are certain discernible patterns
in history, one refuses the notion of individual responsibility.7
Berlin charges the historicists with claiming that individuals who
do not act according to their predetermined interests are simply
blind and cannot see the underlying pattern according to which
history proceeds.8 Therefore, individual freedom is only an illusion
4
Karl Popper, The Open society and Its Enemies, 24.
5
Karl Popper, The Open society and Its Enemies, 27.
6
Karl Popper, The Open society and Its Enemies, 226.
7
Isaiah Berlin, “Historical Inevitability” in Four Essay on Liberty, (Oxford : Oxford University Press,
1992), 54.
8
432
Berlin, “Historical Inevitability”, 55.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
caused by lack of knowledge. Thus, on the historicist account, the
more we know, the more we realize how un-free our wills truly
are. 9 In a historicist view of the world, Berlin claims that notions
of individual responsibility and guilt are meaningless. 10 What is
left for the individual, is according to Berlin’s reading of the
historicists, nothing more than to submit to the underlying
patterns. Otherwise, when the forces of history act, the individual
will be on the losing side of history. 11 The individuals who are
aware of these forces and who can see them most clearly are
humanity’s natural leaders.12
Finally, F.A. Hayek argues that there is a “scientistic” view of
history which is looking for a theory of history. In its attempts, it
seeks to divide history into stages or phases. Moreover, it relies
in its analysis on certain “wholes” (theoretical constructs which
are made up of organically linked individuals-armies,
governments) which are the actors of these laws.13 Hayek argues
that such a view of history is essentially anti-individualistic: it
does not purport to understand “wholes” by looking at the
individuals that make them up and at the relations between
them. Conversely, historicism claims to understand individuals by
looking at the larger units which they compose.14 Finally, Hayek
blames philosophers such as Marx or Hegel for not trying to build
an empirical science and, through theory, to construct the
“wholes” on which human existence is based. Rather, Hayek
claims, these philosophers have tried to grasp the laws of history
by looking at the actions of the “wholes”, which they believe they
can directly apprehend.15
9
Berlin, “Historical Inevitability”, 58.
10
Berlin, “Historical Inevitability”, 59.
11
Berlin, “Historical Inevitability”, 62.
12
Berlin, “Historical Inevitability”, 63.
13
Friedrich August
Hayek, The counter-revolution of science : studies on the abuse of reason,
(Indianapolis : Liberty Press, 1979), 128.
14
Hayek, The counter-revolution of science, 129.
15
Hayek, The counter-revolution of science, 130.
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3. Karl Marx’s theories of history-classes and productive
forces
3.1. Class struggle
At least two contending interpretations of how Marx views the
proceeding of history have been offered. The first is based on the
struggle of classes. The second gives center stage to
development and the fettering of the productive forces. Both of
them are supported by textual evidence and both of them have
been developed and explicated by other authors. However, what
both of these interpretations have in common is the fact that the
transition from one historical stage to another is governed by
laws which make these transitions inevitable once certain
conditions have been reached. Moreover, in both renditions, one
historical period is parasitic on its predecessor and eventually
brings its overthrow. Finally, in both models, violent changes are
necessary in the transition from one stage to another.
Karl Marx begins his most famous and simplest work with the
following unequivocal statement: “The history of all hitherto
existing society is the history of class struggles.”16 While heavily
relying on the concept of class, Marx never explained what he
intended to mean by it. Two attempts to elaborate on the notion
will be discussed below. Firstly, G.A. Cohen constructs the
meaning of class to be a “set of men bound by similar production
relations”17. Cohen argues that a person’s class position is given
by the person’s “objective placement in the network of property
relations”18. In other words, Cohen defines classes by taking as
reference the relations of production and people’s placement
within them. This position is what determines a person’s behavior
16
Karl Marx, The Manifesto of the Communist Party, (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1969 [1848])
http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1848/communist-manifesto/ch01.htm#a2,
Retrieved
22.02.2010.
17
Gerald Allan Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history: a defence (Oxford : Clarendon Press, 1991,
c1978), 76.
18
434
Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history : a defence , 73
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
in the market: some will have to sell labor power to survive;
others will be able to buy, while some will neither buy nor sell.19
Jon Elster improves upon Cohen’s interpretation of Marx and
comes with a more elaborate vision. In Elster’s view, class
position is “endowment-necessitated behavior”.20 Elster gives a
coherent explanation to what Cohen had already hinted at before:
a class is a group of people who have to behave in a similar
fashion in the process of obtaining the necessary means of
survival. People who compose a class possess goods or means of
production which place them in a similar position in the market.
Elster’s rendition of the classes avoids two main problems in the
interpretation of Marx. Firstly, if classes are defined according to
the simple ownership of means of production, then some absurd
results might come out. For example, one might own a sewing
machine, which can be a means of production, while another may
own a ring made of gold of the same value as the sewing
machine. However, this golden ring is not a means of production,
as it cannot be used in creating new products. Thus, according to
an interpretation of the concept of class relying on the ownership
of means of production, the two owners would belong to different
classes. However, since neither the sewing machine can sustain a
small business or the golden ring provide enough resources for
starting one, both owners are in a situation to sell their labor
power.21
The second interpretation of the concept of class which Elster
manages to avoid is that of basing class definitions on the value
of the possessions which one owns.22 It is irrelevant for the
argument if within the same class there are differences in
endowments, as long as these endowments impose the same
behavior on individuals. While in the previous example, the owner
of the sewing machine and that of the golden ring possessed
things of similar value, another example would be illustrative for
19
Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history : a defence , 72
20
Jon Elster, Making sense of Marx (Paris : Éditions de la Maison des sciences de l'homme, 1991,
c1985),, 324.
21
For the example on which this argument is based see, Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history : a
defence, 71
22
Elster, Making sense of Marx , 322
435
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
the second argument. Let us imagine a comparison between the
owner of two golden rings and one who possesses none. One
could arbitrarily decide that there is some kind of difference
between those that own property of certain value and those who
don’t. For example, if one golden ring cost $ 1000 and the limit
between petty bourgeois and proletariat was set at $ 1500, then
the owner of the two golden rings would pass the threshold while
the other would not. However, this makes little difference
considering that the value of the two golden rings would not allow
their owner to start a business in which to employ labor. As much
as the one who does not own anything, the owner of the two gold
rings has to sell labor on the market.
The first strand in Marxist theory of history is its class-centered
form. Its textual base can mostly be found in the Communist
Manifesto. This work gives the most detailed account of how
classes evolve through history. The first part of the first chapter
of the Communist Manifesto is dedicated to the detailed
description of the rise of the bourgeoisie. Still during Medieval
times, the bourgeoisie emerged from the free dwellers of cities,
which were able to maintain their privileges in front of the feudal
relations of production. Finally, when the bourgeoisie burst into
the world, it transformed the world as it was known:
The bourgeoisie, historically, has played a most revolutionary
part. The bourgeoisie, wherever it has got the upper hand, has
put an end to all feudal, patriarchal, idyllic relations. It has
pitilessly torn asunder the motley feudal ties that bound man to
his “natural superiors”, and has left remaining no other nexus
between man and man than naked self-interest, than callous
“cash payment”. It has drowned the most heavenly ecstasies of
religious fervor, of chivalrous enthusiasm, of philistine
sentimentalism, in the icy water of egotistical calculation. It has
resolved personal worth into exchange value, and in place of the
numberless indefeasible chartered freedoms, has set up that
single, unconscionable freedom — Free Trade. In one word, for
exploitation, veiled by religious and political illusions, it has
substituted naked, shameless, direct, brutal exploitation. 23
23
436
Marx, The Manifesto of the Communist Party
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
The quoted passage sketches the development from feudalism to
capitalism. In contrast to the theory of productive forces which
will be outlined below, the class-centered form of the theory gives
central place to two main contenders: the proletariat and the
bourgeoisie. The transition from feudalism to capitalism is, as the
passage shows, less of a transition from manufacture to industry
but more a change of power between nobility and bourgeoisie.
Each of these two classes has its own culture, which it imposes
upon the world when conquering power. While the feudal nobility
based its rule on “religious fervor” and “chivalrous enthusiasm”,
the ideology of the free market legitimates the rule of the
bourgeoisie.
However, the free market, while being the instrument which
allows the bourgeoisie to dominate the world is also its undoing:
The weapons with which the bourgeoisie felled feudalism to the
ground are now turned against the bourgeoisie itself. But not
only has the bourgeoisie forged the weapons that bring death to
itself; it has also called into existence the men who are to wield
those weapons — the modern working class — the
proletarians.24
The constant development of the industrial capacity of society
creates more and more the conditions under which a large part of
the population loses all its possessions. These men and women
have nothing to live on without selling their labor power. Because
of the competition with large scale industry, those who had
formerly owned some kind of means of production are forced to
sell them and live by becoming employed in the large factories.
However, while the economic development creates more and
more proletarians, it makes them more and more alienated from
the product of their work. Moreover, it also makes them poorer
and poorer, a process known as the “immiseration of the
proletariat”25
On the other hand, the development of modern industry creates
the conditions for the forging of proletarian unity:
24
Marx, The Manifesto of the Communist Party
25
Terence Ball, “History: critique and irony” in Terrell Carver ed.
The Cambridge Companion to
Marx (Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 1992, c1991), 137.
437
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
Now and then the workers are victorious, but only for a time.
The real fruit of their battles lies, not in the immediate result,
but in the ever expanding union of the workers. This union is
helped on by the improved means of communication that are
created by modern industry, and that place the workers of
different localities in contact with one another. It was just this
contact that was needed to centralize the numerous local
struggles, all of the same character, into one national struggle
between classes.26
According to Marx, the phase before the revolution is
characterized by two facts: more and more cooperation and
communication between workers and a greater development of
the awareness of the proletariat. Together, proletarians put up a
struggle against the bourgeoisie. Moreover, they realize the even
if they work hard, as the rhetoric of the bourgeoisie claims, they
will never end up as bourgeois themselves. With this realization,
the proletarians become accustomed to the idea that their own
situation is not their own fault, but is a consequence of class
relations. Therefore, these have to be abolished completely.27
Eventually, these pressures come to the boiling point:
In depicting the most general phases of the development of the
proletariat, we traced the more or less veiled civil war, raging
within existing society, up to the point where that war breaks
out into open revolution, and where the violent overthrow of the
bourgeoisie lays the foundation for the sway of the proletariat.28
The revolution takes place and the state is seized by the
proletarians. However, rather than ruling as a new bourgeoisie,
the proletariat abolishes all class distinctions known before. The
proletariat, because it is the “universal” class, is more interested
in simply abolishing the difference between the few and the
many. Thus, according to the interpreters of Marx, the
dictatorship of the proletariat is meant only as a temporary form
of rule to be held only until the revolution is secure. Finally, once
the power of the proletariat is secure, the state with its courts,
26
Marx, The Manifesto of the Communist Party
27
Ball, “History: critique and irony”, 138.
28
Marx, The Manifesto of the Communist Party
438
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
police and army has no reason to exist. The state withers away
and the proletariat abolishes itself as a class.29
3.2. Productive forces
The second and more elaborate strand of Marxism which Elster
identifies looks at the development of the productive forces as the
key to historical transition. Rather than viewing history as a
transition from one ruling class to another, the productive-forces
theory focuses on economic developments from one age to
another. A new age is not determined by the class position of its
rulers, but rather by the organization of the process of
production. Transition between ages occurs when a certain type
of relations of production fetter the development of the
productive forces and a new organization is needed in order for
these to continue developing.
Since the concept of productive forces is vague, its definition had
to be elaborated by the exegetes of Marx. Cohen explicates the
term of productive forces by arguing that something is a
productive force if control over it contributes to establishing the
position of the controller in the “economic structure of the
society.” Furthermore, in order to be a productive force,
something must be able to develop throughout history, be in a
condition to be fettered and explain, together with similar things,
the economic structure of society.30 Finally, Cohen includes in his
catalogue of productive forces such exemplars as means of
production, raw materials, spaces and labor power.31 However,
Elster refuses this simple definition and argues that Marx’s theory
is not coherent when it comes to defining what productive forces
actually are. He uses the case of science, an uncontroversial
productive force according to Marx, but not easily fitting Cohen’s
criteria and the case of population to attack Cohen’s classification.
Elster looks at Marx’s ambiguous statements of population, which
sometimes is classified as a productive force and sometimes not.
29
Ball, “History: critique and irony”, 139.
30
Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history: a defence, 41.
31
Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history: a defence, 55.
439
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
This is done in order to show the impossibility to define
productive forces as neatly as Cohen desires 32
However, while the concept of productive forces is difficult to
explain, what makes productive forces so crucial is the fact that
they determine relations of production. Both Cohen and Elster
take pains to explain this second concept and to differentiate it
from the productive forces. While productive forces are material,
relations of productions occur between other entities. Thus, each
relation of production needs at least two terms: either two
persons or one person and a productive force. Therefore,
relations of production include such situations as ownership or
control, slavery, mastery, hiring and being employed.33
Moreover, in an improvement of Cohen’s criteria of definition of
relations of production, Elster also introduces the nature of the
non-productive owners as a principle of differentiation. This is
done in order to differentiate between serfdom and the Asiatic
mode of production, two exemplars of modes of production
mentioned by Marx. While in serfdom the non-productive owners
of means of production are the nobility, in the Asiatic mode of
production, these are the state bureaucracy.34
Finally, in the productive forces-centered interpretation of Marx,
the key determinant of the change between historical periods is
the interaction between productive forces and relations of
production:
At a certain stage of development, the material productive
forces of society come into conflict with the existing relations of
production or – this merely expresses the same thing in legal
terms – with the property relations within the framework of
which they have operated hitherto. From forms of development
of the productive forces these relations turn into their fetters.
Then begins an era of social revolution. The changes in the
32
Elster, Making sense of Marx , 253
33
Cohen, Karl Marx's theory of history: a defence, 35.
34
Elster, Making sense of Marx , 258
440
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
economic foundation lead sooner or later to the transformation
of the whole immense superstructure.35
Thus, at the same time, productive forces determine the relations
of production (“the windmill gives you society with the feudal
lord; the steam mill, society with the industrial capitalist36), and
their development is affected by the existing relations. In the
beginning of a new age, the newly developed relations of
production permit the development of the productive forces.
However, there comes a time when the maximum rate of
development of productive forces possible under a certain
arrangement of relations of production is reached. From now on,
relations of production are fetters to the further development of
productive forces.
Once this point is reached, a revolution occurs and new relations
of production are established. The following passage describes
the transition from capitalism to communism:
The monopoly of capital becomes a fetter upon the mode of
production, which has sprung up and flourished along with, and
under it. Centralization of the means of production and
socialization of labor at last reach a point where they become
incompatible with their capitalist integument. This integument is
burst asunder. The knell of capitalist private property sounds.
The expropriators are expropriated. 37
Thus, as the text suggests, there comes a point in which the rate
of expansion of productive forces is not anymore permissible by
the current economic organization. At that point, the relations of
production have to be overthrown. The most important part of
the argument, the way the text describes the overthrowing, is
that it is a violent process. There is no gradual transition from the
35
Marx, Preface to the Critique of Political Economy (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1977[1859]),
http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1859/critique-pol-economy/preface.htm,
Retrieved 23.02.2010.
36
Karl Marx, The Poverty of Philosophy,
http://www.nyu.edu/projects/sciabarra/essays/ieesmarx.htm, Retrieved 23.02.2010
37 Karl Marx, Capital I, (Chicago: Charles H. Kerr and Co., 1906)
http://www.econlib.org/library/YPDBooks/Marx/mrxCpA32.html, Retrieved 23.02.2010.
441
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
capitalist mode of production to communism. The passage’s
apocalyptic tone and especially the last two sentences make it
clear that expropriation has to occur. Moreover, the metaphor of
a bursting integument leaves little to be expected when it comes
to the methods by which this will be done.
Another argument for Marx’s belief in the inevitability of the
communist revolution and his unilinear view of history is his view
that historical questions can only be raised when the answer is
also within reach. Inquiries into overcoming capitalism can only
emerge when a way of doing is already in sight. Thus, his own
theory could not have emerged if the social organization under
which he lives cannot be terminated. An end of capitalist society
is visible and inevitable.
As Elster points out, in order for the transition to happen, there
must be an adequate development of the productive forces under
capitalism. The capitalist relations of production will not simply go
away when some desire. There has to be a building pressure on
them and sufficient development such as after the transition to
communism, the way that the productive forces will be put to use
will be more efficient than under capitalism. If the revolution is
premature (the question of ending capitalism is raised before the
means for it are available) several unpleasant and unforeseen
circumstances might arise. The new communist society might
never overtake capitalism in the development of its productive
forces and might perpetually lag behind. Or, alternatively, even if
the new communist society will eventually overtake capitalism, it
might not do it immediately.38
3.3 The “birth-pang” model
The analysis of the two accounts of the historical process
described by Marx has to take into account two main factors: the
dramatis personae, or the agents who do the actions and the
processes by which these agents interact. At a close inspection of
the two versions of the Marxist philosophy of history, it can be
seen that while the agents are different, the processes are
extremely similar. The main agents of the class-centered theory
38
442
Elster, Making sense of Marx , 290-291
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
are groups of people while the agent of the productive-forces
interpretation is technology. While the first is easier to
comprehend because the concept of class can be easily
expounded, the second needs much more articulation. However,
after serious investigation, it comes out that technological
development can provide as good a basis for historical progress
as the struggle between poor and rich.
The most important finding which one notices by the comparison
of the two theories is their striking similarities. In both, history
proceeds according to what could be termed, to use Marx’s own
metaphor, a “birth-pang” model. In both of them, history is
structured in several stages, according to the social or economic
organization of the time.
In the beginning, one social and
economic system emerges. However, from the very start, this
system carries within it the seeds of its own destruction. For
example, feudalism, because of serfdom, makes people run away
from villages into towns. Gradually, towns develop and obtain
protection against lords. The bourgeoisie is thus born. However,
from the very moment of the bourgeois take over of power, its
organization of the economy has the seeds of its own destruction
planted inside. The bourgeoisie brings with it its “grave-diggers.”
Alternatively, the process has a similar development in the
productive forces-centered interpretation. Inside capitalism, there
is a constant increase of surplus and technological innovation.
However, this rate of technological innovation eventually cannot
be maintained by capitalism. Other relations of productions are
needed.
While each historical period develops, inside it, a future one also
grows. In the beginning, the present period is strong and its
successor is weak. However, one’s growth also triggers the
growth of the other. In the early stages, this is not a problem,
because the present mode of production can ensure prosperity
and peace. But, there comes a certain moment in which growth
stops, while the structural conditions for the transition to the next
stage take a more clear shape. The disappearance of the present
form of social organization becomes more and more obvious.
Towards the end, the situation reaches a crisis point, in which
social and/or economic problems lead to enough human suffering
443
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
that there are strong demands for radical change. Then, in a
process similar to birth, the new historical period bursts into the
scene by the violent overthrow of the previous form of social
organization. The “birth-pangs” of history represent the upheaval
by which one period succeeds its predecessor. The predecessor is
consumed and exits the historical scene. Eventually, the process
repeats itself until the last stage, communism, is reached.
4. Conclusion
When judged according to the criteria of historicism and
determinism, established by Popper, Berlin and Hayek, it can
concluded that Marx’s conception of history is both historicist and
determinist. He begins with the assertion that the important facts
about human life can be found in the economic organization. The
laws which govern the development of the human society are
deeply embedded in the very way in which it organizes itself. The
organization of the economy develops according to law-like
regularities. Productive forces change, and with them do change
the relations of production. Relations of production determine the
organization of society. When the productive forces have changed
enough, relations of production also have to change, taking the
legal and moral framework along with them. Alternatively, classes
develop. The very development of classes leads to an inexorable
conflict between those who members of different classes. Some
people exploit the labor or other people. However, the exploited
organize and begin to act politically. Finally, the exploited classes
take over power from their exploiters. These are, according to
Marx, the laws of progress which govern the entire human
history.
Eventually, all these transformations have to end somehow. This
is the reason why Marx’s theory can be said to be determinist. In
both of its accounts, the end is settled, derivable from the
observation of the natural laws of historical progress. Moreover,
Marx postulates his findings with a claim of universality. The
revolution that he envisions will occur all over the world,
beginning from the most industrialized countries. Finally, after the
proletarian revolution, history will stop moving forward. The
444
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
state, repression and need will wither away and the communist
world will envelop the globe.
Bibliography
Ball, Terence “History: critique and irony” in Terrell Carver ed.
The Cambridge Companion to Marx (Cambridge :
Cambridge University Press, 1992, c1991).
Berlin, Isaiah “Historical Inevitability” in Four Essay on Liberty,
(Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1992).
Cohen, Gerald Allan Karl Marx's theory of history: a defence
(Oxford : Clarendon Press, 1991, c1978).
Elster, Jon Making sense of Marx (Paris : Éditions de la Maison
des sciences de l'homme, 1991, c1985).
Hayek, Friedrich August The counter-revolution of science :
studies on the abuse of reason, (Indianapolis : Liberty
Press, 1979).
Marx, Karl Capital I, (Chicago: Charles H. Kerr and Co., 1906)
http://www.econlib.org/library/YPDBooks/Marx/mrxCpA32.html,
Retrieved 23.02.2010.
______Preface to the Critique of Political Economy (Moscow:
Progress
Publishers,
1977[1859]),
http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1859/critiq
ue-pol-economy/preface.htm, Retrieved 23.02.2010.
______The Manifesto of the Communist Party, (Moscow: Progress
Publishers,
1969
[1848])
http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1848/com
munist-manifesto/ch01.htm#a2, Retrieved 22.02.2010.
______
The
Poverty
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Philosophy,
http://www.nyu.edu/projects/sciabarra/essays/ieesmarx.
htm, Retrieved 23.02.2010
Popper, Karl, The Open society and Its Enemies, (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 1950)
_______, The poverty of historicism, (London and New York: Ark
Paperbacks, 1986).
445
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
BOOK REVIEWS
Volume I: Paul D’Anieri and Taras Kuzio (eds.),
D e m ocr at iz at ion a n d Elect ions in Post - Soviet Uk r a in e
(Stuttgart: ibidem-Verlag, 2008).
Volume II: Bohdan Harasymiw in collaboration with Oleh
S. Ilnytzkyi (eds.), I n for m at ion
a nd
M a n ipu la t ion
St r at e gie s in t h e 2 0 0 4 Uk ra in ia n Pr eside nt ia l Ele ct ion s
(Stuttgart: ibidem-Verlag, 2008).
Volume III: Ingmar Bredies, Andreas Umland and Valentin
Yakushik (eds.), The Cont e xt a nd D yn a m ics of t he 2 0 0 4
U k r a in ia n Pr e sident ia l Elect ion s (Stuttgart: ibidem-Verlag,
2008).
Yuliya Zabyelina
University of Trento
Ukraine's Orange Revolution is a breath-taking example of epic
political battles with charismatic heroes and anti-heroes
surrounded by massive demonstrations and the plenty of
pretentious incidents of poisoning, kidnapping, contract killings,
and the numerous acts of other official intimidation and media
deception. The Orange Revolution if juxtaposed with other recent
political coup d’états of colors and symbols, such as Georgia’s
Rose Revolution, or the Velvet Revolution in the former
Czechoslovakia, outshines the rest, having become the brightest
example of a peaceful political upheaval over the past few years
of transformation in Central and Eastern Europe. Indeed, the
electoral triumph of Yuschenko’s bloc over the country’s corrupt
leadership represented a new landmark in the post-communist
history of post-Soviet states.
The multiple editors of the six-volume series of The Aspects of
the Orange Revolution published by ibidem Publishers primarily
coming from the Western academic environment put together an
exceptional publication that paints a multi-faced canvas of the
factors, the proceedings, as well as the consequences of the
Orange Revolution. Not only do the volumes discuss the
‘democratic’ nature of the revolution, namely, electoral fraud,
446
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
human rights violations, legal reformation, but also observe
other, seemingly detrimental, but intrinsically essential for
understanding of this phenomenon issues of national identity,
polarization, and cultural divergence. The volumes draw upon an
extensive methodological variety of qualitative and quantitative
research techniques, fieldwork and participant observations
conducted by both established and young social scientists coming
from a variety of academic backgrounds of political science,
electoral studies, jurisprudence, communication studies, history,
linguistics, and musicology. In such a multi-disciplinary manner,
the authors explore the unique features of the Orange Revolution
(OR) structurally organized for the purpose of this book review
into five major categories: (1) OR as a regime phenomenon, (2)
OR as an opportunity for foreign intervention; (3) OR as an
incentive for legal reformation; (4) OR as a media event; (5) OR
as a cultural revival stimulus, and, finally, (6) OR as a
polarization instrument.
Although the Orange Revolution was not only about
democratization and elections, most of the studies on this
bitterly-dramatic event approach the 2004 Presidential Elections
in Ukraine as a perfect case for political science research. Taras
Kuzio, Lucan A. Way, and Paul D’Anieri (volume I) set forward a
discussion over the conceptual variety of the regime formation in
Ukrainian politics after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Taras
Kuzio revises the mainstream literature on democratization and
transitology with a particular emphasis on the applicability of such
widely-established concepts as Balzer’s managed democracy,
Kryshtanovskaya’s militocracy, Birch’s concept of electoral
clientalism, and D’Anieri’s electoral authoritarianism to
appropriately reflect on the nature of the political regime in postSoviet Ukraine. Kuzio argues that these concepts are to be united
under the category of hybrid political regimes, in which the
distinction between the state and the ruling party is distorted,
and in which there is fake pluralism build on family connections
and corruption. In a similar vein, Lucan A. Way further elaborates
on the hybrid nature of the political regime before and after the
Orange Revolution. He argues that between 1992 and 2004
Ukraine serves a perfect example of rapacious individualism – a
form of authoritarianism, in which elections are in place but
447
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
distribute the power in favor of corrupt and self-minded
politicians. The idea of rapacious individualism is perfectly
suitable to refer to Ukrainian politics as the one that promotes
opportunism and fraud. Adding on to this debate, Paul D’Anieri
reconsiders Ukrainian politics from the perspective of machine
politics with respect to Kuchma’s Ukraine from 1994-2004 that
was officially democratic but in reality was run by a patron-client
political relationship dominated by one party in power.
Looking internally at political agendas of the key actors of the
Orange Revolution, Anna Makhorkina (volume I) argues that
Yuschenko’s EU-Ukraine-Russia multi-vector foreign policy
objective of Yuschenko’s bloс was indeed a winning strategy
compared to a strictly pro-European BYuT, and a narrowly proRussian Party of Regions. Shifting the emphasis to the EU’s
mission to Ukraine, Paul Kubicek (volume I) suggests that the EU
foreign policy mechanisms, such as contagion, convergence of
norms, and conditionality are crucial for the understanding of the
political crisis in Ukraine in 2004. Andrew Wilson (volume III)
discusses the extent, the success, and the outcomes of foreign
intervention on behalf of Ukraine’s geopolitical rivalries of Russia
and the EU. On the one hand, his article explores the political
technology as the means of the Russian presence in Ukraine.
Both Yuschenko’s and Yanukovych’s camps employed the political
technologies developed in Moscow by such prominent polittechnologists as Gleb Pavlovski and Marat Gel’man. On the other
hand, he deals with NGOs and the role of the West that obviously
supported pro-democratic activities and the independent media.
Western governmental and non-governmental organization in
parallel to those of the Russians imported various techniques,
which, without doubt, also had an impact on the outcomes of the
Orange Revolution. Finally, he acknowledges that the West was
trying to promote democracy, while the political technologists
were trying to undermine it through their manipulating practices.
The only true test of the outcomes of the Orange Revolution
would, of course, be the performance of the government.
Guided by an interdisciplinary approach, the authors of the series
offer in-depth technically-legal articles that discuss the
institutional and electoral reforms in Ukraine. The article by a
448
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
group of experts constituted by Robert K. Christensen, Edward R.
Rakhimkulov, and Charles R. Wise (volume I) argues that the
institutional transformation from a presidential-parliamentary
form of government to a parliamentary-presidential, if other key
intervening factors, i.e. political, economic, and historical national
specificities are taken into a careful consideration, would most
likely have a positive effect on the consolidation of the Ukrainian
state as a democratic regime. Calling for an electoral reform,
Bohdan Harasymiw (volume II) suggests that the electoral
system in Ukraine is unstable as there is no consensus on the
nature of democracy the Ukrainian elite envisions for Ukraine.
Mixed majoritarian and proportional electoral systems hinder the
parties’ cohesiveness, thereby promoting charismatic and
clientelistic party factions. Shifting the emphases, Hartmut Rank
and Stephan Heidenhain (volume III) evaluate the role of the
Ukrainian judiciary and its decisions related to the elections of
2004. They point two major deficiencies of the judiciary in
Ukraine to be urgently reformed: first – the Law “On Election of
the President of Ukraine” that contains stipulations, such as
absentee voting and correcting the voters list on the election day,
which made the election fraud possible and even easy; second –
the Law “On Election of the President of Ukraine” that failed to
provide the possibility to declare the results of one of the rounds
invalid even though it had not been possible to establish the
election results because of irregularities. Finally, they argue that
it is an eminent success for Ukrainian society that the legitimacy
of the new President of Ukraine, despite all political difficulties, is
not seriously challenged. The Ukrainian judiciary made an
important contribution into the legitimacy of the newly-elected
President.
While the fact that the Orange Revolution made Ukraine a more
democratic regime is still under question, there is no doubt that
the Orange Revolution had a fundamental impact on the
enhancement of media transparency in Ukraine. Ukraine is the
only CIS country defined as partly free by the Freedom House1
1
Freedom
House.
Map
of
Press
Freedom
2008.
Available
on-line
at:
www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=251&year=2008, last
accessed at 30.07.2009.
449
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
while the press of all the rest of Eastern Europe’s post-Soviet
state is classified as not free. Several articles of the collection
engage into the exploration of media aspects of the Orange
Revolution. Focusing on campaign strategies, Marta Dyczok
(volume II) argues that Yuschenko’s victory was secured by his
political campaign’s media breakthrough. While the Kuchma’s bloc
was continuously censoring news media and limiting Yuschenko’s
campaign access to media, Yuschenko’s opposition employed the
mirror techniques of traveling through the country, shooting
positive advertising, and purchasing their own TV station (5th
Channel). Exploring campaign strategies, Olena Yatsunska
(volume II) applies American political advertising typology to the
Ukrainian media context. Yet, although she find the typology
particularly useful, she concludes that compared to US political
advertising, Ukrainian political shots are dominantly negative and
manipulative. She suggests that there should urgently media
neutralization measures taken. Shifting the emphasis to Russian
mass media, Ilya Khineyko (volume II) analyzes the coverage of
the Orange Revolution in the Russian press. According to his
content and frame analyses, the image of Yuschenko presented in
the Russian press is the one of a chauvinist candidate backed up
by the West and, automatically, unacceptable for the Russian
government, while Yanukovych, although with doubtful proRussian credentials, is widely supported in the Russian press as a
more preferable President of Ukraine. Focusing on the linguistic
aspects, Lyudmyla Pavlyuk (volume II) identifies that there is an
over-amplified by the media linguistic divergence between
Yuschenko and Yanukovych that created media-constructed
images of hostility, expression of ethnic phobias, and
stereotypical schemes that she is exploring in a sophisticated
analysis.
The 2004 Orange Revolution was not only a test of Ukrainian
democracy, legitimacy, and media, but also a contest over a
cultural revival. Valerii Polkovsky (volume II) traces the
development of lexical innovations, neologisms and satirical
allusions in the Ukrainian language throughout the Orange
Revolution. He argues that the Orange Revolution became a
crucial event for the “re-orientation of native lexis, reconnotation,…and reinterpretation of words” (p. 171) in the
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Ukrainian language. In a similar vein, Adriana Helbig (volume III)
contributes a uniquely multi-disciplinary article that studies the
specificities of cyberpolitics of tak-techno music in Ukraine during
the Orange Revolution. She claims that the Orange Revolution
marked a turning point for Ukrainian political expression as
younger voters began to voice political dissent and culture-related
grievances
publically
using
the
new
opportunities
of
communication through the Internet.
Finally, what should be also kept in mind is that regardless of the
widely-accepted positive interpretations of the consequences of
the Orange Revolution, the Presidential Elections in Ukraine in
2004 also produced negative corollary effects. Partially
preconditioned by historical factors, partially artificially-created by
polit-technologists and the media, national polarization is one of
the most critical problems that endanger the unity, and
consequently, the stability of the Ukrainian state. Dominique Arel
(volume III) argues that although the Orange Revolution gave a
birth to the Ukrainian political nation that is capable of organizing
independently from the state, this young political nation is
extremely divided. If civil rather than ethnic identity is not
stimulated in all the regions of Ukraine, any Ukrainian
government would fall prey to national divergence set up by
geographically polarized citizens. Arriving to a similar conclusion,
Ivan Katchanovski (volume III) analyzes the regional cleavages in
electoral behavior, religious divisions, ethnic and linguistic
differences in Ukraine. Having employed sophisticated statistical
electoral data, national surveys, as well as the World Value
Survey in multiple regression analyses, Katchanovski argues that
the determinants of polarization are the results of historical
experiences in Ukrainian regions in the period before and after
the First and Second World Wars and imply that these inherent
issues would not disappear in Ukraine in the near future, and
therefore, the government should develop national policies that
would smoothen the regional disparities. Ralph S. Clem and Pater
R. Craumer (volume III) explore the electoral geography of
Ukraine’s 2004 Presidential Elections. Using the data from the
Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine they track the theeround elections’ geographical voter turn-out. They argue that
there is an extraordinary degree of polarization evidenced in the
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electoral maps of Ukraine that will portend difficult times for
Ukraine that desperately needs unity.
As a final point, it should be acknowledged that the series The
Aspects of the Orange Revolution is a perfect example of a multidisciplinary approach to the analysis of the intricacies of Ukrainian
politics that requires an insider’s understanding of the political
structures and cultural specificities of the Ukrainian society
combined with a profound knowledge of the language and cultural
geography of Ukraine. For an unprepared audience the collection
might seem over-sophisticated and difficult to follow, while for
those specializing in the field, the volumes would represent a
valuable source of statistical, textual, legal, and linguistic data, as
well as well-formulated conceptualizations and hypotheses. The
collection indeed lacks a comparative perspective to other similar
instances of political crises, as well as it is silent about any postOrange Revolution developments in Ukraine. Yet, this apparently
purposeful gap leaves an open space for future academic inquiries
on such an inspiring topic of Ukrainian politics and society in
transformation.
Ximena de la Barra and Richard A. Dello Buono, Lat in
Am e r ica Aft e r N e olibe r a l D e bacle : An ot he r Re gion is
Possible (Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 2009).
Alexander Boniface Makulilo
University of Leipzig
The “Neoliberal Debacle” addresses an important question of our
contemporary time: the crisis of neo-liberalism and its
alternative. Focusing on Latin America, the authors examine the
impact of neo-liberalism over the region and the struggles to
liberate it. The overarching thrust of this book is that the neoliberal project under the banner of the Washington Consensus is
facing powerful popular resistances, signifying its legitimacy crisis
and the decline in the U.S hegemony over Latin America. The
book is therefore premised to primarily assess the emancipatory
potential for the peoples of Latin America.
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Grounded on empirical evidence and well founded arguments, the
authors meticulously articulate their chosen theme. With three
broader parts and nine chapters, the book works from the
problems of the neoliberal project, its sheer diminishing
legitimacy arising from the emancipatory movements against it
and finally to the proposed alternative. However, the book has a
number of shortcomings. For example, socialism is loosely taken
for granted and equated to social movements. A more serious
fault is when the authors seem to suggest that socialism can be
achieved through the ballot box during elections. A reader is
more put off when he or she hears something like “Socialism of
the 21st Century” without any discussion on its ideological
foundation and how it operates. My critical reading of this
fictitious socialism does not see any potential formidable force
out of it. For one thing, it allows itself to coexist side by side with
capitalism. Had the authors been able to read “Das Capital”, one
of the great works by Karl Marx, their analysis would have made
a more clearer contribution since Marxism views class struggle as
the only way by which socialism can be established. Admittedly, it
is only socialism in the history of mankind that has for a long time
managed to offer a sharp and radical alternative to capitalism.
The end of the Cold War and the collapse of the USSR do not
signify the meaninglessness of the concept.
At another level, one wonders if the authors were concerned with
imperialism at the global scale or were just preoccupied with
particularistic interests of the region around the two questions of
“indigenization” and “sovereignty” against the USA. While the
USA is a leading imperialist power today,
equating it to
imperialism is myopic (p.278). It is also ridiculous for the authors
to insist that the USA has come under increasingly intense global
competition from other superpowers. The question which is
unanswered is whether such competition is anti-imperialism or is
a simple manifestation of
imperialist struggles among
themselves over the repartition of the world for super profits.
Surprisingly, the authors do not mention these superpowers. This
kind of thinking, for example, has cost the African continent until
today. In the 1960s, most African countries waged decolonization struggles to achieve their political independence; a
phenomenon that was symbolic rather than actual. While they
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were successful in replacing the colonial masters at least
physically, the content and objectives of imperialism as a system
remain intact. Thus, the issue of debate and discussion should be
to end imperialism rather than blaming the USA. For one thing,
the agents of imperialism are many, such as the so-called G8, the
Paris Club, the IMF, World Bank and all the Western countries. If
the USA collapses, it means another imperialist agent will take
the leading role. It should be noted that before the USA
ascendancy into its current global status and position, at one time
in history, countries like Britain and Germany played the leading
roles. So, a genuine liberation should be waged against the
system and not individual countries. Methodologically, to treat the
USA as an independent variable will not help to capture the
struggles against capitalism. This is because within the USA itself
neither all the people are capitalists nor do they benefit out of it.
This is similar to Latin America. The authors do not state how
much Latin America is a class society, much like the USA. This
treatment overlooks how countries are structured and how
classes interchange within, who benefits and who is exploited.
This is very crucial since, as the authors correctly argue, no
government in Latin America is strong enough to execute radical
changes unless it has the majority support through elections or a
referendum.
On the other hand, the authors seem to establish a causality
between corruption and electoral politics. They appear to suggest
that the return of electoral politics and the unregulated neoliberal
model of development in Latin America was concomitant with
corruption. The authors argue further that although funding of
electoral campaigns varies from country to country, it is a nearly
universal source of corruption. This simply implies that in the
absence of electoral politics and neo-liberal model of
development, a society without corruption is realised; something
which is fallacious. Corruption as we know it is a problem facing
all societies. The question may be that of form and magnitude.
Evidently, corruption is pervasive in any regime type or
ideological formulation. In Africa for example, most authoritarian
regimes did not conduct elections or practise neo-liberalism, yet
corruption persisted. How, then, can this be explained? Besides,
the authors lack evidence to substantiate their universal claim of
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corruption in electoral politics beyond Latin America, something
which would have otherwise strengthened their stand.
The timing of the neoliberal crisis is contentious as well. If the
authors link neo-liberalism to capitalism in a strict mutually
exclusive term, then the crisis of neo-liberalism started long
before. The legitimacy crisis of capitalism has been problematic
since its inception in Great Britain. The working class movements
during the Industrial Revolution between 1750 and 1850 testify
as much to this assertion. Such resistances grew in scale and
ferocity during the colonial plundering of the less developed parts
of the world and the struggles still continue. Thus, to specify the
time line for the crisis of neo-liberalism may be far from reality.
The proposed regional integration as a way to challenge
capitalism is attractive yet challenging. If these countries are
founded on divergent class interests it will then be difficult to
harmonise such interests. As the authors have noted, the first
important thing is to transform these countries into socialism and
later on to integrate them. Another challenge which was not
discussed by the authors is the readiness by the heads of states
to surrender their powers to honour such integration. Finally, the
book provides insightful and systematic knowledge on neoliberalism. With empirical richness, the book is an indispensable
resource for academics, college students, policy makers, as well
as activists who fight to realise a fairer world.
Harald Baldersheim and Hellmut Wollman (eds.), The
Com par at ive St u dy of Loca l Gove r n m ent an d Polit ics:
Ove r vie w an d Synt h esis (Opladen: Barbara Budrich
Publishers, 2006).
Monica Bucurenciu
Oxford University
At the European level in particular, interest for regional
development and local government has significantly increased
among policy-makers in recent years, particularly due to the
emphasis that the European Union puts on decentralisation and
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the importance of regions in social and economic development.
The book by Harald Baldersheim and Hellmut Wollman on local
government and politics comes as a response to this increased
interest in the field and provides an overview of local government
studies, paying particular attention to the development of a new
research agenda.
Goldsmith’s article analyses the way in which the research
agenda regarding local government has shifted over the last four
decades and reviews the contribution made to the study of urban
politics and local government by political scientists over the last
forty years, showing that each decade has brought about its own
particular focus and approach. The author argues for a better use
of the international relations literature in the field of local
government and a better focus on developing countries. Clarke’s
article looks at the way in which scholars have sought to come to
grips with the process of globalisation and its impacts upon local
politics and concludes that localities and local politics are key
venues of globalisation, drawing attention to the fact that
traditional political science concepts and approaches may not be
appropriate for the analysis of local politics in a global age. Peter
John addresses the issue of methodologies and research methods
in urban political science. In his view, urban politics are
characterised by two main specific features: numerosity (the
abundance of cases which allows for the use of conventional
statistical analysis) and propinquity (the closeness of urban
political and social actors to each other).
As a consequence, integrated research designs (which include
both quantitative and qualitative methods) are best suited for the
study of urban politics. Furthermore, adding a comparative
dimension to such studies is also encouraged, as it would allow
for a better understanding of the variations across nation states
in regards to urban politics. Hoffman-Martinot presents an
overview of the infrastructure of research that has evolved for the
support of local government studies since the 1970s. Baldersheim
and Wollman outline a new research agenda for the field of local
government: “seeking to understand how change is shaped by, or
hindered by, a combination of local contexts and external
pressures with the aim of identifying the space for strategies that
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may be pursued by local actors” (p. 123). The authors plead for
giving more attention to cultural and identity issues, cross-border
cooperation and the ethical issues raised by research
programmes in local and government politics.
Although the book aims to be international in scope, the focus
remain the US and the UK, developing countries being almost
absent from the overview. Furthermore, the book lacks
consistency in terms of target audience: while some of the
articles assume a rather knowledgeable reader, others seem to
be targeted at complete novices.
The book’s value lies in several aspects. First of all, it provides an
up-to-date overview of local government and politics and a very
good starting point for the understanding and study of the
discipline. The book also contributes to a more refined
understanding of globalisation and how it impacts the local level,
avoiding the use of the classical neo-liberal argument that
globalisation necessarily leads to a decrease of the importance of
the local level. The social and political impact of globalisation is
mediated by domestic institutional structures, public strategies
and the region’s location in the global order and the local level
should not simply be downplayed in this new political context. An
innovative discussion on research methodologies also adds value
to the book and convincing arguments are brought to support the
idea that local government can prove to be a very useful
laboratory for political science research in general (a very fertile
idea that arguably deserves further analysis and study). Last but
not least, the book lays out a coherent and informed new
research agenda, particularly notable for its emphasis on the
need for an interdisciplinary approach in matters of local
government and politics.
However, all these qualities taken into consideration, the book
succeeds only partially in attaining the goals mentioned in the
editors’ preface: to be international in scope, to provide an up-todate overview of a specific sub-field of political science, to be
written in an accessible manner and to make proposals for the
improvement of the sub-field under scrutiny.
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The almost complete lack of information regarding local
government and politics in developing countries renders the book
biased towards very specific political contexts and regimes, to the
disadvantage of others. In this case, it may very well be that
some of the book’s arguments will not hold when tested in other
national contexts. Although the authors argue for future research
on local government in developing countries, the anachronistic
and negatively-charged concept of “third world countries” that
they use unfortunately compromises their research agenda.
Furthermore, including China in this category, particularly in the
current economic and political state of affairs, leaves the reader
baffled.
The book also suffers from its rather confusing shift from the
analysis of local government in general to that of urban
government and politics in particular, without a clear distinction
between the two or an explanation concerning this shift. A
question remains unanswered throughout the book: what
differentiates urban government and politics from other types of
local government? Without a clear answer to this question, both
the structure of the book and its arguments suffer.
But a major downside of the book comes from the fact that the
articles do not all have the same scientific value and relevance.
While the article on globalisation and its impact on local
government is well structured and interesting, the article on the
infrastructure of research and academic education lacks clear
arguments and structure and reads like a long list of partially
obsolete information about research institutions and programmes.
In general, the articles are written in an accessible manner,
although some concepts and theories remain unexplained
throughout the book and the abundance of brief references to
authors and theories tends to make some of the arguments
difficult to follow. As a consequence, although the book aims to
be targeted at both academia and policy-makers and others
interested in the field, the focus on developing a new research
agenda for the study of local government, decreases the
relevance of the articles for those outside the academic world.
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Despite these shortcomings, the articles generally succeed in
making proposals for the improvement of the field under scrutiny,
although improvements do not target local government in itself
(as one might expect from the title) but the research on local
government. But, after all, the aim of the book (according to
Baldersheim and Wollman themselves) is to develop a research
agenda that better reflects the issues and concerns in the field of
comparative local government studies as it is today.
Tim Unwin (ed.), I CT4 D : I nfor m at ion an d Com m u n icat ion
Te ch nology for D e ve lopm e nt (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2009)
Dinoj Kumar Upadhyay
Jawaharlal Nehru University
Human interaction with new technologies has always been an
interesting subject for academic debate. Innovation and advanced
technologies always generate debate over their potential
applications in the development process and socio-political
transformation. As the advent of the information &
communication revolution has transformed the world, now the
emphasis has been placed on application for development
purposes, particularly rural development and empowerment of
marginalized communities. Falling in this line, “ICT4D:
Information and Communication Technology for Development”,
edited by Professor Tim Unwin, provides a conceptual as well as
empirical perspective on the use of Information and
Communication Technologies (ICTs) for development, reforming
governance, health, education, improving quality of life in remote
parts of the world, etc. It provides not only interpretation of
various old, modern and contemporary developmental theories,
but also covers the practical aspects of the development process,
with examples from countries across the world. It contains the
“Boxed Case Studies” to highlight the issues and initiatives taken
from a wide variety of places and organizations across the world.
The main purpose of the book as author himself stated is to
provide a conceptual framework for understanding the emergence
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of the ICT4D as a set of situated practices within the broad field
of development, to provide accounts of key areas where ICTs
have been incorporated into development practices, concentrating
particularly on health, education, governance, enterprise and
rural development. It also aims to challenge many taken-forgranted assumptions about ICT4D and provides a critique of
recent attempts to use ICTs in development so that those
working in the interests of poor people and marginalized
communities can use these insights in their struggle for
empowerment.
The book consists of eleven chapters in two parts. The theoretical
aspect is covered by the editor of the book, Prof. Tim Unwin
himself, who has written six chapters including the introduction
and conclusion. The second part, dealing with the practical side,
contains a variety of essays on the different aspects of
development practices in the world. Michael Best and Charles
Kenny discuss the ICTs, Enterprise and Development, Michelle
Selinger focuses on the role of ICT in education and how it can be
a catalyst for development. The third essay of part II is on eHealth and provides an exclusive discussion on the application of
ICTs for health. S. Yunkap Kwankam, Ariel Pablos-Mendez and
Misha Kay discuss the World Health Organisation Knowledge
Management and Health. The issue of e-Government and eGovernance is covered by Jim Guida and Martin Crow. How ICT
can promote rural development, particularly in the developing
countries of the world, is written Bob Day and Peter Greenwood.
The remarkable aspect of Day and Greenwood's essay is that they
try to define rural development according to the current
circumstances and see the role of ICTs in the light of new
emerging challenges such as climate change.
A lot of discussion is taking place on the current and possible
future uses of ICTs in development, and improving the impact of
projects for eradicating poverty and enhancing rural development
in the world, but scholarly work offering development practices in
a theoretical perspective is missing. The book tries to fill the gap
in development literature by providing a scholarly analysis of
various aspects of development issues. Application of the ICTs is
critical in making a positive difference and improving the impacts
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of development practices. However, the book points out that
ICT4D projects in Africa, Asia and Latin America have failed to
yield desired results. The point worth mentioning is that
application of ICTs requires sound infrastructure such as
electricity, trained/skilled work force, conducive policy and
regulatory framework, awareness, literacy, etc. The projects that
failed achieved the desired goals should not be seen as a failure
of the idea itself. Many factors contribute to success and failure of
a project. We also must keep in the mind that ICT is not a
panacea in itself and it is only an enabling factor in the
developmental process. It must also be noted that development
is always associated with normative values of the society and
many developmental challenges and causes of underdevelopment
are related with the norms and tradition of the society to some
extent. The application of ICTs for social and political
transformation also depends on how society takes it. The
perception of the political elites also matters, since e-services
transform the social, political and bureaucratic system to promote
transparency, accountability that can erode their powers and
influence.
The process of globalisation and the information revolution has
changed the world into a global village, but there are many
isolated parts of the world still untouched by the information of
communication. The challenges of underdevelopment, poverty,
illiteracy, marginalization, digital divide, to name only a few, are
enormous. There is growing realization across the world of the
need to optimize ICTs to reform the governance process, the
system of public service deliveries and to address the challenges
of global development. The book also gives some practical
suggestions to maximize the reach of technologies in order to
increase the effectiveness of development practices and bring
isolated and marginalized communities into the mainstream of
development. It argues that first attention should be paid to “real
development needs”, second, a one-size-fits-all approach is not
appropriate, so suitable technologies should be used for effective
implementation, and third, attention should also be given to the
sustainability of projects. Last, but not least, vision, commitment,
infrastructure, effective partnership and monitoring and
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evaluation are
transformation.
also
important
for
development
and
social
One very critical aspect in bridging the digital divide in the world
and opitimising the use of ICTs is left unnoticed in the book, and
that is cooperation between North and South/developed and
developing countries. Since a huge investment is required for
proliferation of ICT, creating basic infrastructure for it and
promoting its research & development, many countries are not
capable of utilizing the benefits of ICTs due to a lack of capital.
Second, North-South technological cooperation is very critical for
the bridging the gap between connected and unconnected. Poor
countries must be provided with new technologies at an
affordable price.
Finally, one can say that the book is a distinguished piece of
writing and a must read for development professionals and
researchers working in the field of ICTs. It will certainly enrich the
literature on development and ICTs and stimulate thought for
new innovations, research and development in the applicability of
ICTs in wiping out poverty and social evils and ushering in the
prosperity across the world.
Thad Dunning, 2008, Crude D e m ocr acy: N a t ur a l Re sou rce
W e a lt h a n d Polit ica l Re gim e s (Cambridge, Cambridge
University Press, 2008)
Monika Dabrowska
University of St Andrews
When it comes to the concept of ‘crude democracy’, i.e. a
democracy rooted in oil wealth, the popular understanding as well
as the conventional wisdom supported by many political scientists
and policymakers can be summed up by the following equation:
the more oil, the less democracy. Consequently, for those
believing that ‘crude democracy’ is an oxymoron, Thad Dunning’s
book under the same title may sound provocative at best and
naïve to the core at worst.
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Challenging the commonsensical understanding that natural
resource wealth promotes autocracy is indeed the strongest point
of the book. Rather than hinder democracy, oil might instead
promote it, Dunning argues, but it does so through various
mechanisms and for this reason an understanding of these is
crucial for elucidating when either the authoritarian or democratic
effects of resource wealth will prevail. Thus, in order to equip the
reader with an analytic leverage, Dunning faces the analytic
challenge and sets the ambitious goal to expose the relatively
understudied democratic effects of resource wealth and to
compare these to the authoritarian ones revealed in earlier
analyses. The theoretical models developed by him through
integration of the democratic and authoritarian effects of
resources into a single analytic framework are important because
they offer explanation on variation in political outcomes across
resource rich countries. Dunning’s study proposes therefore a
theory that clarifies the conditional political impact of natural
source wealth and undertakes a comparative analysis which
illuminates variables that tend to privilege the democratic or
authoritarian effects of rents. The promise of “Crude Democracy”
is that it will show why structural factors may influence the
relative salience of these two effects, why these factors may
matter, and how they can help us explain political differences in
resource rich countries.
To call things by names, what Dunning proposes is elegantly
wrapped equifinality and multifinality. With regard to the former
one, he acknowledges that there appear to be many ways that
countries arrive at democracy; with regard to the latter, he insists
that resource wealth can equally promote the emergence or
persistence of authoritarian regimes as well as democracies. What
may seem at first a bit of “eating a cookie and having it too”
analysis, is in fact an intricate, if not too intricate, theoretical
endeavour aimed at tackling the reality. It is not surprising
therefore that the first of the book’s main advantages lies
precisely in taking the process tracing into consideration and the
second in author’s departure from ‘do?’ to ‘how?’: “How does
resource wealth influence the economic foundations of political
regimes?”. The initially broad question is specified and made
narrower later in the book, as is the type of regime and the type
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of resource. Hence, those who hope to find in “Crude Democracy”
the ultimate answer will be unsatisfied, those who are looking for
stimulating and fresh theoretical solutions will, no doubt, be
content.
As far as shortcomings are concerned, Dunning’s neat and
elegant theory is based on only one type of resource; the book
privileges the influence of economic sources on political regimes
and by doing so it narrows our interest down to only one
dimension of the state. Furthermore, even within the strictly
economic vista, the author is discussing only one type of natural
resource. Such approach consequently ignores or downplays
other factors and hence the outcomes of the study could change
with different variables. Dunning describes also one very special
type of authoritarian regime since he builds on a certain kind of
elite authoritarianism. Therefore, when reading the book, one
needs to bear in mind that in the real world the overall outcome
in not solely the product of resource wealth influence on political
elites. Even if one does not agree with the concept of fivedimensional state as developed by Buzan et. al., one needs to
acknowledge that political decisions do not always belong to the
elites (the initial model starts with the elites contemplating the
coup), and that the elites rarely make their decisions based solely
on economical factors and, to say the least, that natural
resources do contribute to, but in no way constitute, the whole
picture when it comes to political decision-making process.
“Crude Democracy” is written from a multidisciplinary
perspective. In his quest to change our understanding of the
politics of the resource-rich rentier states, Dunning uses a multimethod approach – among the employed tools the reader will find
field research with detailed country-by-country case studies,
series of game-theoretic models, statistical analysis, and
conceptual elaboration of the core idea of the ‘rentier state’. The
last one entails a very subtle yet important, as the author claims,
conceptual distinction between the states that are resourceabundant and those that are resource-dependant, which are
much more prone to fostering authoritarianism.
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As for the structure, the book is very clearly designed with the
first introductory chapter providing the overall summary of the
volume, followed by Chapter 2 where theoretical foundations and
conceptual elements are laid as a basis for developing two related
game theoretic models in Chapter 3. There the author builds up a
dynamic model in the form of a game of democratization
ascertaining that the formal models allow us to study conflicting
political effects in a single theoretical framework. Chapters 4, 5
and 6 assess the empirical evidence against previous theoretical
claims and thus detailed study cases of Venezuela, Chile,
Ecuador, Bolivia, and Botswana are presented. Irrespective of the
academic depths of these qualitative analyses, the reader will
notice that the whole sample is slightly biased since it contains
only one country from outside Latin America. It is therefore worth
asking whether the case selection restrained mainly to Latin
America with the rest of the world sadly ignored was done for the
author’s convenience or because other data was simply
unavailable. In spite of the clear design, the book’s narrative is a
bit jerky – a lot of ‘as discussed later’ references may be a bit
overwhelming for a less disciplined reader. However, bearing in
mind that the primary target group will be more sophisticated
readers, such as scholars studying the impact of natural resource
wealth and those exploring the emergence and persistence of
democratic regimes, this should not prove to be much of an
obstacle. Also, students of political economy, comparative
politics, and international relations will indisputably find “Crude
Democracy” compelling.
It goes without saying that Dunning’s prize winning book is
interesting conceptually but less useful in the practical sense of
further inspiration for policy makers. This does not, however,
obviate the usefulness of the theoretical framework itself: Thanks
to this volume we know that natural resources do play part, we
know how and now the only answer to unearth is when they are a
crucial component that shapes the policy. Since the book’s
findings are based on carefully crafted and precisely designed
game-theory based models, they are reminiscient of a rare and
sheltered orchid that, although very beautiful, is simultaneously
very fragile and might not survive the real world conditions
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outside the green house’s warmth and safety. To decide whether
it is so, please read “Crude Democracy” yourself.
Goran Hyden, Afr ica n Polit ics in Com pa r at ive Pe r spect ive
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006)
Nathan Andrews
Brock University
The focus on the study of African politics seems to come and go
with the times, but there remain certain unique characteristics
and features that make developments on the continent still
tantalizing and worth researching. As the title suggests, Goran
Hyden’s book clearly takes a comparative as well as a critical look
at the nature, scope and character of African politics, shedding
lights on why Africa still matters today in the study of political
science. He uses Africa in the broader sense to refer to mainly
sub-Saharan Africa, and touches on the politics of many of the
countries in that region. Hyden begins by addressing some
methodological issues political scientists face, particularly those in
the sub-field of comparative politics who continually face the
contention between “comparability” and “contextuality”. This is
where the issue of the who, where and why in research comes in.
Due to methodological weaknesses in data collection, he explains
that data from Africa cannot be fully relied upon.
Hyden dwells on social exchange theory to show how neopatrimonialism, reciprocity, and clientelism influence politics in
Africa. To him, economy and culture are not separate spheres
since political economy choices are socially and culturally
embedded. For the economist, culture and informal institutions do
not count so far as a country is able to get its GDP to rise to an
appreciable level. The analyses Hyden present challenge such
perceptions. To him, although informal institutions do not explain
everything, much of what happens in politics and economics (and
particularly in the case of Africa) is dependent on informal
behavior and institutions. He argues culture is “the foundation on
which not only formal, but also informal institutions arise” (p.7).
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Central to his thesis is the idea that the “untamed nature” of
African politics is a paramount explanatory variable in Africa’s
current predicaments. The untamed aspects of African politics he
deals with include; the movement legacy that emerged after the
departure of the colonial masters; the problematic state (inability
to distinguish the private and public spheres); economy of
affection (a social logic which centers on whom you know instead
of what you know); the Big Man rule; the policy deficit (the fact
that the Big Men’s thinking is often slow or even void); the
agrarian question; restrictions on the female gender in politics;
ethnicity and conflicts (that abound because of the fluidity of
social relations); and the external dimensions (aid, dependency
and capitalism). The striking thing about the book is how each
chapter builds into the next in a somewhat chronological or
sequential manner. The final chapter presents ideas on what
Hyden calls “a political science-based approach to reform in
Africa” (p. 253).
Hyden achieves his goal of applying “a dose of realism” to the
analyses of African politics, speaking plainly to issues that not
everyone can be frank about. Almost all the points he raises are
at the crux of Africa’s politics. What I find striking and very much
true is the economy of affection. His concept of power and
dependency resonates with Lucian Pye’s (1985) account of the
Asian attitude to power and authority in Asian Power and Politics:
The Cultural Dimensions of Authority. In both cases there is some
degree of reliance on social relations and it is thus not virtuous to
amass and invest wealth in private ventures.
Other interesting themes are “the big man rule” and the impact of
the external dimension. Yet it is surprising that although most
scholars might agree that dependency is not a good thing, some
still call for more assistance. This spoon-feeding attitude to
helping the poor makes Africa overly dependent on foreign
assistance and this explains why policy is often void of ‘economic’
thinking – contributing to what Hyden calls “the policy deficit.”
The extent to which African countries can emerge as ‘strong’
states in the face of today’s globalizing trends is also not certain.
Even if African leaders can develop more proactive policies, will
they have ample ‘ownership’ of their development as the
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Washington Consensus is perpetually being forced down the
throats of many of these countries? In fact, the ability of Africa to
get out of these developmental shackles seems far more
constrained now than it has been about two or so decades ago.
Although Goran Hyden tries not to be Afro-pessimistic, he seems
to suggest Africa has rejected modernity and that is why it is
where it is today. He fails to recognize certain achievements
some African countries have chalked as regards good
governance, free press and dealing with endemic corruption. A
case in point is the Millennium Challenge Account the ex-US
President George Bush initiated to help with Africa’s development.
Sub-Saharan African countries such as Benin, Lesotho, Liberia,
Tanzania, Ghana, Liberia and Zambia are among the over fifteen
African countries that have met the Millennium Challenge
Corporation’s benchmarks of demonstrating a commitment to
policies that promote political and economic freedom, investing in
education and health, sustainably managing natural resources,
controlling corruption, and showing ample respect for civil
liberties and the rule of law.
Additionally, Hyden in a few instances makes claims that can be
considered simplistic generalizations of what happens in Africa.
For instance, he mentions that “there is no such thing as an
effective public opinion that operates with a view to changing
regime or policy” (p. 20), and that Africa lacks an impersonal
bureaucracy. He also argues Africa lacks a civic public sphere
which is regarded as a significant ingredient in the evolution of
democracy, and “because there is no autonomous state, civil
society is also absent” (p. 233). While these may hold true for
some countries, it is not accurate to generalize. The proliferation
of the media, civil society groups and think-tanks in many African
countries should be recognized, although much more could be
done to better the impact of such groups on the politics of the
day. For Peter Ekeh (1975) in Colonialism and the Two Publics in
Africa: A Theoretical Statement, it is not that Africa lacks a civic
public. He believes there are “two publics” – the civic public and
the primordial public – and it is the dialectical relationship
between these two public spheres (caused by colonialism) that
explains many of Africa’s problems. This does not dispute the fact
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that there’s need to separate these two spheres or even combine
them in a more convenient manner.
Regardless of the criticisms, the book remains a scholarly
discourse that recounts the very matters that play center stage
roles in African politics. The book is rich in methodological and
empirical value. It is suitable for anyone wanting to have a
broader picture of African politics and why some conditions within
the continent have persisted for a long time. Graduate, postgraduate as well as undergraduate students with focusing on subSaharan Africa might find this book rather scintillating. Although
the book does not deal specifically with issues pertinent to what
most international development books cover, development
analysts and students of the politics of development can benefit
from reading this book as the issues Hyden addresses (based on
his fifty years of research on African politics) are at the core of
Africa’s developmental dilemmas. Essentially, no one will argue
that the nature of politics influences ‘development’ in one way or
another, and it is very much so in the case of Africa. However,
whether Africa can truly “claim the twenty-first century” or not,
no one can decidedly say.
Rachel Riedner and Kevin Mahoney, De m ocr a cie s t o Com e ,
Rh et or ica l Act ion , N e olibe r a lism , an d Com m un it ie s of
Re sist an ce (Lexington Books, 2008)
Paula Gânga
Georgetown University
According to the late French scholar Jacques Derrida, “democracy
[is an idea that] remains to come (...) will remain always to
come”. As modern-day followers of Derrida, Rachel Riedner and
Kevin Mahoney seek to apply his technique of deconstruction by
selecting contemporary examples that undermine what they see
as a prevailing—and unquestioned—notion: that Western
democracies are free and fair. Democracies to Come strives to
facilitate the emergence of political formations that can offer new
“languages of knowing, understanding, and learning” (p. 3) as an
alternative to the neoliberal project.
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In chapter-length essays, Riedner and Mahoney engage in a
thought-provoking discussion about what they see as the current
neoliberal establishment and its consequences for the academy,
the wider world, and for rhetorical action in the age of
globalization. Though not immediately recognizable as belonging
to either cultural studies or rhetoric and composition disciplines,
Democracies to Come is a useful guide for students of different
perspectives who seek to understand the current context of
neoliberalism.
Emerging from discussions among George Washington University
faculty and students following the protests of the International
Monetary Fund meeting in Washington D.C. in April 2000,
Democracies to Come begins by provocatively arguing that
pedagogy should be rewritten as rhetorical action, “a political
practice of making, reproducing, and rethinking of social
relations, identities, and intervening in relations of dominance
and exploitation” (p. 7). In the authors' opinion, universities must
not only ensure that their students understand these “new social
structures,” but also empower them with the means to interact
critically with them. This, they contend, will make pedagogy a
cultural force for democracy with far-reaching consequences in
the process of making, reproducing, and remaking of social
relations, identities, and intervening in relations of “dominance
and exploitation”.
The second chapter looks at the current position of universities
when the move to connect education to the market has slowly
undermined another important purpose of the higher education
system: that of preparing the students for their role as citizens in
a democratic society. The increasing demand for “relevance” in
research, and education puts the university under the logic of the
market. According to the authors, this process has occurred in
parallel with the extension of the neoliberal logic from the market
relations deeper into the social relations. In this context, any
attempt at challenging the neoliberal order, as it happened with
the protests against the IMF, is seen as a disruptive action
coming from outside democratic institutions. Chapter 3 moves
beyond the critique of neoliberalism to focus on “conjunctural
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moments” in crises of the current hegemonic order. The authors
have sought to identify points of rupture where new political and
pedagogical possibilities are created.
In the final chapters of the book, the authors take a closer look at
the development of the “universalizing” Western liberal
democracy. In their opinion, by proclaiming an end point to the
ideological evolution of mankind, the neoliberal establishment
wants to eliminate any other alternative while also making sure
that any real opposition to this system of thinking will be
marginalized. From this premise, the authors reason that the
neoliberal hegemony should be considered a major threat since it
can privatize democracy itself.
Riedner and Mahoney offer as case studies two “rhetorical
traditions” that struggle against this neoliberal hegemony: the
Marxist cultural studies tradition, mostly situated in universities,
and the Zapatista movement of Chiapas, Mexico, as an archetype
of the “political-communities-in-struggle.” When studying the role
of each one of these movements, the authors underline the
necessity of these two traditions to start a dialogue because
“effective political struggle, social identities, rhetorics, and
structures of feeling emerge only in relation to each other” (p.
95).
Democracies to Come offers several valuable insights into today's
global context. One of them is stated right in the title: the
authors remind us that a democracy is a continually evolving
system. Once a country obtains a high rating on the Freedom
House scale it does not mean that democracy has begun its never
ending reign. On the contrary, citizens must continue to keep the
political system under their watchful eye. Another major point of
the book focuses precisely on those critical individuals in civil
society who in today's world find themselves marginalized as
soon as they voice their criticism against the establishment. To
the current situation, the authors offer the solution of creating a
“democracy-in-difference—a democracy to come [that would
represent] a coming together to exchange, to learn, to expand,
the available means of political/rhetorical action” (p. 94).
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This view also puts under question the existing neoliberal system
and its strong “force of culture” that creates the “ideological
making of the individuals” taking part in today's world. Although
this perspective might be rapidly dismissed by the mainstream as
coming from the positions of the critical left, students of any
discipline who believe in democracy should heed the warnings of
Riedner and Mahoney. Reminding us that the democratic ideal is
to offer all voices the possibility to express themselves in order to
promote further debate and thus create the opportunity for future
improvements is another important point of Democracies to
Come. Useful for students of all convictions and of all disciplines,
this book is valuable to the political science student as it offers a
perspective rarely found in books on democracy and on
alternatives to the current world system: that of analyzing the
university as the locus for the creation of the democratic future,
with debates within the universe of higher education as perfect
examples of creating the neoliberal context. However, at points,
the authors overestimate the influence of the neoliberal logic
within the university context. They seem to forget that currently
academia remains the most important bastion of critical thought
and not just a promoter of the market-driven mentality.
Also, Riedner and Mahoney suggest that universities should
replace their current focus on teaching what they call the
“neoliberal logic” with a pedagogy of activism, in which students
should be equipped for active participation in the real world.
While this argument has an obvious value, it could be better
supported with more arguments than only those rising from the
authors’ class practice as it makes the reader feel that there is
insufficient evidence to support the final findings.
Democracies to Come leaves the reader unsatisfied as the end of
the book does not give the feeling of reaching a clear conclusion
and answering all the questions set forth at the beginning.
Probably Riedner and Mahoney plan to rectify this in their future
publications in the Cultural Studies/Pedagogy/Activism series of
which this is only the first book and for which the two authors are
the editors. Although they may well be preparing to answer these
questions in subsequent works, the current volume does not
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reach it s full pot ent ial in spit e of t he above-m ent ioned
cont ribut ions as it feels half- finished and incom plet e.
D a r re n Lille k e r an d Rich a r d Scu llion ( eds.) , V ot e r s or
Con su m er s. I m a gin in g t he Cont e m pora r y Elect or at e
( N e w cast le u pon Tyne : Ca m br idge Pu blish in g Sch ola rs,
2008)
Sergiu Gherghina
Leiden Universit y
Com m only know n as t he fundam ent al basis for cont em porary
dem ocracies, elect ions have t he double t ask of legit im izing t he
polit ical system and providing representat ives to t he people.
Connect ed w it h t he latt er, voters’ preferences and t he reasons
behind preference form at ion becom e relevant t o underst and a
certain out com e. Lilleker and Scullion’s v olum e address t he
quest ion of elect oral choice from t he econom ic perspect iv e of t he
v ot er as consum er. Locat ing t heir work wit hin t he polit ical
m arket ing lit erat ure, t he two edit ors invest igate if polit ics is seen
by t he ordinary cit izen as part of a consum pt ion diet . The pursuit
of such a goal m ay shed light on t he debat ed issue of t he
uniqueness and social im plicat ions of vot ing behavior. I f t he latt er
appears t o be not hing m ore t han a sim ple consum erist pract ice
m ot ivat ed and im peded by m arket incent ives and pract ices, t hen
t he polit ical processes should change and adapt accordingly.
The dilem m a of ident ifying vot ers w it h consum ers guides t his
collect ion of t en chapt ers ( ex cluding t he int roduct ion and
conclusion) and allows t he st ruct uring of ideas in t hree m ain
t hem es, sym m et rically st ruct ured by chapt ers. Start ing from t he
ground, t he first
t hree chapt ers concept ualize polit ical
consum erism and parallel t he relat ionships bet ween consum ers in
m arket s and vot ers. The follow ing four chapt ers tackle t he
polit ical m arket izat ion of polit ical part ies and t he m edia effect on
t he consum erist behavior of voters. I n doing so, t he aut hors
int roduce tw o relevant inst it ut ional channels in cont em porary
societ ies. Am ong t heir m ult iple funct ions, polit ical part ies and
m edia shape behav iors and help form ing various percept ions t hat
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lead to attitudes. From this perspective, their roles become
increasingly interdependent in supplying information to the
electorate, being relevant if they see the latter as consumer or
voter. The final three chapters emphasize the electorate’s
perceptions, participation, and attitudes towards the electoral
process (including campaigns).
Despite the wide range of approached topics and analyzed
countries, the volume is homogenous due to the basic common
structure. Beyond such an easy to follow and clear format, the
innovation of this book resides in the identification of new
relationships between the public and politics. Political ideas are
suppressed to allow image features to play a role in the
electorate’s decisions with the possibility of overlap between the
agenda setting and the image created to reflect the agenda (p.
236). Consequently, politics is presented to citizens by parties
and media as brands are advertised to consumers. Voters lose
their features of active participants in the political process,
behave like consumerists and this enhances consistent
approaches from institutional actors involved in elections. Despite
its plausibility and parsimony, this logic is restricted solely to
behavior in electoral times.
Lilleker and Scullion’s book complements existing theories of
voting behavior and highlight shaded areas of the broad picture.
The evidence revealing the complex nature of relationships
between voters and politics indicates that the economic narrow
and short-term reasoning, usually at the individual level, is not
the only game in town. Voters’ perceptions, cognitions, and
subsequent behaviors (most of the time at polls) are fueled by
the information received. With political parties as main emitters
and media quite often as agenda setter, voters pick and choose
between two sides of the same coin: citizens (with duties and
actively involved in politics) or consumers. The adaptation
strategies of political parties account for voters’ choices and
future political messages reflect the electorate’s previous
attitudes.
A further asset of the volume is the two-sided approach of the
same issues and thus providing the reader with a comprehensive
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set of analytical tools. To focus solely on the key-argument of
what happens with the electorate when media treats it as a
consumer, there are two perspectives. On the one hand, Savigny
argues for the impossibility of developing political consciousness
among the voters when they are subjected to such messages. On
the other hand, Scullion without accepting the exclusive
dichotomy between consumer and citizen, sees the consumerist
messages as a necessary condition to enhance citizenship. The
market choice can be often seen as a continuous opportunity for
individuals to practice, revise, and perfect their perceptions,
attitudes, and behaviors (p. 67). Three other chapters, authored
by Lilleker, Dermody and Hanmer-Lloyd, and Dean, summarize
the latter argument: a close to reality evaluation of an
electorate’s consumerist or voter features is possible only by
understanding its involvement in politics.
The increased role of media, the diversity of chosen
communication channels, and the role media plays for the
political message and agenda setting comes as no surprise
looking at the background of the editors. Nevertheless, as these
intermediary voices filter information and display certain attitudes
towards citizens, it is relevant to closely look at the effects they
may cause and investigate the causes of their behavior. Political
parties are put in a similar light, both as initial emitters of
messages and as organizations with adaptation potential,
sensitive to the electoral environment in campaign and electoral
times.
With a homogenous structure, clear writing style, logical and
empirical connections between chapters, and with a systematic
approach of the triadic relationship of voter-citizen-consumer, this
book addresses relevant issues in the literature of voting behavior
and challenges existing beliefs. By doing so, it provides a broader
picture that makes political science students and scholars further
delve into the topic. Although the inclusion of the few case
studies used in the book deserves more attention in order to
eliminate any suspicion of biased selection, the numerous merits
of the volume transform it into a relevant contribution to existing
research.
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Susanne Jungerstam-Mulders (ed.), Post - Com m un ist EU
M e m be r St at e s: Part ie s a n d Pa rt y Syst e m s (Aldershot:
Ashgate, 2006).
Penny Pardoe
State University of New York-Delhi
Ashgate’s 2006 publication, Post-Communist EU Member States:
Parties and Party Systems, edited and compiled by Susanne
Jungerstam-Mulders, is compelling and should prove well
received. One of the more intriguing subfields of comparative
politics is post-communist studies and one of the more cuttingedge is EU studies; since this work contributes to both, though
more to the former than the latter, it is bound to find its way into
the hands of many graduate students and professors. More
importantly, this volume has much to contribute to the more
general study of party systems, a field that is perhaps not as
popular as others, but could become so if endowed with the kind
of fresh perspective this book provides.
While this work presents information of some merit to EU studies,
it does little to answer any question of great significance to
“Project Europe;” a point that would prove no sin if it were not for
its title. Its main aim is to survey the development of parties and
party systems in post-communist countries, which it does by
focusing on only eight countries (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania,
Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Slovenia),
each specifically chosen because of their EU membership
credentials (they have all been members since the 2004
enlargement, and therefore are rapidly approaching the hurdles
of the Copenhagen criteria). This particular choice of case studies,
and the work itself, does serve to contribute to EU studies
because it helps build a foundation of knowledge about how the
newly established political systems of these countries work. As
noted in the introduction of this book, understanding this is
necessary in order to answer any of the bigger questions about
the future of the European integration project, because without
doing so it would be impossible to “figure out in detail what
position new member states in the long run will take in the EU—
and what kind of EU they will be willing to build…” (p. xi).
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However, the title of the work really should be reversed and read
as The Parties and Party Systems of Post-Communist EU Member
States, for its contents are clearly more about the former than
the latter. Moreover, it is in the area of post-communist studies
and the general nature of parties and party systems that the
book proves most compelling.
Via ten chapters, eight of which are contributed by different
authors providing in depth case studies, and two of which serve
to bind the volume together with an introduction and conclusion
by Jungerstam-Mulders, this work proves essential reading for
students of post-communist regional studies and general party
systems studies, alike. Organized in a manner concentrating on
three themes: ideological cleavages, party system competition,
and party organization, each case study serves to throw a wrench
into most of the predictions made in the 1990s about what would
happen to post-communist party systems in their post-transition
phase, as well as most of the classical thought about party
systems dynamics.
In reference to the former, many predicted that once the Baltic
and Central European countries moved through the initial stages
toward democracy and liberal economy their party systems would
begin to stabilize into forms that, as Jungerstam-Mulders puts it,
“largely resemble those of Western Europe” (p. 248). By this it
was meant that they would become less fragmented, less plagued
by volatility, include more well disciplined and socially connected
parties, as well as show signs of being founded on a clear socioeconomic ideological cleavage. However, this book provides
evidence to show that this may not be true even in the most
promising of cases (Hungary), something which is well
demonstrated by Zsolt Enyedi in what is probably the best written
essay in the book. Enyedi observes that Hungary has without a
doubt “produced one of the most consolidated party systems in
the post-communist world” (p. 177). Fragmentation and volatility
rates are on the decline, and it is also one of the few countries to
observe higher voter turn out rates (p. 190). However, Hungary’s
parties are not strongly connected to society; party memberships
are low and so is party identification (p. 189). Furthermore,
Enyedi reveals that not only is the socio-economic cleavage
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secondary within Hungarian politics, but the communist/anticommunist cleavage appears to be growing in importance, rather
than shrinking as was predicted by some (p. 181).
In reference to the aforementioned classical theories, it has been
generally accepted within political science that Western European
party systems have been mostly stable and frozen along the
socio-economic cleavage since just after WWI; a proposition
emanating from Lipset and Rokkan’s 1967 study.2 However as is
brought up several times in this book, this may not be true any
longer. If post-communist EU member states continue to exhibit
great party system instability, this may say more about what is
happening to party systems both east and west, than it does
about these countries specifically; particularly since recent
studies have pointed toward similar destabilizing trends in
Western Europe, where party identification, party membership,
and voter turnout rates are all falling.3 Moreover, volatility is also
on the rise in the West, while the supposed clear cut socioeconomic cleavage appears to be weakening.4 As is noted by
Andrew Drummond in a recent article about traditional party
decline in the West, New Politics parties have had some “success
running on issues that cut across traditional political cleavages.”5
Additionally, those traditional parties that fall along the left-right
socioeconomic continuum appear to be increasingly moving to the
centre; mostly because the solid electorates upon which they
once relied are disappearing, or as Peter Mair comments in one of
his more recent works, even though “workers are still more likely
than the middle class to vote for the left of center parties…there
are markedly few such citizens…”6
The contributions in this work have real value as further evidence
of this possible trend. Even though in the 1990s it was
2
Lipset, S. M. and Rokkan, S. (eds.), Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-national
Perspectives, Free Press: New York, 1967.
3
Mair, Peter, “The Challenge to Party Government,” Western European Politics, Vol.31, Nos. 1-2,
January-March 2008: 221.
4
Ibid, 221.
5
Drummond, Andrew, J., “Electoral Volatility and Party Decline in Western Democracies: 1970-
1995,” Political Studies, Vol. 54, 2006: 629.
6
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Mair, 219.
C EU Po litic al Sc ie nc e Jo urnal. Vo l. 5, No . 3
fashionable to look to Western democracies in order to predict
what would happen (or indeed should) in Eastern and Central
Europe, this book contributes to the prospect that there is much
to be gained by turning this approach around. When these
countries embarked upon their transitions toward democracy they
began with a fresh slate, unencumbered by old civil society
networks or a history of mass political party culture (beyond that
of the communist party, which did not work the same as most
western mass parties and was consciously erased from popular
political culture by most within post-communist EU member
states), two things which probably only serve to slow any party
decline in the west. In other words, the post-communist EU
member states maybe leading rather than following with regard
to party system dynamics, and academics would be well served to
note this possibility.
In conclusion, Post-Communist EU Member States: Parties and
Party Systems serves as a great addition to the discipline of
comparative politics. It shatters some assumptions in reference to
post-communist states and poses food for thought within the
study of party systems generally. Based on this, and in order to
ensure notice by a great section of the academic community, a
better effort should be made toward marketing it on these merits,
rather than emphasizing the work's association with EU studies.
Ingmar Bredies, Andreas Umland, Valentin Yakushik
(eds.), Aspe ct s of t h e Or a n ge Re volut ion I V: Fore ign
Assist an ce a n d Civic Act ion in t h e 2 0 0 4 Uk r a in ia n
Pr e sident ia l Ele ct ion s (Stuttgart: Ibidem Verlag, 2007).
Svetozar A. Dimitrov
Central European University
Aspects of the Orange Revolution IV7 is the fourth volume of the
five thematic collections of articles exploring various aspects of
7
Ingmar Bredies, Andreas Umland, Valentin Yakushik, eds., Aspects of the Orange Revolution IV:
Foreign Assistance and Civic Action in the 2004 Ukrainian Presidential Elections (Stuttgart: Ibidem Verlag,
2007).
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the Orange Revolution, and published as part of the book series
entitled “Soviet and Post-Soviet Politics and Society.” As its
straightforward title suggests, the book focuses on the Orange
Revolution in Ukraine, the wave of protests that came about as
the population’s reaction to the manipulated 2004 presidential
elections and the preceding campaign. The book is divided into
three parts with several articles each, some being of entirely
academic nature, while others being on-the-ground observations.
The first part, entitled “Political Transition and External Forces in
Post-Soviet Societies” contains articles that compare Western and
Russian involvement in Ukrainian politics, assess the
development, justification and legality of the Orange Revolution,
and discuss the role of trans-national actors in democratizing
states. Two of the articles, by Kempe and Solonenko, and by
Brucker, are informative and the latter is also theoretical.
Brucker’s article is particularly noteworthy as it offers an
insightful demonstration of the theory of socialization and
illustrates the additional pressure that internationally accepted
democratic norms and Ukrainian norm entrepreneurs put on the
governing elite before and during the Orange Revolution. In the
same article, Brucker has also included an intriguing empirical
study of the influence that German political foundations exerted
on the development of Ukrainian civic society and indirectly on
the Orange Revolution, which he assesses as a “second
democratic transformation.”8 Unlike most other ones in the book,
the two articles by Frolov and Yakushik are conspicuously biased,
the second one being a text written for the Party of Regions.
The second part of the book contains five accounts of the
electoral process written (mostly) by foreign election observers,
some more academic, while others trying to paint a more vivid
picture of the situation they saw. Finally, the third part of the
book features three articles by foreign and local election
observers who describe the situation in Electoral District No. 100,
Kirovohrad Oblast, which was one of the most lawless districts,
8
Matthias Brucker, “Trans-national Actors in Democratizing States: The Case of German Political
Foundations in Ukraine,” In: Bredies, Umland, Yakushik, eds., Aspects of the Orange Revolution IV: Foreign
Assistance and Civic Action in the 2004 Ukrainian Presidential Elections (Stuttgart: Ibidem Verlag, 2007).
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where the electoral fraud in favor of Viktor Yanukovich reached
dimensions that cannot be qualified with a single adjective. Some
of the articles in the second and especially in the third part allow
the reader to really imagine the situation in Ukraine which
provoked the Orange Revolution; they are not dry, but rather
descriptive and enthralling. The last article, written by Volodymyr
Bilyk, reads a bit like crime fiction, regardless of the real nature
of the events that Bilyk describes. This last article is bound to let
the reader feel the chilling atmosphere of lawlessness and thugrule that used to be, and sadly still is in some places,
characteristic of practically all post-communist states.
The book is aimed at a diverse but highly-educated demographic.
While some of the articles are theoretical and could lead one to
conclude the book is aimed entirely at the academic circles,
theoretical articles constitute a minority among a number of
works with empirical value. Therefore, the book can be used by
students, policy makers, diplomats, and scholars alike. Two of the
three editors have included one of their own articles in the book.
Perhaps out of necessity, due to the editor’s visibly opposing
attitudes toward the Orange Revolution (Yakushik is a supporter
of the pro-Russian Party of Regions which the Orange Revolution
“dethroned”), the book includes works written from both
perspectives.
In the introduction, the editors make it a point that this book is
not supposed to stand on its own but rather serve as a
continuation and supplement to discussions started in the
previous volumes. While this may be largely true, this is also the
most colorful and quite empiric of the volumes, which will
certainly paint a picture, allowing a reader whose only interaction
with post-communist societies is through books and the media, to
come to a conclusion about who is right and who is wrong. After
all, it is not all relative.
Being a collection of articles, it is impossible to fairly assess the
completeness of the book’s coverage as a whole, or likewise, to
assess the quality of the methods and empirical work of the book.
It is easy to say, however, that the empirical papers have been
written by people commissioned by various international
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organizations to write reports on their election observations, and
as such they satisfy stringent criteria of objectivity. Since this is a
collection of papers, rather than a monograph, there is no single
main argument whose plausibility can be assessed. What can be
concluded, however, is that the election observations of the
second and third chapters lend stark support to the arguments
proposed by Kempe, Solonenko, and Brucker, in their papers, and
reject the claims Frolov and Yakushik make in the analytical first
chapter. The claim that while the West intervened indirectly and
helped change a system with morbid democratic deficiencies,
Russia directly manipulated every aspect of Ukrainian politics and
society, guided only by self-interest, is supported by most
authors.
Aspects of the Orange Revolution IV is an unusual combination of
scholarly empirical and theoretical papers, as well as observation
pieces. As the editor himself has mentioned in the introduction,
many of the contributing authors felt strongly one way or the
other about the political situation in Ukraine and the 2004 Orange
Revolution. They have not attempted to conceal their personal
feelings, which has not made the book feel less academic, but has
enabled the reader to better understand the context of the
events. Overall this has been one of the more readable,
purposeful, and pretense-free scholarly publications I have
recently come across. I can freely say that the book exceeds its
editors’ modest stated goals.
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NOTES ON CONTRIBUTORS
Janky, Béla is a professor at the Budapest University of
Technology and Economics, Department of Sociology and
Communication. E-mail: janky@eik.bme.hu.
Karoly Takacs is an assistant professor at the Corvinus
University of Budapest, Institute of Sociology and Social Policy. Email: karoly.takacs@uni-corvinus.hu.
Baris Cayli holds MSc in Public Administration from the
University of Twente, Netherlands and is currently PhD Candidate
at the Department of Law & Politics, University of Camerino Italy.
E-mail: baris.cayli@unicam.it.
Jaira J. Harrington is a PhD Student in the Department of
Political Science at the University of Chicago, USA. She earned
her B.A. in Political Science at Spelman College, USA. Her
primary research interests include Brazil, gender, race, law,
labor and social movements. E-mail: jharrington@uchicago.edu.
Elayne F. Fracaro is a PhD candidate at the Graduate School of
Social Research, Institute of Philosophy and Sociology of the
Polish
Academy
of
Sciences,
Warsaw.
Email:fracarel@lewisu.edu; sns@sns.edu.pl; efracaro@css.edu.pl.
Valentin Stoian holds and M.A. in Political Science from CEU and
a B.A. in Political Science from the University of Bucharest. Email: stoian_valentin@ceu-budapest.edu.
Nathan Andrews pursues doctoral studies at the University of
Alberta in Political Science (International Relations and
Comparative Politics). His research interests include African
politics, globalization, development, poverty, foreign aid and
corporate social responsibility policies of MNCs in developing
countries. E-mail: nayak20028@hotmail.com.
Monica Bucurenciu holds a Master of Science in Comparative
Social Policy from Oxford University. She currently works as
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Project Manager at the European Commission in Brussels. E-mail:
mbucurenciu@gmail.com.
Monika Dąbrowska is a doctoral candidate in International
Relations at the University of St Andrews where she received her
MLitt in International Security Studies. Her research focuses on
radicalisation of European converts to Islam. E-mail: mgd2@standrews.ac.uk.
Svetozar A. Dimitrov holds an MA in European Studies and
International Relations from Central European University. His
thesis “Integrating the Western Balkans into the EU: Croatia and
the Republic of Macedonia” was published in 2009. E-mail:
svet19@gmail.com.
Paula Ganga is a graduate student at Georgetown University.
She holds an M.St. in Global Governance and Diplomacy at
Oxford University. She has recently published a Romanianlanguage book on the energy ties between Russia and the EU. Email: pdg23@georgetown.edu.
Sergiu Gherghina is PhD researcher at the Department of
Political Science, Leiden University. E-mail: sergiulor@yahoo.com.
Alexander Boniface Makulilo is a PhD Candidate at University
of Leipzig. E-mail: makulilo76@yahoo.co.uk.
Penny Pardoe is an Assistant Professor in the Liberal Arts and
Sciences Division at the State University of New York-Delhi. Dr.
Pardoe teaches International Relations and Comparative Politics
courses, while her research interests include the following:
nationalism and conflict studies, EU studies, Eurasian studies, and
Northern Irish political studies. E-mail: pardoeps@delhi.edu.
Dinoj Kumar Upadhyay pursues a PhD in International
Relations at Center for European Studies, School of International
Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. He also works
as Research Analyst at Integrated Research and Action for
Development,
IRADe,
New
Delhi.
E-mail:
dinojupadhyay@yahoo.com.
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Yuliya Zabyelina pursues a doctoral degree in International
Relations at the University of Trento, Italy. E-amil:
yuliya.zabyelina@sis.unitn.it.
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CALL FOR PAPERS
Vol. 6, No. 1
February 2011
General Issue
CEU PSJ accepts now submissions for its February 2011 issue.
Authors should ensure that their submissions are original
contributions and should not be under consideration for any other
publication at the same time. Full guidelines for the presentation
of the papers are available at the guidelines for submission
section.
Authors should send their articles to ceu_polsci@yahoo.com
before 15 October 2010.
Peer Review Process
All submitted articles are subject to a rigorous peer review
process, based on initial editor screening and double-blind
refereeing by a minimum of two reviewers.
The journal includes also a book review section.
Books Available for Review:
1. John Fenwick (ed.), Public Management In The Postmodern
Era. Challenges and Prospects
2. Daniel Branch, Nic Cheeseman, Leigh Gardner (Eds.), Our turn
to Eat. Politics in Kenya Since 1950
3. William G. Roy, Reds, Whites, and Blues: Social Movements,
Folk Music, and Race in the United States
4. Lena Kornyeyeva, Putins Reich. Neostalinismus auf Verlangen
des Volkes
If you are interested in reviewing any of these titles or becoming
a book reviewer for CEU PSJ, send along a short resume (max. 2
pages)
including
your
areas
of
expertise
to
ceu_polsci@yahoo.com.
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